Good afternoon, ladies and gentlemen, and welcome to the analyst call on the GSK second quarter 2021 results. I will now hand you over to Iain Mackay, CFO, who will introduce today's session. Good morning and good afternoon. Thank you for joining us for second quarter 2021 results, which were issued earlier today. You should have received our press release and can view the presentation on GSK's website. For those who are not able to view the webcast, slides that accompany today's call are located on the investor section of the GSK website. Before we begin, please refer to slide two of our presentation for our cautionary statements. Our speakers today are Emma Walmsley, Luke Miels, Deborah Waterhouse, Dr. Hal Barron, Brian McNamara, and myself, Iain Mackay. Joining us for the Q&A portion of the call will be Roger Connor and David Redfern. We request that you ask only a maximum of two questions so that everyone has a chance to participate. Our presentation will last for approximately 30 minutes in order to maximize the opportunity for questions. With that, I'll hand the call over to Emma. Thank you, Iain, and a very warm welcome to you all. We are pleased to report a strong financial performance and continued progress against our strategic priorities this quarter. Second quarter sales and adjusted EPS were up 15% and 71% respectively at CER. These excellent results were driven by a combination of strong double-digit growth in new and specialty pharma products, a significant increase in vaccine sales, reflecting both an improving picture for vaccination rates and a major sales contribution from our pandemic adjuvant. Good growth in consumer healthcare with double-digit growth in six of the nine power brands, and continued discipline in control of costs. As expected, the quarter did benefit from a favorable comparison to the second quarter last year, which was heavily disrupted by the pandemic. While further disruption cannot be ruled out, we are seeing positive momentum, which we expect to continue through the second half of the year. Assuming a second half backdrop of improving demand for adult vaccinations and normalizing health and consumer trends in key markets, we believe we are likely to deliver adjusted EPS at the better end of our guidance. I just want to remind you that this guidance excludes any contribution from COVID-19 solutions, which we expect to add between 4% and 6% to our adjusted EPS in 2021. Alongside our financial performance, we continue to make good progress in R&D and our strategic delivery. Among our key assets, we completed the filing of long-acting cabotegravir for prevention of HIV, and we announced positive headline results for all five phase III studies of our promising specialty medicine, daprodustat. Very importantly, we also continue to strengthen the pipeline. This quarter, securing three exciting new collaborations in HIV, immuno-oncology, and neuroimmunology. Lastly, this quarter also saw us lay out our new growth outlook for GSK and the proposed demerger of consumer healthcare. Delivering scale health impact and maximizing value for shareholders are at the core of these plans. We've received widespread support from shareholders for them, together with a clear message to focus on execution and successful delivery. We are all strongly committed to doing so. Progress for this quarter is reflected across all three of our strategic priorities. In innovation, we continue to build a high-value pipeline across prevention and treatment of disease through organic and inorganic delivery. In performance, improved commercial execution is driving strong growth in new and specialty pharma products. For SHINGRIX specifically, we're clearly seeing the beginnings of a recovery in performance as COVID vaccination programs amongst older populations near completion. The U.S. new-to-brand prescriptions for SHINGRIX were up 73% in the quarter, and we saw good performance across the consumer business, with the exception of sustained weakness in cold and flu in a few specific areas where consumer trends haven't yet returned to normal. On trust, we continue to maintain leadership in ESG, as evidenced by new index ratings. We recently signed as principal partner for COP 26 and continue to progress our environmental commitments to be net zero and nature positive by 2030. As you heard of our investor update, the scale of the changes we've made in the last four years is unprecedented. To improve performance, strengthen capabilities, and prepare GSK for a new future. Our clear priority is to unlock the potential of two world-class businesses, and in so doing, maximize value for shareholders. With the platform we now have for GSK, we expect to deliver highly competitive sales and operating profit growth in the next five years, a step change in expected performance. We aim to achieve sales of more than GBP 33 billion by 2031, all underpinned by an R&D focus on the power of the immune system, a portfolio shift to vaccines and specialty medicines to prevent and treat disease, and impacting the lives of 2.5 billion people over the next 10 years. Through the proposed demerger, we'll create a new category-leading consumer healthcare business, serving over 100 markets with annual sales in 2020 of GBP 10 billion. Driven by brands and innovation to deliver better everyday health. This business has strong prospects for sustainable sales and profit growth, high cash generation, and to deliver attractive returns for shareholders. Let me now hand over to the team to talk you through this quarter's performance in more detail. Luke, first over to you. Thanks, Emma. We continue to make progress on commercial execution and competitiveness in the quarter against a complicated external environment due to COVID. The strong in-market performance I highlighted in the recent quarters for products such as TRELEGY, NUCALA, and BENLYSTA has continued driving growth of new and specialty pharma products of 25% in the second quarter and 14% in the half year. We also saw a good recovery in the quarter in meningitis and established vaccines. Today, I want to focus my remarks on the performance and growth prospects for SHINGRIX and oncology products. Excuse me. For SHINGRIX, our confidence in recovery has been tied to the prioritization and successful rollout of COVID-19 mass vaccinations, particularly in the U.S. Underlying trends illustrate that SHINGRIX volumes are expanding as we move into the second half of the year. Overall, despite a slower rate of recovery in ex-U.S. markets, we anticipate a strong half two global performance from SHINGRIX, with the potential for slight growth in sales on a full year basis. In the U.S., with nearly 80% of adults aged 50+ now fully vaccinated for COVID, we've now seen a related increase in weekly NRx volumes, which have grown 73% since the start of quarter two. In the coming months, it's going to be important for the recovery of SHINGRIX in the U.S. as our updated research shows that around half of those eligible to receive SHINGRIX have indicated that they expect to get it within one to three months following the completion of their pandemic vaccine series. We've been implementing activities to drive this recovery with a comprehensive multi-channel DTC campaign by focusing our maximizing relationships with U.S. retailers, particularly as we focus on the flu vaccination season, where adult vaccinations become increasingly top of mind for consumers. We're starting to see similar trends in Germany, where volumes are improving as more adults complete their COVID-19 vaccination series. In China, we continue to make steady progress in the private pay market, with SHINGRIX now in 50 cities. Overall, though, we're seeing a slower rate of SHINGRIX recovery ex-U.S. due to the differing rates of deployment of COVID vaccinations. Looking ahead, we continue to roll out in new markets, including the U.K., and we're now benefiting from an unconstrained supply position. This is going to support the expected significant step up in SHINGRIX sales in 2022, assuming a continuation of the improved operating environment as well as our ambition to double revenues in the next five years, protecting more than 100 million adults. If I now move to oncology, ZEJULA had a strong performance despite the impact of COVID on the ovarian cancer market. Sales were up 38% versus Q2 '20, and we're pleased that in the U.S., we're significantly leading in new patient starts, with 59% of patients going to a PARP receiving ZEJULA. We're also seeing progress in U.S. patient awareness, which has significantly increased from 29% in April 2020 to almost 50% in June 2021, and a decrease pleasingly in the watch and wait usage, now at 57%, although there remains room for improvement. Unfortunately, with the backdrop of COVID, there's still a 20% decrease in ovarian cancer diagnosis. We know that with delayed diagnosis, there are less patients getting debulking surgeries and therefore less patients going onto maintenance about six months later. Expect that this impact will continue until the market returns to pre-pandemic levels. For BLENREP, we're seeing encouraging progress despite competitive entrants, and we're especially pleased to see demand increasing with community oncologists in the U.S. and also Germany. We had a very robust clinical program designed to continue to improve the product profile of BLENREP through various combinations, optimized dosing, and scheduling. On this slide, we've outlined the patient opportunity and the associated clinical trials that align to earlier lines of treatment. The outcome of these trials will evolve our strategy, including potential use of novel combinations and the substantial opportunity we foresee in second line, where we have dose-optimized pivotal trials. With that, I'll pass over to Deborah for an update on the HIV portfolio. Thank you, Luke. Second quarter HIV sales rebounded strongly, growing by 14% and more than reversing the 11% decline that we reported in Q1 due to COVID impacts and a strong 2020 comparator. Growth in the first half of the year was 1%. Strong commercial execution continues to drive the performance of DOVATO, particularly in the switch market in the U.S. and Europe. DOVATO and Gilead are on track to deliver GBP 1 billion in sales this year. Our recently launched innovative medicines, including Rukobia, now account for more than 25% of our total sales. A highlight this quarter was the market share of dolutegravir-based regimens in Europe, which for the first time exceeded 30%, driven by DOVATO. Share continued to hold firm in the U.S. Turning to our portfolio of long-acting injectables, in January, we received FDA approval for CABENUVA, the world's first long-acting injectable treatment for HIV. It is also approved in Europe under the brand name of CABENUVA, and dosing every two months. We anticipate approval of two-monthly dosing in the U.S. by year-end, and launch in early 2022. Early signals are positive with strong brand recognition from people living with HIV, and high levels of physician attendance at our virtual launch meetings, which we believe will translate into increasing intent to prescribe. As with any new class of medicine, CABENUVA will take time to build, and furthermore, the COVID backdrop is significantly constraining switch activity, particularly where a patient needs to visit a physician's office. We're confident about its potential to transform the HIV treatment paradigm and with an anticipated five-year head start over competitors, we expect CABENUVA to capture a leading share of a long-acting treatment market that could reach GBP 4 billion-GBP 5 billion by 2030. This quarter, we also made significant progress with cabotegravir long-acting for prevention. We've completed the rolling submission with the FDA and anticipate launch in early 2022. If approved, we believe cabotegravir long-acting will present a new and compelling option in the PrEP market, dosed every two months with efficacy that is superior to the current standard of care. As with the treatment market, we believe the long-acting PrEP market could ultimately reach GBP 4 billion-GBP 5 billion in value, and cabotegravir long-acting is poised to play a leading role. Last week at the International AIDS Conference, we presented week 48 data from the phase III SALSA study, which demonstrated that DOVATO is a compelling option irrespective of the type of three-drug regimen a patient may be switched from. We also presented the STAT study, which shows that DOVATO is acceptable for same-day test and treat. For CABENUVA, we presented the CUSTOMIZE data, which not only showed that CABENUVA is applicable in a range of healthcare settings, but that 97% of people enrolled in the study preferred the long-acting injectable over daily oral therapy. In PrEP, we presented more data from the pivotal HPTN 084 study demonstrating that cabotegravir long-acting is the first and only long-acting injectable for PrEP to demonstrate superior efficacy and comparable safety to daily orals in preventing HIV acquisition in a diverse population. Taken together, I'm delighted with the progress we're making in HIV in both returning the franchise to growth and building our portfolio of innovative and pioneering long-acting medicines. I would like to turn the call next to Hal. Thanks, Deborah. I'm going to provide a short update on some recent news flow since the June event and highlight some of the upcoming pipeline milestones over the next 18 months. Starting with daprodustat. We recently announced positive headline results from each of the five trials in the ASCEND clinical program. As a reminder, the ASCEND program recruited over 8,000 patients from both the dialysis and non-dialysis populations and was designed to demonstrate the safety and efficacy of daprodustat as a novel oral treatment for patients with anemia due to chronic kidney disease. We're very pleased with the results from the ASCEND-ND and ASCEND-D studies, which met the co-primary endpoints on both safety and efficacy. Daprodustat demonstrated an improvement in hemoglobin levels in untreated patients and maintained hemoglobin levels in patients previously treated with an erythropoiesis-stimulating agent, a standard treatment option in patients with anemia chronic kidney disease. Importantly, the two cardiovascular outcome study, ASCEND-ND in non-dialysis and ASCEND-D for dialysis patients, both demonstrated that daprodustat was non-inferior when compared with erythropoiesis-stimulating agents in the risk of major adverse cardiac events, or MACE. Additional analyses are ongoing, we aim to present these data at a medical conference later this year. Moving to business development. As I highlighted in June, our strategy has been to leverage business development to augment our organic pipeline, and we've made some recent progress on this with three deals, which I'll cover briefly now. First is our global collaboration with Alector for two clinical-stage, first-in-class monoclonal antibodies targeting sortilin for neurodegenerative diseases. This collaboration brings together Alector's leading immuno-neurology expertise with our focus on the science of the immune system and human genetics, and proven late-stage drug development capabilities. The lead asset, AL001, is currently recruiting a phase III trial for people with a progranulin gene mutation who have frontotemporal dementia or are at risk for developing FTD. Both antibodies, AL001 and AL101, are designed to elevate progranulin levels by blocking the sortilin receptor. Progranulin is a key regulator of immune activity within the brain through modulating lysosomal function. There are compelling genetic links to multiple neurodegenerative disorders, including FTD, Parkinson's, and Alzheimer's disease, and these assets could offer a new approach to the treatment of patients with these considerable unmet need. Second is our collaboration with iTeos for an anti-TIGIT monoclonal antibody in phase I development, which I highlighted at our investor event in June. This deal complements our focus on the CD226 axis, where we now have an anti-TIGIT, an anti-CD96, and an anti-PVRIG, all of which can be combined with our PD-1 inhibitor, Jemperli. Preclinical data, human genetics, and recent randomized clinical trial all highlight benefit for modulating the CD226 axis, which we believe could deliver transformational medicines for patients and usher in the next generation of bio-medicines. The recent Halozyme deal announced by Deborah and the ViiV team, which offers the opportunity for ultra-long-acting regimens containing cabotegravir and other ViiV pipeline assets. I also want to remind everyone that these three deals are not factored into the 2031 sales ambition we issued in June and would represent upside if successful. This slide summarizes key data we expect to report over the next 18 months. As you can see, we anticipate a large number of pivotal data readouts in 2022, as well as some important data points in the second half of 2021. Among our specialty products, I've already spoken about the five positive phase III studies with daprodustat, which we recently reported. We also have a number of data readouts on BLENREP over the next 12- 18 months, including pivotal readouts looking to demonstrate a progression-free survival benefit compared to standard of care for patients with multiple myeloma. Later this year, we should have data from the proof of concept DREAMM-5 substudy of low-dose BLENREP in combination with the gamma secretase inhibitor for the treatment of patients with multiple myeloma. We are investigating a number of strategies to optimize the dosing schedule for BLENREP. We hope that this substudy will maintain the efficacy of BLENREP, but at a lower dose, which could reduce or delay the incidence of ocular events and support the potential use of BLENREP in earlier lines of treatment. As I've previously mentioned, not only is this study important for advancing BLENREP's potential, but it could also serve as a potential additional proof point for our functional genomics strategy. Other pivotal readouts on key assets in 2022 will include otilimumab in patients with rheumatoid arthritis, plus data from several important vaccine candidates, including RSV for older adults, RSV maternal vaccine, and data from our MenABCWY pivotal studies. Finally, we should receive a number of readouts from our COVID vaccines and therapeutics over the remainder of 2021, including pivotal data from our vaccines collaborations with Medicago and Sanofi, and phase II data from the OSCAR trial of otilimumab, and the COMET-PEAK study with sotrovimab. With that, let me hand it over to Brian. Thanks, Hal. Now turning to consumer healthcare in Q2. Continuing sales, excluding brands divested and under review, were strong, up 7% at constant exchange rates, which included a 2% drag from retailer stocking last year ahead of the systems cut over in North America, which reversed in the following quarter. Our Q2 results were supported by an easier comparator, given de-stocking in the same quarter last year, following the pantry loading in Q1. The two-year CAGR removes the distortion from the pandemic and was up 3% in Q2, which would've been up 4%, excluding the impact of the unusually weak cold and flu season. Let me talk specifically about our category performance in the second quarter. In oral health, sales increased 12%, with a two-year CAGR up 5%, demonstrating good execution and successful innovations, with Sensodyne and gum health more than offsetting lower growth in denture care. Pain relief saw Q2 sales up 13% and delivered a good two-year CAGR up 5%. In vitamins, minerals, and supplements, sales declined 6% as we cycled the demand spike in the prior year, although the two-year CAGR was up 6%, including particularly good growth in Centrum, Emergen-C, and Caltrate. Digestive health and other sales were up 3% in the quarter, with a flat two-year CAGR. Performance in this category was mixed, with strong performance of smokers' health products and digestive health brands, but continued weakness in brands more dependent on impulse purchase, such as ChapStick. Respiratory sales increased 6% in the quarter, and the two-year CAGR was down 3%. This reflected very different results in the two subcategories, with strong allergy performance and continued weakness in cold and flu. Don't forget that given seasonality, Q2 is a smaller quarter for the cold and flu business. Our focus on innovation continued. We saw further positive momentum with Sensodyne, sensitivity, and gum, as well as good performance from newer innovations such as Centrum Essentials in Brazil and Pronamel Intensive Enamel Repair Whitening in the U.S. In e-commerce, we grew approximately 30%. This was 7% of sales. Our ongoing investment in digital capabilities positions us well for growth. With continued strong results in the last month, particularly in the U.S., we remain confident in our ability to outperform in this key channel. Turning to our Power Brands, six of the nine brands gained or held share, with six brands reporting double-digit growth in Q2. Collectively, Power Brands were up double digits. Additionally, we saw a double-digit growth in continuing business in emerging markets, with particularly strong performance in India and China. Our full-year sales outlook remains unchanged. Our separation and integration plans all remain firmly on track. The commercial integration is now fully complete. Our manufacturing site cutover is well underway, and separation activity is progressing well and to plan. Importantly, all of our guidance for 2022, shared in 2018, including margin and synergies, remain unchanged. Finally, I'd like to take a minute to remind you of who we are and what we have created through the two largest consumer healthcare transactions in the last 6 years. At separation, we'll be the first listed 100% focused consumer healthcare company, as well as the global leader in consumer healthcare. Operating in a sector with compelling fundamentals and leadership positions and categories now more relevant than ever. We have a fantastic portfolio of brands and strong capabilities to drive sustainable market outperformance, and I'm excited to share more information with you on this incredible business as we move closer to separation. With that, I'll hand it over to Iain. Thanks, Brian. As I cover the financials, references to growth are at constant exchange rates, unless stated otherwise. On slide 18 is a summary of the group's results for Q2 and the half year. In Q2, turnover was GBP 8.1 billion, up 15%, and adjusted operating profit was GBP 2.2 billion, up 43%. Total earnings per share was GBP 0.279, down 28%, while adjusted earnings per share was GBP 0.281, up 71%. In the year to date, turnover was GBP 13.5 billion, down 1%, and adjusted operating profit was GBP 4 billion, up 3%. Total earnings per share was GBP 0.494, down 27%, and adjusted earnings per share was GBP 0.51, up 2%. We generated free cash flow of GBP 313 million in the year to date, in line with our expectations. On currency, there was a headwind of 9% on sales and 25% on adjusted EPS, in particular due to the strengthening of sterling against the U.S. dollar relative to the second quarter of 2020. Slide 19 summarizes the reconciliation of our total to adjusted results. The adjusting items of note for the quarter were in disposals, significant legal and other, which reflected a GBP 325 million tax credit due to a significant positive revaluation of deferred tax assets in the U.K., resulting from the Q2 enactment of the 2021 U.K. Finance Bill. My comments from here onwards are on adjusted results unless stated otherwise. The key drivers of revenue and profits for the group in the second quarter compared to the prior year are set out in Slide 20. Revenues grew 15% overall. Excluding revenues from our COVID solutions, sales were up 11%. The pandemic adjuvant sales of GBP 258 million represent delivering around two-thirds of contracted volumes with the U.S. and Canadian governments. The positive operating leverage from higher sales in the quarter was bolstered by continued focus on cost control and the benefits of restructuring across the group. This was partly offset by increased investment in R&D, up 6% as expected, and additional investment behind product launches with SG&A up 5%. The resulting Q2 margin was 26.7%, and the year-to-date margin was 26%. We expect R&D growth to be around 10% in the full year, with the first half increase of 5% reflecting phasing, particularly in 2020. Moving to bottom half of the P&L, I'd highlight that interest expense was GBP 185 million compared to GBP 227 million last year. The decrease is primarily as a result of reduced interest expense from lower debt levels and favorable movements in foreign exchange. On share of associates in May, we sold our stake in Innoviva, which was the main contributor to this income line. The effective tax rate of 18.4% was in line with expectations and reflects the timing of settlements with India's tax authorities. Finally, lower non-controlling interests reflected reduced allocation of Consumer Healthcare JV and ViiV Healthcare profits. Next, I'll cover free cash flow for the quarter before going into more detail on performance drivers in each business. In the first half of the year, we generated GBP 313 million of free cash flow. Improving cash flow performance continues to be a constant focus for the team. The significant step down in the year to date was as expected and in line with our full-year outlook. In the first half, increased adjusted operating profit and lower dividends to non-controlling interests were more than offset by adverse timing of returns and rebates and taxes compared to the first half of 2020, an increase in working capital, adverse exchange impacts, and increase of intangible assets, as well as reduced proceeds from disposals of intangible assets with the Consumer Brands disposal program now complete. Turning to performance of the pharma business on the next slide. Overall, revenues grew 12%, driven by strong growth in new and established medicines, a prior year comparator that was impacted by destocking, and favorable U.S. return and rebate adjustments in the quarter. Impact of prior year destocking and the prior period RAR adjustments, including the impact of lower than expected Medicaid usage on a number of products, accounted for approximately 3 and 4 percentage points of growth respectively. In the year to date, revenues grew 2%, and our full-year outlook remains unchanged. The established pharma portfolio was flat. Within this, established respiratory grew 6%, while the rest of the established pharma portfolio was down 7%. We still expect established pharma sales to decline high single digits in the full year. The pharma operating margin was 29.3% in Q2 and 29.1% for the first half. The increase in Q2 primarily reflected the positive operating leverage from the increased sales, as well as continued tight cost control and restructuring benefits. R&D expense grew 3% in the quarter. Year to date, R&D spend also grew 3%, which reflected phasing of spend, particularly in 2020. We expect a higher growth rate in the third quarter. Slide 24 gives you an overview of vaccines performance with overall sales growth of 49%. Excluding pandemic adjuvant revenue, sales growth was 24%. In the year to date, total vaccines revenues were flat and down 9%, excluding the pandemic adjuvant sales. In the quarter, we saw improving pediatric and adolescent vaccination rates and adult vaccination rates, although improving, continued to be affected by COVID-19 vaccination deployment. This resulted in SHINGRIX sales growing 1%, while meningitis sales grew 46%, established vaccines 28%. The operating margin was 32.7%. The increase in operating profit and margin primarily reflected the positive operating leverage from sales growth, including the pandemic adjuvant sales mix. R&D spend increased 34% as we continued investment behind our RSV and meningitis development programs. Increased SG&A reflected investment to support continued growth. The year-to-date operating margin in vaccines was 29.3%. Recent trends in the U.S. and the strong recovery of pediatric, adolescent, and adult vaccines are very encouraging. There remains, however, uncertainty as to the impact of COVID-19, the speed of deployment of mass immunization programs, and easing of pandemic conditions. This is notable in other key markets across the group, such as Germany and China. With these dynamics in mind and excluding pandemic adjuvant sales, we expect vaccines revenues in the full year to be broadly flat. Turning to slide 25, Q2 revenues in Consumer Healthcare increased 7%, excluding brands either divested or under review. Including those brands, turnover grew 3%, and Brian outlined the main drivers of this earlier. In the year to date, revenues excluding brands either divested or under review decreased 2%. This reflected the continued negative effects of COVID-19 on consumer behavior, which has significantly impacted the cold and flu category and to a lesser extent, denture care. The operating margin for Q2 was 21.7%, up 50 basis points at CER versus last year, and this included 110 basis points negative impact from divestments. The year-to-date operating margin was 22.4%. The strengthening of sterling against the U.S. dollar in 2021 year to date, given the scale of the U.S. consumer business, has had a significant impact on operating margins. We remain on track to deliver mid to high 20s operating margins in 2022 at 2017 exchange rates. For consumer in the full year, excluding brands divested or under review, we continue to expect low to mid-single digit percent revenue growth. I'll close with considerations for our 2021 outlook. We're maintaining our full year guidance for adjusted EPS to decline mid to high single digits. This excludes any contribution from COVID-19 solutions. Our strong Q2 performance gives us confidence that if we continue to see improvement in demand for adult vaccinations through the balance of the year, as well as healthcare systems and consumer trends approaching normality in the second half in our key markets, we're likely to deliver adjusted earnings per share towards the better end of our guidance range. However, as the pandemic landscape evolves, we continue to see global differentiation in the pace of deployment of COVID-19 vaccination programs and the speed of economic recovery. As a result, there remains potential for further pandemic disruption, and we believe it's premature to change guidance. To be specific, there were some one-off items in the comparative period which will adversely impact the next quarter. These include BLENREP recognition of pre-launch inventory and Pharma R&D of slightly more than GBP 50 million, and a one-time benefit from the restructuring of post-retirement benefits of a similar magnitude, which was primarily in SG&A. With these one-off items in mind, we expect earnings growth in the second half to be weighted towards Q4. Turning specifically to contribution from COVID-19 solutions, the positive impact on first half adjusted earnings per share was approximately 7 percentage points. As mentioned earlier, we fulfilled around two-thirds of contracted volumes for our pandemic adjuvant and expect that the full year contribution will be approximately 4-6 percentage points of adjusted EPS growth. The outcome within that range is dependent upon pandemic adjuvant contracting for 2022 and the resulting potential charges within cost of goods sold as we continue to manufacture for this potential. As part of keeping you informed of our progress in executing against our strategy, in the coming months, we'll host business and pipeline information sessions covering, among other topics, growth drivers in HIV, an updated outlook for daprodustat, and early next year, we'll provide insights on our general medicines product area. We hope you'll be able to join us for these events. With that, operator, we're ready for Q&A. The first question comes from the line of Andrew Baum at Citi. Please go ahead. Many thanks. One question to Deborah and the second for Hal. For Deborah, the translocation inhibitor that you're about to take into the clinic for HIV. You highlighted it as one of the long-term growth strategies. How confident are you in the freedom to operate on the intellectual property, given I believe it's a prodrug of Merck's islatravir, which has a very extensive patent estate, and last time I looked, I couldn't see much in terms of ongoing activity between you and the USPTO on securing a patent for your compound? That's the first question. The second on Alector. Hal, I understand the interest in progranulin from an FTD point of view, that's a relatively modest indication. My question is, how are you thinking about selecting patients in the larger indications, Alzheimer's, Parkinson's, given that some of the surrogate markers we've seen are of questionable significance in those indications? Many thanks. Thanks, Andrew, and I think you directed your questions very directly. Deborah, why don't you kick off on the first? Andrew, as we talked about at the business investor update, we have a strong pipeline, which is core, and this core has integrase inhibitors, which we believe will form the heart of any two-drug regimen, either oral or long-acting, moving forward. We have a number of products in the pipeline, of which we have an NRTTI. Obviously we have others as well, capsid, bNAb, maturation inhibitor, et cetera. Our plan is to progress all of those medicines To the point at which we will make choices around which of them is the strongest moving forward. That's all I want to say on where we are today with that pipeline. I think we talked about it in more detail at the BIU. I guess for us, our objective is to have maximum shots on goal. Also with the help of our Halozyme partnership, to be able to deliver for people living with HIV, longer and longer-acting medicines. Hal? Thanks, Andrew, for the question. It's a good question. The genetics really give us extreme confidence, I think, in the FTD progranulin gene-deficient patients. The number of diseases, both from the sort of biology of non-progranulin FTD as well as potentially ALS. PD, we know, is a lysosomal disease from a loss of genetic data and other sources. Even Alzheimer's, there's been some genetics suggesting that progranulin may be playing a role. That's why we're excited. Of course, neurodegeneration is a massive unmet medical need where the number of patients with these terrible diseases is growing and the treatment options are limited. We're very excited about this. You point out that in drug development for ALS, to some extent, more so for PD and a lot very clear in AD, that the phase II surrogates haven't been as compelling as we'd like them to be. I think there's a lot of opportunity using genetics to identify subgroups. We're exploring a lot of different markers of lysosomal function, of immune activation. Imaging data can also help and other biomarkers like NfL and other sort of neural markers of degeneration are being explored. We're hoping to field advances over the next few years to enable some of those to be used for go, no-go criteria. I think to really be specific, I think it's the massive unmet medical need, the genetics, and our confidence that with stratification variables and these biomarkers that are emerging, we'll be able to make informed decisions when we progress these things through phase II. Thanks, Hal. Next question, please. Thank you. The next question is from the line of Simon Mather of Exane. Please go ahead. Afternoon, everyone. Thanks for the questions. I've got two as well. First one on the pipeline, secondly on the opportunities of COVID-19. Just on the pipeline, on daprodustat, obviously a less than straightforward advisory committee meeting for Astra and roxadustat. You can maybe comment if you believe you've got the right dosing to reduce the risk of any imbalance in the thromboembolism in your trials. Do the issues that AstraZeneca faced in their ADCOM in any way change your commercial plans, given your lack of a renal franchise? Just secondly, on COVID-19 solutions, initially, I was under the impression it was not-for-profit, but clearly a strong contribution for the quarter. Could you maybe help us understand the large opportunity you could have? Obviously, I think at the last count, Sanofi had signed up 2 billion doses for 2021, 2022. Any help here with respect to the doses that that GBP 260 million relates to could potentially help us forecast the strong growth potential in 2022 and beyond. Thank you. Thanks, Simon. Well, I think there's a lot of questions across the industry about the outlook for the COVID market in 2022 and beyond. We'll come to Roger in a moment to comment on where we're at and how we see things evolving. You're obviously right that we also depend on our partners' supply even more than our own. Let's first come to Hal on daprodustat dosing. I think it'd be good, Luke, as well, if you would like to make some comments considering our proven commercial momentum more generally on how you see plans forward and approach commercials too. Hal first, then Luke, then Roger. Thanks for the question. I'm not going to comment too much on the roxadustat ADCOM. Let me just say that we're very proud of the program we ran. It's a very robust program. Had over 8,000 subjects treated for up to almost four years, three and three-quarter years, in a variety of patients, as you know, dialysis, non-dialysis, incident dialysis patient trial as well. We looked at quality of life, et cetera. The study is really very robust, also because these were single trials where they were powered for in the ASCEND-D and ASCEND-ND for non-inferiority of MACE. We've looked at the primary endpoint. We haven't looked at all the both on safety and efficacy, we haven't done all the subgroup analyses you mentioned. We will be doing that later and hopefully presenting that at a major medical meeting, ideally later this year. What I can say is that the hemoglobin targets that we were pursuing, as well as the interactions with regulators, give us a fair amount of confidence that we've really designed what we think is a very large, simple, but robust program and gives us a clear understanding of both the safety and efficacy of the drug. Luke? I think from a commercial perspective, I hope the results that you're seeing today give you confidence in the evidence that we can commercialize a diversity of the specialty care products in what I think are competitive segments. I think from a forecasting point of view, it still remains quite dynamic. It's certainly radically different from what it was, say, 12 months ago in terms of our assumptions. We're quite excited about this. In terms of COVID assets and commercialization, Sanofi has the vaccines component, but with Sotrovimab, you saw we've just signed a deal with the European Commission for up to 220,000 doses. Just for clarity, that's 16 countries within the EC are part of that framework, and they have until between now and July 2022 to purchase that. Just before this call, we had another contract come through from another government, and then there's another attractive order that came through on Friday. We're starting to make progress there with Sotrovimab. Roger, would you like to talk about the vaccines? Yeah. Please. Certainly. Thanks for the question. I think on the adjuvant partnerships, what we've seen book this quarter are contracted volumes that we have in place between the U.S. and Canada, they represent about two-thirds of that overall expected demand for this year. I think it shows the strength of the adjuvant platform, actually, first of all. We contracted separately on this, and governments understand that the adjuvant isn't just for COVID-19. The adjuvant can be held and then used for future pandemics as well, whether that be a flu or further COVID plays. There's optionality in this platform from a pandemic preparedness perspective. There's two variables I'd say that will determine sales going post-2021. Emma mentioned it. We have to be able to match this up with antigen supply going forward, so whatever those volumes are will be a key variable. Secondly, we're talking to governments now around pandemic preparedness and potential use of the adjuvant as well. Those discussions could play out. Some uncertainties there, so difficult to say, but there is certainly a lot of activity going on, I think governments are realizing the positive nature of a stock build-up, AS03 in particular, which some governments had in place before this pandemic as well. We'll just continue to update you as those discussions with governments conclude. I think more medium term as well. It is worth remembering the rather alarming statistics that only 13% of the world is currently doubly vaccinated. There is, as you all know, an ongoing debate around what the medium-term profile is for a booster market or not. As you know, beyond our current adjuvanted partnerships, we're very involved in around the mRNA platform, too. So, we'll continue to keep you updated on all of that. Let me reiterate, none of this is in either this year's guidance, nor indeed in the outlooks that we shared with you in June. Next question, please. Thank you. The next question is from the line of Laura Sutcliffe of UBS. Please go ahead. Hello. Thank you. Firstly, a more specific question on the size of the opportunity for daprodustat. I think you mentioned an unrisk-adjusted peak sales range of half a billion pounds to GBP 1 billion back in June. Is that bookended by use in dialysis and non-dialysis? Are there some scenarios at this point where the peak sale could be greater than that GBP 1 billion? Secondly, could you maybe just give us your thoughts on combination opportunities for your older adult RSV vaccine? Thanks. Yeah. Let's come to Hal, please. I think, Laura, Iain said during his remarks that we would bring you an updated review once we've got more published data, but also on the outlook for daprodustat. Just to refer you to what Luke just said, the assumptions on the environment obviously shift according to competitors, situations, and still today, unclear outcomes there, as well as our own data, which is across dialysis and non-dialysis. You'll get an update on that more later in the year. Hal, I don't know if you want to add any further comments on either daprodustat, but more specifically on combo possibilities for our exciting RSV pipeline. Maybe I'm not totally understanding the question, but is it combinations meaning the adjuvant plus the pre-fusion? Laura, is that what you meant by combinations, or do you mean multiple vaccines combined? I didn't quite understand the question. Maybe she's gone. I'll assume it's the combination, meaning why we've decided to use an adjuvant plus the pre-fusion protein if that's what you think the question is. Go ahead. I think, Laura, when we did the phase II study, we looked at the pre-fusion protein alone and with various adjuvants and various doses. The summary of the data, it was a lot of complicated data. The bottom line, I think, is that when you look at the cell-mediated immunity, the pre-F specific CD4 positive cells, you can see that in the elderly, when you give the adjuvant, the AS01, you can see a very nice bump in the CD positive immune cells, which actually elevates to the level that's pretty close to what you see in young adults. We think that not only is a robust B cell response, which we saw actually both with the unadjuvanted and adjuvanted components. This T cell immune response we think is very important, possibly for efficacy as well as duration. That's why we decided to combine it with AS01, the same adjuvant that's used with SHINGRIX, which as you can see in the elderly, is particularly effective and has long duration. That was why we went ahead as opposed to others with an adjuvanted approach with the pre-fusion protein. Thanks, Hal. Next question, please. Thank you. The next question is from the line of Jo Walton of Credit Suisse. Please go ahead. Thank you. I wonder if I could ask Luke a little bit more about his expectations for SHINGRIX in the second half of this year. There is clearly very little progress in the ex-U.S. sales overall in the first half of the year. Can you tell us a little bit more about your confidence in the second half, which additional countries you can go into, how the pricing is forming in those new countries now that you are unconstrained in supply? Can you just give us some idea of your assumptions on use of, say, a third dosage versus the ability to put your SHINGRIX vaccine in the other arm when someone goes to get a flu vaccine around September time? My second question would be, again, probably to Luke. On the marketing side, you were down 15% on your marketing spend in the first quarter, up 5% in the second quarter. Given what we've learned about ability to do more digital, et cetera, going forwards, can you give us some help as to what you think a reasonable rate of CER marketing growth should be over the next year or so? Thank you. Luke. Yeah, thanks, Emma. On the second one, it's interesting, people were out of the field, not spending, not traveling. If we look at face-to-face activity now in Europe and the U.S., with the exception of oncology, which is a bit lower, we're sort of 80%-85% versus pre-COVID levels. If you add in non-face-to-face digital, the total activity is actually higher than that. In terms of expenditure, we'll continue to allocate it to where we can drive the top line and where we see a good return. I think that the trends that you're seeing historical are probably a better indicator than Q1 and Q2. In terms of SHINGRIX, it's really interesting. We track these, as you can imagine, very closely. It's a consistent pattern where you see countries vigorously pursue adult vaccination. It's highly disruptive to SHINGRIX vaccinations. The good thing is those patterns are consistent. Germany, we're now seeing more than 80% of 60+ year-olds, which is the population where it's reimbursed, are now covered with COVID. We saw the beginnings of a rebound in June in Germany of SHINGRIX. In China, the emphasis is still on government vaccination centers deploying COVID vaccines. We continue to see that disruption. In terms of other markets, we're also seeing that disruption. Hong Kong, Australia, for example, where we've just launched. They're obviously at the same point. We have other launches in Spain and Italy and the U.K., in broader populations, but also subpopulations. In terms of pricing, are we seeing that level hold up? Now, sometimes when we go into these markets, we go in with immunocompromised population first, because we can get the most attractive price at that point. Right now, we can use all the volume in those settings. I think for the second half, we remain confident that we'll see a collective response in SHINGRIX. In terms of boosters, we don't assume the booster this year. It's interesting when you look at the market research in terms of people's intention for vaccines. We've covered the 50% on the slide, but also if you ask them relative to other vaccines, it's significantly higher than pneumonia and pertussis and other options for adults, and second only to flu in terms of future intention to get a vaccine. I think there may be some vaccine fatigue on the part of adults, but again, everything that we're seeing indicates that the second half will be as expected. Lastly, Jo, as well on co-admin. You know the guidance is that it is possible. As Luke said, the experience would be that there's a bit of sort of just human instinctive fatigue, that people would rather leave it for a few months. We have the stats on that, and we are running co-ad studies as well. That should equip us well. Fundamentally, this is a disease that one in three people get. We know the underlying demand is good. As Luke said, we're being able to maintain economics and confident in the outlook that we laid out for the five years ahead, including with lifecycle innovation, which you also saw some recent announcements on in terms of expansion at the level. Next question, please. Thank you. The next question's from the line of James Gordon of JP Morgan. Please go ahead. Hello. James Gordon, JP Morgan. Thanks for taking the two questions. First question was on the older adult RSV vaccine and competition. Potentially, the biggest product in the pipeline. I saw Pfizer just announced that in their phase II challenge study, they had 100% efficacy in adults. They also said they're going to kick off their phase III in September this year, and that they could report as early as Q1 next year. My question is, what does that mean for GSK's older adult program? Does the Pfizer data suggest their product could be at least as effective as yours, or do we need to be careful trying to compare quite different endpoints? Could you do the same thing? Could you accelerate your phase III and have data in the same sort of timelines, or are there reasons yours might take a bit longer? The second question was just a clarification on daprodustat. As I already mentioned, roxa had a tough ADCOM. Although they had a non-inferiority headline on MACE safety, the point estimate looked worse than the ESAs, and that didn't go very well at the ADCOM. It sounds like you're very confident in your product. Can you just confirm that's because yours looks differentiated from roxa, as in your point estimate on MACE safety does actually look better? Hal, why don't you take both of those, and Roger, if you want to add anything on the broader RSV perspective, then we can come back to you. Hal? Thanks, James. I'm not going to make too many comments on the announcement of Pfizer, let me just highlight a few things about what we know about our project and why we're so excited about it. To anchor everyone, of course, RSV in older adults is an enormous unmet medical need with just in the U.S. alone, over 180,000 people hospitalized and as many as 14,000 of those unfortunately die. Our phase II, as I was alluding to this earlier, really does show pretty robust B-cell response with neutralizing titers that are very comfortably in the range where we expect significant efficacy. I'm personally very pleased that the pre-fusion antigen is the right one, as evidenced by our data as well as now with Pfizer, that's exciting. It's also important to remember that our program has this AS01 adjuvant, which I explained earlier, provides this T-cell immune response, which we think will actually increase efficacy like we saw with RSV, but also maybe potentially duration, et cetera. It's a differentiated vaccine combination, if you will, with the pre-F antigen, as well as the very effective proprietary AS01 adjuvant. I think it's also important, if I understood it correctly, that while we are very confident that the immune response will be mounted effectively in the 18- 50 year-olds, this is again, the older adults is an older population where again, we need to be ensuring we have the most robust immune response to protect them as their immune systems are different. As I said earlier, the T-cell immune response wasn't normal in a non-adjuvanted RSV vaccine, and that's why we chose to use the adjuvant because the T-cell response became much closer, actually almost identical to young adults. In terms of the timelines and speed, it's important to remember that, as we said, we're choosing this older adult population where we think the greatest unmet medical need is. The timing of these studies are difficult to predict because first of all, it has a lot to do with the size of your trial. Our study is very robust. We're enrolling 25,000 patients to ensure that we understand the safety and efficacy profile and potentially do subgroup analyses, where, of course, the number of events determine how long the trial lasts. Of course, the enrollment rate has a strong impact on that, as well as the treatment effect of the drug. I can tell you that we're very confident that this is one of the most important projects in our pipeline, and we're doing everything we can to excuse me, expedite it as fast as we can. We're optimistic that we'll complete this in a very timely manner. As far as daprodustat, I'm not again, going to comment on the roxadustat ADCOM, although what you stated I think was pretty clear from the discussion. We don't have any data from the ASCEND trial, so it would be inappropriate for me today just to comment directly on the point estimate and confidence intervals. I will say, however, that as you said, the recent advisory committee meetings have disclosed, I think, pretty clearly that the FDA wanted to see a non-inferiority margin of 1.25. I think that was pretty clear from the meeting and stated many times. We have previously said that our design clinical studies were done with input from regulators and agreement from regulators. I don't want to say more than that, but I'm very excited about the fact that we had five phase III studies that were positive and that this robust program really was, I think is going to be a very robust package for the regulators to review. Thank you, Hal. Next question, please. Thank you. The next question is from the line of Kerry Holford of Berenberg. Please go ahead. Thank you. Two questions, please. Firstly, on the COVID antibody, I wonder if you're willing to give us an idea or give the effective price per dose that you've secured for the dose orders you've secured to date, and over what timeframe you should expect those orders to be delivered and booked. On the flu vaccine, following the recent news you've begun to ship over 50 million doses in the U.S., is it fair to conclude that the sales of flu vaccines this year should likely exceed 2020 figure, which I think was around GBP 730 million? Is that fair? Thank you. Thanks, Kerry. I'm going to ask only because I think you should have a question, Iain, to talk about the flu outlook. We'll come back to Luke on the timing. I would say the short answer to are we going to give you the precise pricing of our contracts will be no. Let's go to Iain first and then come over to Luke. Don't feel compelled to give the precise pricing. I want to. Brian's available as well. Kerry, on a volume basis, we would expect numbers to be broadly similar to last year. However, you'll recall from our commentary in the fourth quarter last year results, which we did in early February, that we had a very significant RRR adjustment in flu last year. Netting out that RRR adjustment, which we clearly won't see the benefit of again, I think volumes will be expected to be broadly similar, but in dollar terms or sterling terms rather, will be slightly less. Yeah. I would say that in the outlook of the 4%-6% beyond guidance EPS, that includes the recent contracts announced. It does indeed, yes. Yeah, it does. That's worth noting. Luke, you mentioned it before, is there anything else you want to add? Yes. On the delivery? Yeah. I think what we now need to do, we've got this overarching contract. We need to approach these 16 countries, which include all of the major European countries, and sign up volumes. We've also got a number of other countries outside Europe that we've got contracts for. I'm hoping in Q3 we can give you a lot more granularity because we'll have those in hand. In terms of pricing, the only price that we've given publicly is $2,100 WAC in the U.S. where we're selling a small number commercially. For Europe, you should just assume it's in the range of industry pricing. Next question, please. Thank you. Next question to the line of Geoffrey Porges of SVB Leerink. Please go ahead. Thank you very much. A couple of questions for Hal. F irst, just on the IO portfolio, you've highlighted the CD226 portfolio many times, just wondering if you could give us a sense of when we could see the first clinical proof of concept for the different combinations there for that whole strategy. Secondly, on, again, daprodustat, do you believe that we should expect class labeling for daprodustat for infection risk, thrombosis risk, and seizure risk, given the imbalances seen in your competitors' trials? As you know, the FDA has been extraordinarily cautious about labeling in the CKD population for the ESAs. Would that be prudent on our part? Thanks. Hal? Thanks, Geoff. Yeah, thanks, Geoff. The IO portfolio is actually quite robust now, and the CD226 axis, I think is well covered with both the now anti-TIGIT from iTeos. We have the CD96 inhibitor, which is most advanced in our collaboration with 23andMe. The furthest behind, but also exciting is the anti-PVRig, which should get into the clinic next year with a deal with Surface Oncology recently. All of those, of course, can be combined with each other as well as with dostarlimab. The four-drug combos are quite complicated, and there'll be a lot of dose ranging that's needed, indication ranging, if you will. We will be getting data from combinations with CD96 and dostarlimab first. That will be the first readout. That should occur in 2022. We should be able to get some PVRig data probably in 2022 as well. The TIGIT combinations with dostarlimab, we'll be seeing in 2022, hopefully, some data. It all, of course, depends on how robust the data is and whether we see activity at various doses. The triplet will take a little longer just because we have to get through all the dose ranging and safety, but that should come following the observation of proof of concepts with those combinations. Exciting opportunity, we think, to take the field beyond the PD-1 era and enter into a CD226 era, possibly a doublet or maybe even a triplet. If the cards fall appropriately, we can make a triplet that would be profoundly beneficial for patients if that was the case. Excited about that opportunity. In terms of daprodustat, I really don't want to comment on discussions that we haven't yet even started with regulators. The data that I mentioned that we are very excited by was the primary endpoint. We haven't done any of the subgroup analyses and other sensitivity analyses that are going to be, of course, needed. We'll be doing those very soon. We should have that data and hopefully be able to present that later this year. Then that's followed by discussions with regulators, digestion of the class, as you say. I think it would be premature to have any speculation on what anyone else's labels might show for sure, and ours will, of course, follow the data. Thanks for the question, Geoffrey. Thanks, Hal. Next question, please. Thank you. The next question is from the line of Keyur Parekh of Goldman Sachs. Please go ahead. Good afternoon. Two questions, please. One on commercial opportunity for BLENREP. Luke, I noticed that Bristol kind of reported first quarter revenues for their BCMA CAR T of GBP 24 million. That's roughly similar to the GBP 21 million you reported for BLENREP. Just give us a sense for where Bristol's taking share and how confident you are for growth of BLENREP, even without the additional studies reading out. Separately, for Brian McNamara. Brian McNamara, congratulations on the CEO designate. Not surprising there at all. Your slide talks about e-commerce being 7% of sales for the consumer healthcare business, up 30% for the quarter. Just wondering if you can give us a sense for how the 7% stacks relative to your peer group. What was the corresponding number last year? Just give us a sense for how big you think e-commerce might be for the Glaxo Consumer Healthcare business going forward. Thank you. Thanks, Keyur. Luke first. Sure. I think, Keyur, I'll just lay this out. Right now we have about a quarter of patients in the U.S. who are fifth line in terms of patients on drug, but about a quarter are fifth line, the rest are sixth, seventh line. One in three new patients coming on are fifth line. We're starting to move up there. I think there has been a bit of pressure in that fourth-line setting. It's a relatively small number of patients. There's a lot of competition for them with studies such as teclistamab, the bispecifics. In terms of the CAR T, let's see, there's some ordering patterns probably there. Again, it's concentrated in academic centers. Where we're now seeing our growth is in the community, which is a natural progression. In the end, though, we need to address the dosing. As Hal has outlined, there's a lot of activities to do that to penetrate the earlier lines of treatment where the vast majority of the opportunity for this product exists. We're less concerned around ABECMA. Again, I think that is being used in the EMD population, and some of the talks around heme and it's impacting treatment length. I think we've got more work to do to capture those fourth-line patients in the community, and we're working very hard to do it. Thank you. Brian, digital. Yes, for the question. Thanks for the congratulations also. As you said, our e-commerce's percent of sales is 7%, up 30%. Last year, we were at 6% of sales. We continue to see progression. As far as how that compares to competitors, it really is quite dependent on portfolio. If you look across our portfolio, say in oral care, we are overdeveloped, where we have higher shares in many of our brands online versus offline. In OTC, we're pretty much in line, but skewed towards, again, being overdeveloped, so slightly better than I would say the competitive set. On VMS actually is an area we're catching up. We were underdeveloped on VMS as there's many more digital native brands in that space. We're growing in that area very aggressively, and we're seeing really good progression in that area. I continue to believe this is an area that's going to continue to grow really healthy. We've seen a massive shift in these categories to online shopping as part of the behavior that came with the pandemic, and we see that consumer behavior continuing, and I feel really great about where we're at and our capabilities in this area to continue to win in the space. Thanks, Brian. I would also like to add my very public congratulations and pride in your appointment. Thank you, Emma. I'm just glad you got a question at long last, Brian. The other thing I would just overlay is it's not only the brand power on digital, it's also the geographic mix, where because of our strong presence in consumer in both the U.S. and China, which are very e-commerce-friendly regions, that also helps drive both our capability and our competitiveness on that. Next question, please. Thank you. The next question is from the line of Emmanuel Papadakis of Deutsche Bank. Please go ahead. Hi, Emmanuel. Hey, thank you for taking the question. I'll make it two for Brian, actually. You've got to get him. First question on margins, please. You reiterate the mid-high 20s for next year, I think. Obviously that's as part of the current business, not as a standalone. I know there's been some discussion of what additional standalone costs you would incur. Any insight you can offer us at this stage in terms of the step down on margins we'd likely to see as a standalone business? If not now, even anything qualitative, if not now, when are we likely to get that number? Then maybe a question on the R&D side. You reported a miss in MOONSTONE. Perhaps you could give us some comments on the data unit that missed the target you were after on RR. What does that imply, if anything, for the clinical development program for? I don't actually think we're due any pivotal or proof of concept data points for the rest of this year or even next. Are we just waiting for that ZEAL lung maintenance study in 2024? Are there other things we should be thinking about looking out for or you're considering? Thank you. Thanks very much, Emmanuel. We'll come in a moment to Hal, first of all, Brian, do you want to comment on when more will be shared? Yeah. As Emma mentioned, we'll be doing a capital markets day in the first half of next year. We haven't identified that date yet. At that time is when we would share much more detail around the business in a lot of areas around our cash flow and our margin progression, and included in that would be any of the one-off costs. You'd expect to hear about that next year before separation. Thank you. Hal, MOONSTONE, an implication? Yeah. Emma, part of Emmanuel's question dropped out. Could you just repeat it briefly? I can repeat it if you can hear me. Oh, thanks, Emmanuel. You're welcome. It was just a question on the miss in MOONSTONE. Oh, okay. What does that imply for the clinical development and next data points we should be looking for or thinking about? Thank you. That's what I thought you said. Just wanted to confirm. You're correct, MOONSTONE has been stopped. I think it's important to point out MOONSTONE was a single-arm open label phase II study where we were looking at response rate. It was in the most difficult patients with ovarian cancer to treat, the so-called platinum-resistant ovarian cancer patient populations, who actually do not very well even with chemo and bevacizumab, but these are second line, those who failed bevacizumab. Very resistant population. Was based on some very small numbers of patients that suggested maybe the combination of PD-1 plus PARP would be beneficial. We had a very high bar, the study, when we looked at the response rates, didn't suggest that it was going to achieve the bar we had. The study that we're always been more optimistic about, because again, MOONSTONE was in the treatment setting where frankly, the data for PARPs in the treatment setting has been very. In terms of efficacy in the maintenance setting is where you really see the benefit. The study that we thought would most definitively identify an opportunity for the combination of PARP + PD-1 was the so-called FIRST trial, which is where patients received chemo with dostarlimab and niraparib versus standard of care platinum-based regimen. That is enrolling well, and we should see data for that before the next opportunity to have a direct read-through for this potential synergistic impact. We're also, as you mentioned, committed to other combinations of niraparib with dostarlimab. We have the phase III RUBY Part two section where we're comparing dostarlimab in combination with niraparib for patients with endometrial cancer. Of course, we have the ZEST and ZEAL, both of which could be transformational for patients. ZEAL being in the frontline lung cancer setting and ZEST being a novel study designed for women with breast cancer who were surgically treated for the intent of cure, but who have evidence through tumor measurements in the blood, the cell-free DNA from the tumor being evident as a biomarker that we're using to start treating people to potentially prevent the disease from recurring. Two innovative, and I think exciting, trials that in addition to FIRST will add hopefully a lot to patient benefit and to the life cycle of niraparib. Thanks, Hal. We've got time for one more question. Okay. Have to wrap it up. If there is one more question. Thank you. The next question is from the line of Graham Parry of BofA. Please go ahead. Great. Thanks. Only question. Just firstly on SHINGRIX, just wondering if you could just help us square the circle of the different commentary. The guidance is a little cautious, but you're still talking confidence in strong recovery in 2H. Are you still expecting a very strong 2022? I think consensus is looking for 25% year-on-year growth. Does that sit within the range of your outcomes internally? Secondly, just following up on the question on Pfizer's RSV vaccine timing. That suggests perhaps they might be expecting more RSV events coming this season if they think they can get a data read out in Q1. Is it also the case that perhaps the RSV incidence is picking up relative to what you assumed when you originally planned your studies, meaning your data could also come earlier? Thank you. Hal, you want to come back again to the RSV study? Just on SHINGRIX, yes, we do see a significant step-up in 2022. We're not going to start commenting on versus specific analyst guidance on that one, Graham. Hal, would you like to comment on the RSV study and RSV governance? Just to reiterate, there's a lot of assumptions that go into determining how long a trial will take. Of course, as I mentioned before, it has a lot to do with sample size. We are enrolling 25,000 people. The enrollment's going very well. It does have a lot to do with the number of events, which is actually related to some extent to the treatment effect. There is some reason to believe that the events might be higher than anticipated based on the fact that in 2020, there was very limited RSV, and sometimes without the prior season immunity, sometimes there's more clinically significant cases. Again, we're all estimating these things, and it would be probably more like a class effect, if you will, that if there's more events, we'll be seeing that in any trials in RSV. It won't be obviously unique to us or Pfizer or anybody else. We just have to wait and see, and, of course, anything's possible, but the idea that maybe there's more RSV because of the 2020 low levels, there is some data to suggest that might be the case. We'll just have to wait and see. Thank you very much. With that, everybody, we'll finish today's call and look forward to catching up with you in the coming days. For those that we don't get to speak to, I hope whether it's near or far, you get some kind of a break, and look forward to catching up again soon. All right. Thank you.
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