Good afternoon, and welcome to our press conference with President Lagarde and Vice President de Guindos. My name is Wolfgang Reichel. As always, we are also joined by journalists, who are connected via video. When I give them the floor, they should please unmute and put on their camera. With that, I hand over to you, President Lagarde, please. Thank you very much, Wolfgang, and good morning, afternoon, good day to all of you. The Vice President and I welcome you to our press conference. The Governing Council today decided to keep the three key ECB interest rates unchanged. While the incoming information has been broadly consistent with our previous assessment of the inflation outlook, the upside risks to inflation and the downside risks to growth have intensified. We are committed to setting monetary policy to ensure that inflation stabilizes at our 2% target in the medium term. The war in the Middle East has led to a sharp increase in energy prices, pushing up inflation and weighing on economic sentiment. The implications of the war for medium-term inflation and economic activity will depend on the intensity, the duration of the energy price shock, and the scale of its indirect and second-round effects. The longer the war continues and the longer energy prices remain high, the stronger is the likely impact on broader inflation and the economy. We remain well-positioned to navigate the current uncertainty. The Euro area entered this period of surging energy prices with inflation at around our 2% target, and the economy has shown resilience over recent quarters. Longer-term inflation expectations remain well-anchored, although inflation expectations over shorter horizons have moved up significantly. We will closely monitor the situation and follow a data-dependent and meeting-by-meeting approach to determining the appropriate monetary policy stance. In particular, our interest rate decisions will be based on our assessment of the inflation outlook and the risks surrounding it in light of the incoming economic and financial data, as well as the dynamics of underlying inflation and the strength of monetary policy transmission. We are not pre-committing to a particular rate path. The decisions taken today are set out in a press release that is available on our website. I will now outline in more details how we see the economy and inflation developing, and will then explain our assessment of financial and monetary conditions. The Euro Area economy was showing some momentum when the current turbulence started. Real GDP grew by 0.1% in the 1st quarter of 2026, according to Eurostat's preliminary flash estimate. Domestic demand remains the main driver of growth, supported by a resilient labor market. However, the economic outlook is highly uncertain and will depend on how long the war in the Middle East lasts and how strongly it affects energy and other commodity markets, as well as global supply chains. The incoming information suggests that the conflict is weighing on economic activity. Surveys point to slowing growth, consumers and businesses have become less confident about the future since the war begun. Longer delivery times and rising input prices suggest supply chains are coming under pressure. Looking ahead, high energy costs are expected to continue to weigh on real incomes, making households and firms more reluctant to consume and invest. While unemployment remained close to historical lows in March at 6.2%, labor demand has cooled further. At the same time, households are still benefiting from a solid financial position, and investment should continue to be underpinned by governments spending more on defense and infrastructure and by firms increasingly investing in new digital technologies. This favorable starting point provides some cushioning against the fallout from the war. The Governing Council highlights the urgent need to strengthen the Euro Area economy while maintaining sound public finances. Fiscal responses to the energy price shock should be temporary, targeted, and tailored. Reforms to enhance the Euro Area's growth potential and accelerate the energy transition to reduce reliance on fossil fuels are more vital than ever. Completing the Savings and Investment Union is key to funding innovation, supporting the green and digital transitions, and improving productivity. The digital euro and tokenized wholesale central bank money will enhance Europe's strategic autonomy, competitiveness, and financial integration, and will boost innovation in payments. It is thus essential to swiftly adopt the Regulation on the establishment of the digital euro. Simplifying and harmonizing rules across the EU's single market will help European firms grow faster. Inflation rose to 3% in April from 2.6% in March, and 1.9% in February. The rise has been driven by surging energy prices caused by the war in the Middle East. Energy price inflation jumped to 10.9% in April after 5.1% in March. Food price inflation edged up to 2.5% in April. Inflation excluding energy and food decreased to 2.2% from 2.3% in March, reflecting a fall in services. Services inflation, which declined to 3% from 3.2% in March. Goods inflation went up to 0.8% from 0.5% in March. Indicators of underlying inflation have changed little over recent months. For now, the ECB's wage tracker and surveys on wage expectations continue to indicate easing labor cost in the course of 2026. Surveys indicate an increase in other cost components and in selling price expectations. Inflation expectations have moved up significantly over shorter horizons. Most measures of longer-term inflation expectations stand at around 2%, supporting the stabilization of inflation around target in the medium term. The increase in energy prices will keep inflation well above 2% in the near term. As the period of high energy prices extends, the likely impact on broader inflation through indirect and second-round effects intensifies. We will therefore closely monitor the size and persistence of the energy price surge and how it feeds through to price and wage setting, inflation expectations, and overall economic dynamics. The risks to the growth outlook are to the downside. The war in the Middle East remains a downside risk to the euro area economy, adding to the volatile global policy environment. Prolonged disruption of the supply of energy could increase energy prices further and for longer than currently expected. These factors would erode incomes and make firms and households more reluctant to invest and spend. The drag on growth would intensify if the closure of major shipping routes were to cause acute shortages of key inputs that forced euro area firms to curtail output. A worsening of global financial market sentiment could further dampen demand. Additional frictions in international trade could exacerbate supply chain disruptions, reduce exports, and weaken consumption and investment. Other geopolitical tensions, in particular Russia's unjustified war against Ukraine, remain a major source of uncertainty. Growth could turn out to be higher if the economy proved to be more adaptable to the disruption caused by the war in the Middle East, or if the conflict were resolved more quickly than currently expected. Planned defense and infrastructure spending reforms to enhance productivity, euro area firms adopting new technologies may drive up growth by more than expected. New trade agreements and a deeper integration of the single market could also boost growth beyond current expectations. The risks to the inflation outlook are to the upside. If energy prices were to rise by more and for longer than currently expected, euro area inflation would increase further. This could be reinforced and become more persistent if higher energy prices were to spill over by more than expected to other prices and to wages, if longer-term inflation expectations were to rise in response, or if global supply chains were disrupted more broadly. Ongoing trade tensions could also give rise to more fragmented global supply chains, curtail the supply of critical raw materials, and worsen capacity constraints in the euro area economy. By contrast, inflation could turn out to be lower if the economic effects of the war in the Middle East prove to be more short-lived than currently expected or if indirect and second-round effects proved less pronounced. More volatile and risk-averse financial markets could weigh on demand, and thereby lower inflation as well. The war in the Middle East has caused significant volatility in global financial markets. Overall, financial conditions remain tighter than before the war. The cost of issuing market-based debt rose to 3.9% in March from 3.5% in February. Bank lending rates to firms, based on data recorded prior to the war, edged down to 3.5% in February, while mortgage rates remained at 3.4%. The annual growth rate of bank lending to firms increased to 3.2% in March from 3% in February, while the growth rate of corporate bond issuance fell to 3.9% from 4.5% in February. Credit standards for loans to firms tightened in the Q1, as reported in our latest bank lending survey for the euro area. This tightening was due to banks becoming more concerned about the economic risks faced by their customers. Demand for loans to firms decreased slightly in the Q1, especially for fixed investment. Mortgage lending grew by 3% in March after 3.1% in February amid a small tightening in credit standards and unchanged demand. In conclusion, the Governing Council today decided to keep the three key ECB interest rates unchanged. We are committed to setting monetary policy to ensure that inflation stabilizes at our 2% target in the medium term. We will follow a data-dependent and meeting-by-meeting approach to determining the appropriate monetary policy stance. Our interest rate decisions will be based on our assessment of the inflation outlook and the risks surrounding it in light of the incoming economic and financial data, as well as the dynamics of underlying inflation and the strength of monetary policy transmission. We are not pre-committing to a particular rate path. In any case, we stand ready to adjust all of our instruments within our mandate to ensure that inflation stabilizes sustainably at our medium-term target and to preserve the smooth functioning of monetary policy transmission. We are now ready to take your questions. The first question goes to Mark Schroers of Bloomberg. Mark, please. Yes, thank you. President Lagarde, the statement says that the upside risks to inflation and the downside risks to growth have intensified. Where does this leave the ECB, this new risk assessment leave the ECB, between its baseline, its adverse, and the severe scenario? What does it mean for monetary policy ahead? Related to that, would you say that a rate hike in June, as expected by markets and most economists, is indeed the most likely outcome unless there is a quick end to the war, and energy prices fall back quickly and significantly? Thank you. I think we would all wish that there was a quick end to the war. Looking at our monetary policy and the decision that we made today, we decided to keep the three interest rates unchanged. To address your question, I'm not going to tell you whether we are closer to the baseline, scenario 1, scenario 2, because I think that what we have debated over the course of yesterday and today with the Governing Council is, where are we relative to the baseline? The conclusion is that we are certainly moving away from the baseline. Where to exactly, at what, you know, point in between baseline and other scenarios is, I'm not sure, you know, the most relevant assessment. We are moving away from the baseline, and what is critically important is the impact that energy prices will have. I said last time in March that it would be a question of the duration, the depth, and the propagation. This is clearly what we need to better assess. If I was to summarize for you what we decided today, I would say that we made an informed decision on the basis of yet insufficient information. Why do I say it is an informed decision? It is because we debated at length and in depth various options. We debated the decision that we have unanimously taken today, but we also debated at length and in depth a decision to possibly hike. That was debated amongst all governors, and I am sure that you will meet some governors who will argue both sides or maybe one side of both proposals. It was really a deeply discussed monetary policy stance, of which the outcome was a unanimous decision to leave the 3 interest rates unchanged. I'm saying that it's an informed decision based on insufficient information. It is caused by the fact that while the hard data is broadly in line with our projection and what we discussed here back in March, but there is such uncertainty that we need to understand and revisit all of that at our next monetary policy meeting. We believe that given the position we are in, we are saying in the monetary policy statement that we started from a good position. We were well positioned to navigate. Given that position, we believe that this 6 weeks will be the right time to assess the development, to understand in particular the outcome possibly of the conflict, or if there is no outcome, that in and of itself will be informative, in order to make an informed decision on verified and revisited information that we will receive in the next six months. That's the clearest way, I hope it was clear, that I can describe for the really good discussions that we had both yesterday and today. Next question to Annette Weisbach of CNBC. Annette, please. President Lagarde, thank you for taking my questions. I have a question on whether you have also discussed the risk of a stagflationary scenario in the Euro area and how that discussion went. Also, in the U.S. they are starting to also think about shrinking the balance sheet instead of using interest rate as a monetary policy instrument. Do you look into using other instruments as well instead of just hiking to alleviate the pressure from the price pressure and also help perhaps the economy? Thank you. Thank you for your two questions. On the first one, you know, we take the view that the word. I mean, it's quite, how would I say, popular to talk about stagflation, and it flags a lot of anxiety and all the rest of it. I think we have determined that stagflation is the right characterization of what happened in the '70s. From our perspective, we think that it's better to park it in the '70s given the facts that we have at the moment. You know, it's completely different situation. In the '70s, you had inflation continuing at a, you know, sort of sustainable and solid pace. You had very high unemployment. You had a monetary and fiscal framework that had nothing to do with what we have at the moment. We don't apply stagflation, that flashy term, to the circumstances that we have, because we really think that it's associated with the '70s situation. On the tools, you know, we have a whole series of tools in our toolbox. Certainly from our perspective, and given the data that we have and the kind of shock that we're facing, we believe that the interest rates is still the best tool that we that we can use and that we have debated in the course of yesterday and today. Thank you. Francesco Canepa of Reuters. Francesco, please. Thank you very much. First question about your reaction function. Could you unpack a little the relative weight that you attach to growth and inflation in your reaction function? Second, about the scenarios, did you update them? If so, what do they look like now? Why, if I may, do you not think it relevant to say where we are now compared to the baseline in the two scenarios? Thanks. I'm so pleased that you mentioned the reaction function because it's, you know, we spend quite a lot of time working it out, finding consensus around the reaction function. As you know, because you're a frequent reader and observers of what we do, the reaction function has been very clearly spelt out in our strategy review that we published in 2025, and that I have tried to elaborate on, and that I have tried to apply to the current circumstances in both my speech to the watchers and my speech in Berlin last week. I think for me, there are sort of three. We love to work with three because it's pillars, you know? I have for myself three anchors of what our reaction function is. First of all, to remind you, target is 2% medium term, number 1. Number 2, symmetry. We discussed that today, and we reaffirmed it. Number 3, our reaction will depend on the type of deviation from target that we observe. Is it large and sustainable? In that case, obviously we have calibrated in our strategy review and in those 2 speeches that I have committed in the last few days, in that case, we have a forceful or persistent reaction to return inflation to our target of 2% medium term. That's our reaction function. The data and the process that we use in order to deliver on that reaction function is what you see monetary policy statement after monetary policy statement, which is the inflation outlook with the risks associated to it. As you will have seen in the MPS, we have a strong chapter on both risks to growth and risk to inflation. That's how we bring in the risk to growth, to your point. We also look at underlying inflation, and we look at the dynamics of monetary policy transmission. The reaction function, the process and the tools that we use in order to apply that reaction function. Of course, we look at the specificity of what we are going through, and that's where you will find more details in both my speech to the watchers, you are one of them I'm sure, and my speech in Berlin to the bankers. I think I tried in that, you know, in those two documents, particularly the latter, to really apply the reaction function and the tools to the circumstances through which we're going, in particular, a strong supply shock, negative one of course, and to see whether we are going to use one or the other, or the other approaches, approach, in order to deliver on our target of 2% medium term. One is see through anyway, I don't, I don't need to repeat my Berlin speech. It's. Some of you have read it. The scenarios. You asked me about the scenarios. We constantly monitor. We constantly take in new data, hard data, soft data, survey results from all sorts of perspectives and we verify, and we adjust, and we take stock of all that. In June, six weeks from now, you will be receiving not only the projections that our staff will produce, but you will also see the scenarios as revised and as updated as a result of the circumstances. Turning now to the participants via video link, I'd like to give the floor to Isabella Bufacchi of Il Sole 24 Ore. Isabella, please. Thank you for the opportunity. I have two questions on liquidity, which is key to the implementation of monetary policy, but also crucial in for financial stability in times of crisis like we have now. President Lagarde, Euro area central bank reserves have almost halved from the peak in 2022 to EUR 2.6 trillion in early 2026. In the last bank lending survey, we found out that the bank access to money market funding has deteriorated. Has the Governing Council been looking at the design of new liquidity tools, as you had a question before on your toolbox, new liquidity tools in the operational framework, for example, new structural longer term credit operations or structural portfolio of securities? My second question is for Vice President Luis de Guindos. At the end of your eight year mandate and eight years of multiple crisis, what is your assessment of the resilience of the banking systems in terms of liquidity? What about private credit players that do not have access to the ECB liquidity? Is all this enough? Thank you. Thank you so much. We miss you here. It's nice to see you. I'll take the first question, and then I'll give the floor to the Vice President. We still have abundance of liquidity. You mentioned 2.6. I think it's a little down from that number, but it's a significant amount of excess liquidity in the system. There is no shortage of liquidity, and as you know, we have a mechanism that works on the basis of access to liquidity. You know, it's a fixed interest rate, full allotment, a good collaterals. It's working well, and we're not seeing any tension in that respect. Did we discuss new tools? The answer is no, because what we discussed, and it was on the agenda, yesterday, we discussed the timetable and the methodology that will be adopted in-house by staff, as well as within the Eurosystem, bringing all the committees, in the loop to calibrate, our operational framework to make sure that it is fit for purpose and that it, is, good from a financial stability point of view, as well as from a proper functioning of the providing of liquidity, which is obviously one of the missions that we have. With that, I'll turn the floor over to you, my dear Luis. Thank you very much, President. Good afternoon to everyone. Well, we have not doubts about the liquidity position and the capital position of the European banks. The European banks are resilient, and we do not believe that liquidity or capital is any sort of limitation for for lending. This is something that, you know, we have analyzed quite in detail. I would say that, you know, we are confident that they have enough liquidity, that they have enough capital, and that they are meeting, you know, the purpose of that we wanted to deliver. That is, that banks meet the needs and the financial needs of families, households, and corporates. You referred to private credit. Well, we are going to dedicate a full chapter of our Financial Stability Review to private credit. It's something that is catching the eye of markets because of some liquidity issues. Private credit is a totally different animal in comparison with the banks in terms of oversight, in terms of, you know, the way that they function. We are going to analyze, you know, interlinkages between private credit and other players, as insurance companies, as, you know, the banks, and with private equity. I think that you will have, you know, a full explanation of our approach and our assessment of the potential financial stability risks posed by the private credit in our Financial Stability Review that is going to be published in three weeks. Next question goes to Olaf Storbeck with the Financial Times. Olaf, please. Thanks for taking my questions. My first question is on a scenario that some economists discuss at the moment, which is a basically a return to the 2011 scenario, where the ECB hiked relatively early on, then had to reverse as after finding out that it basically pushed the economy into further into stagnation. Is this a scenario which is on the top of the Governing Council's mind, and has it been discussed? What are your thoughts on that? My second question is also to the vice president on cross-border banking mergers in the Euro area, which has been, I think, kind of a favorite topic of the ECB in recent years. We now have a situation where the German government is quite openly opposing a potential merger. Do you have any views on those kind of actions of the German government or what at least the position? Thanks. Well, thank you for your first question. You know, we, around the table of the Governing Council and the staff of the ECB and the Eurosystem, is very attentive to our history. We don't have a long history. We are paying attention to what has been done in the past. You might argue that we, learning from history, will want to stay away from the risk of being too early, that's your reference to 2011, and the risk of being a little bit too late, and that's what some of you would characterize for 2022. I would like to debate that forever, of course. That's where we are. We are going to be very attentive to the data, very attentive to the inflation expectations, very attentive to the supply chain disruptions, very looking into the depth of the wage agreements and the collective agreements that will be negotiated in the near future, attentive to selling prices. I mean, there is a whole range of data that we will be paying attention to in the next few weeks, and there will be plenty of it coming in the next few weeks to be certain that from the good position we are in, we make the right decision, because our determination is to bring inflation to 2% medium term. That, you know, there is an ocean of uncertainty. Things might change for the good or for the bad. One thing is certain: we are determined to return inflation to 2% medium term. My dear Vice President. Thank you. Thank you, President. If you look at our reply, the reply of the Eurosystem to the consultation process that was launched by European Commission a couple of weeks ago, that we published a couple of weeks ago, you will realize that the main message that is embedded in that report is that we are in favor of a single jurisdiction for the European banks with free flow of capital and liquidity. I think that, well, you know, referring to the deal that you have indicated, that you have alluded, well, I think that, you know, this principle applies very clearly. Next question now goes to Jean-Philippe Lacour of Agence France-Presse, AFP. Jean-Philippe, please. Okay. Thank you, Wolfgang. [Foreign language] Bonjour, Madame La President. Bonjour. I'm wondering why, in the statement, there is this sentence, "The Governing Council will closely monitor the situation." We were about speaking about history. I remember to the Trichet times when he said, "We are looking very closely the situation." That was a pre-signal for a soon rate step. So I'm wondering why the need to add this in the communique? What was the rationale behind this today? On the other side, on my second question, there is a stagnation in the economy, or quite the stagnation of the Eurozone economy. If the ECB were to raise its rate again, are you not in a dilemma then to change the situation from stagnation maybe to a recession, because an aggressive rate hike could hamper the economy? Is it here the dilemma you have to solve? Thank you. Thank you very much for you two questions. I think with all due respect to my predecessors, including my dear friend Jean-Claude, I try not to be exceedingly coded. It's not because I add one adverb or one adjective here or there that is going to mean necessarily this or that. You know, on the basis of, number one, the hard data that we're getting, on the basis of the worsening of our risk assessment, you will have noted that the nice word tilted has been removed, and that we are not saying long term versus short term. We are looking throughout the period and consider that risk is to the downside for growth and to the upside for inflation. On the basis of that, and in view of the uncertainty that we have around, we are bound to revisit the situation on the basis of the data, the projection, the sensitivity analysis, the updated scenarios, and then we will take a decision. I think directionally I know where we're heading, okay? We shall see. There might be massive changes taking place. There's one element that is going to have a real impact, and that is the duration of the conflict. I'm not suggesting that because the conflict stops tomorrow, there will be no negative supply shock and consequences. There will be, we know that. Because of the infrastructure, because of the logistics, because of the time lag and all that. It would certainly have a significant impact, in particular on the oil futures, for instance. We are watching, okay? We are watching out the development on the economy and the impact that this negative supply shock has on inflation and on the activity. We will be looking at both. I think I dealt with the stagflation because that's really something that I park in the '70s. Given the projection that we have for March, you know, 0.8% growth, followed by 1.2%, followed by 1.3%, I wouldn't call that stagnation, sorry. It's lower growth, granted, in 2026, but we're not in stagnation, let alone recession. Now, you can imagine scenarios where we are heading towards those situations, but this is not what we are seeing for the moment. Thank you. Now Andrés Stumpf of Expansión. Andrés, please. Thank you. President Lagarde, with the risk of boring you again. You never bore me. No I'll have to ask again of today's decision because I don't really get if the decision is taken in, and just, we are just waiting to see whether we are in the bad scenario or in the worse scenario, and even the baseline one that is bad by itself, contemplates or has embedded two interest rate hikes. I don't really get what could the ECB be waiting for. A second question. Some leaders advocated last week in Cyprus for activating the escape clause in the fiscal rules, and I would like to know the ECB's opinion on this. Thank you. Sorry, can you repeat? Yeah The second question? The fiscal escape clause. Some leaders in Cyprus last week advocated for activating it, and I would like to know whether the ECB would push for that or against that. Thank you. Thank you for your first question. Thank you for reminding everyone that in that in the design of our baseline and of our two scenarios, one adverse, one severe, we had in those situation two rate hikes, which were embedded in in both baseline and scenario, given the cutoff date that we took. As you know, this has changed over the course of time. It goes from two to one to three, but two was certainly the one. That means that our reaction function is well understood, right? Second, I would observe that there has been recently some financial tightening, which is also, you know, doing part of the work. The reason we are not, and we've debated that yesterday and this morning, the reason we are not implementing what is embedded today is that, number one, we start from this good position that gives us time to actually revisit all these hard data, the sub-data coming in, and that will be confirmed by multiple additional information. That is point number one. Point number two, we are not seeing second-round effects. We are seeing direct effects, granted. We're seeing some indirect effect, but we're certainly not seeing second-round effects. That is something that we need to be very attentive to. We are receiving not contrarian, but inconsistent information. When I read the results of the corporate telephone survey for instance, there is no intention on the part of the corporate leaders to significantly increase wages. There is a labor market that is more fluid than it was. As I said, you know, the financial tightening is happening. For all those reasons, we want to give ourselves the time, the depth, and the necessary analysis to determine in June what is necessary in order to reach our 2% target. And now- Oh, fiscal rules. the escape clause. You know, we had the pleasure of welcoming Valdis Dombrovskis for part of our meeting yesterday afternoon and today, and we discussed that. We understand that effectively the escape clause has been mentioned by several countries, and that this is under review by the Commission. This is not an area over which we have any kind of jurisdiction or authority. What we can say, because it has an impact on inflation, is that whatever fiscal support is granted, whether it's in the form of additional income or a tax exemption, has to be temporary, targeted, and tailored. You know, we think that the price signal in particular should not be eliminated by the measures that are temporarily and in a targeted way offered to the citizens. Stefan Riecher of Handelsblatt. Stefan, please. Thank you, Madam President. I have a question, a follow-up on the term stagflation, once more, which you called flashy, I believe. That's how you come back to it. Yes. I'm asking that because quite some analysts and economists are using that term right now to describe the situation that we are in now. Is there a fundamental misunderstanding in some way of the economic situation by economists using this term, or is this just mincing words? My second question is on what you just repeated, the three Ts: targeted, temporary, and tailored. Do you have a sense that governments are adhering to these principles, or do you see signs or actions that worry you? Thank you. Yeah. On your first question, I will not repeat what I said, although I will actually. Stagflation, a characterization which in our view is associated with the '70s. Entirely different situation. And we contend that our monetary policy framework is strong enough and our determination is solid enough that we will bring inflation back to 2%. What happened in those days is that inflation was on this running course and continuously without being, you know, brought back and tamed. We will tame inflation. We will not find ourself in that situation. Added to which, you know, as I said, 0.8 followed by 1.2 followed by 1.3 is not what I would call stagnation. It's lower growth than what we had anticipated before the war, unfortunately. Your second question. The three Ts. ... are the three Ts, yes. Targeted, temporary, tailored. Some people add a 4th T, by the way, which is transformational, so that the measures that are taken actually take us in the direction of some structural reform element about it. Our great staff has done a calculation of how much GDP has already been committed in terms of TTT. What we have at this point in time, and that was I think on, as at April 21st, but you know, I stand to be corrected on that one. Based on the what had been committed by then, it equaled 0.1% of euro area GDP by the various governments. Some governments had, you know, more fiscal space than others. Certain governments did not pay attention to one of the Ts. I think that the temporary one, I think is holding. We keep repeating, and I hope it sinks in, that temporary, targeted, tailored are all necessary in order to navigate through this period. Thank you. For our last question, we turn back to video participants, and it's for Chelsey Dulaney of The Wall Street Journal. Chelsey, please. Don't go, it's not over, huh? Yeah, thanks for taking my question. So you spoke a bit about propagation. I was hoping you could just give a little more clarity on the timeline for when we might expect to see some of these second-round effects. Like, we're two months into this now. Is June or is it sometime later? Like, yeah, what is the timeline for we might expect to see second-round effects? Just to clarify this point, is there any scenario in which the ECB doesn't react to these higher energy prices? Like, looking at the baseline, what's already in the pipeline, the likelihood that, you know, getting energy flows restarted takes months. Is there any situation in which there's no need to react at all? The ECB will always react because we will take inflation back to 2%. Whatever the reaction, we will react. Time for propagation. We believe that by June, we will have a lot more information that will help us revisit, ascertain, verify to see whether or not we have second-round effects. As I said, the number of indicators will include many elements, from the wage setting, the hiring, the selling price revisions, the commodity prices. I should have mentioned that one first. Commodity prices, because it's both oil and gas, but also all the derivative and everything that is actually channeled through the Strait of Hormuz in particular. We will take all that into account, we will continuously do that. Before you all go, I would like to take advantage of my position to actually turn the floor over to my dear Vice President, my friend and colleague, Luis de Guindos, and ask him, you know, his take from eight years at the helm of the ECB together with a president. Well, thank you. Thank you very much, President. Let me say first that it has been a real honor to accompany you and Wolfgang for more than six years to this press conference. I think that is really enlightening. Perhaps to say in my view that this press conference, you know, from my standpoint, is one of the most useful, relevant instruments that we have to communicate our views, our policy decisions, our, you know, our approach with respect to the assessment of financial stability situations. I think that the dialogue that normally, you know, you respond, and you ask questions is something that I think that is very, very, very useful. You play a role here. You play a very important role, you know, in this press conference. Very often, I have found that your questions were the correct ones, that were smart, intelligent, and sometimes a little bit uncomfortable. I think that, you know, is to ask complicated questions is part of the job of a good journalist. You know, sometimes, you know, on the other side, well, you can say, "Well, why they are asking me about that?" I think that is your real obligation, and it's your mission, and you have accomplished that over the last eight years, over the last eight years that I have been coming to this press conference. Thank you very much, Vice President. We'll see each other on 11 June if you so want, the next Governing Council and press conference. Thank you.
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