Ladies and gentlemen, good day and welcome to Titagarh Rail Systems Limited Q1 FY 2027 earnings conference call. As a reminder, all participant lines will be in listen-only mode, and there will be an opportunity for you to ask questions after the presentation concludes. Should you need assistance during this conference call, please signal an operator by pressing star then zero on your touchtone phone. Now in the conference, Mr. Umesh Chowdhary, Vice Chairman and Managing Director, Titagarh Rail Systems Limited. Thank you, and over to you, sir. Very good afternoon and thank you for joining the Q1 FY 2027 earnings call. I am joined by Mr. Prithish Chowdhary, the Deputy Managing Director, Mr. Anil Kumar Agarwal, Deputy Managing Director, Mr. Saurav Singhania, the CFO, and the team. I would like Mr. Prithish Chowdhary to give an overview of the developments during the quarter. After which, we would be very happy to take any questions that may be there. Prithish. Good evening, everybody, and thank you for logging in to the Q1 investor call. Before we start, I would like to share some key updates and key highlights of the quarter. Firstly, we are happy to share that the Q1 was the highest share of the revenue for the PRS vertical, meaning the passenger rail system vertical for the company. In Q1, the PRS contributed almost 31% or 31% share of the revenue, with more than 30 coaches dispatched in the first quarter, which for the company is a milestone. It is a historic milestone. In terms of wagon dispatches, the number was at 1,284 wagons, which was a little bit muted as a conscious call. This is largely on account of the wagon order book currently standing at an order of 5,300 wagons. While we await for a larger tender to be announced from the Indian Railways and while the company actively pursues orders from the private sector, we aim to manufacture anywhere between 600- 650 wagons per month until such time that there is a clarity from the Indian Railways on a larger tender for freight wagons. At the end of the quarter, the total order book for the company stands at INR 26,635 crores including the company share of JV orders. The TRSL order book, as a standalone, is INR 13,335 crores, with INR 10,395 crores coming in from passenger rail systems and INR 2,470 crores coming in from freight rail systems. This is also to highlight the growth of the PRS business for the company over the coming quarters. We intend to increase the coach production to 45- 50 coaches per quarter in this financial year, and then further, as the company has stated multiple times, by 2028-2029, to establish a total production capacity of 850 coaches plus per annum, for which the company has a healthy order book supporting these plans for growth. With this, I think we can close the major business updates for the quarter and open it up for questions. Thank you. Thank you very much. Yeah. Sorry, sir. Go ahead. Yeah. We are happy to take questions now. Thank you very much. We will now begin the question and answer session. Anyone who wishes to ask a question may press star and one on the touchtone telephone. If you wish to remove yourself from the question queue, you may press star and two. Participants are requested to use handsets while asking a question. Ladies and gentlemen, we will wait for a moment while the question queue assembles. Participants, you may press star and one to ask the question. First question is from the line of Rajesh Bhandari from Nakoda Engineers. Please go ahead. Sir, good afternoon and good evening, sir. Hello, can you hear me, sir? Yes, sir. Go ahead. You are audible. Yes, sir. Yeah. Yes. Sir, in fact, if I am not wrong, the best probably the pure railway company is Titagarh Rail. We have a lot of orders also, but somehow I find that these orders are not fructifying on the ground. Sir, thank you very much for your observation about Titagarh, and your second observation is on data, very, very accurate, but one has to see it from the perspective of the quality of the order book and of the business plan. As was highlighted by Prithish, 80% of our standalone order book today is relating to the passenger rail system, which is a new business that the company has entered into. Quarter on quarter, we have registered a very healthy growth. If you look at actually on a year-on-year basis, the increase for the coach dispatch, as has been given in the presentation also, on a year-to-year basis, it has increased by almost 400%, and quarter-to-quarter by 43%. Even in terms of the revenue of the PRS from the last quarter, which was INR 130 odd crores, we have INR 170 crores. We are now at INR 230 crores. It is going to now register a quarter-on-quarter growth every quarter as we go ahead. Amongst the order book, we have two types of orders. One is the Vande Bharat order, which is going to be supplied over a period of the next five years. The metro order, which is going to be supplied over the period of the next two years. If you refer to the strategic plan that was published by the company last year, about six to eight months ago, or maybe a year ago, the overall growth and the execution plan of the existing order has been given therein. We are very confident to be able to meet with that execution or ramp-up plan, barring maybe like in the last year, there was some postponement in one quarter or so. But barring that, we are very confident of being able to ramp up the passenger rail business. To sum it up, there are two business segments that we have. One is the freight rail segment, one is the passenger rail segment, and both need to be evaluated individually. On the freight rail segment, we have a capacity to produce 1,000 wagons per month. We have deliberately now kept it a little scaled down because of the new order visibility, which we are hoping to get in the next few months. Until we have that order visibility, we would like to down scale the operation to around 600, 650 wagons so that the overhead absorption can be kept in equal manner. As far as the passenger rail system is concerned, the ramp-up is going to be steep, and quarter on quarter, we should be able to see a very healthy growth going forward. Sir, 850 cars per annum for the passenger railway. Did I hear it right? Yes. It is there in the strategic plan also, sir, that by 2029- By which year, sir? 2029, 2030. We will have a capacity 850 cars Metro Vande Bharat commuter. Because each car is going to cost around approximately INR 10 crores. The total cost of a car is INR 10 crore. When we are supplying Vande Bharat, it is in consortium. Only 51% of the car value comes to us for the current contract. For the future, we will see whether we are still going consortium or we go by ourselves. Okay. For Vande Bharat, okay. For other metro cars, what is our share, sir? 100%? Exactly. Metro cars, we participate ourselves. We do not go in consortium. By 2029, 2030, we can expect that we will have a turnover of approximately maybe around three times? Sir, the capacity that we have, if you refer to the strategic plan, it will be visible there. We have given it out in public domain that the total capacity wise, the company is going to have a capacity to do 850 cars. Yeah. Which gets translated into INR 8,500 crore of potential revenue, and the freight is going to be 12,000, which is a potential revenue of INR 4,500 crore. That is the capacity that we are building. Execution of that is also dependent on the receipt of orders and other factors. We would not like to give any forward-looking statement here by saying that this is the revenue that is likely to be or not likely to be. But what we are saying is that this is the overall capacity, the business potential from the company that we are generating to be ready within 2029 or 2030. Thank you. Next question is from line of Koundinya Nimmagadda from Jefferies. Please go ahead. Yeah. Hi, sir. Thanks for the opportunity. I hope I am audible. Sir, my first question is on the FRS segment, right? Obviously, we did hear you that it's a calibrated scale on the wagon side. What I'm trying to understand here is that this 5,300 odd wagons that you have in your order book, at least from the presentation, our understanding is that you will have to execute it this year. God forbid, if you do not get a new order flow, that one lakh wagon kind of whatever we are hearing, right? If it does not happen, do you intend to slow it down further? If so, are there any penalties which the company may need to incur? That's my first question. Koundinya, good afternoon. Very clear. There is no plan to scale it down even further because this plan has been done on the basis of the delivery commitments that we have. In fact, with this plan of production of about 600 odd wagons, we would be maybe a couple of months ahead of the delivery schedule of most of the orders, but not much. The possibility of scaling this down should not be very significant. As far as new orders are concerned, we are now aggressively going and booking private orders also alongside with hoping for the new wagon tender to come out. Sir, anything that you are hearing on the new wagon tender, because I think that has been the news for some time now, and we were also optimistic that it could happen any time in third quarter or so. Any color on that? Has it been pushed out or is it on track? In the government machinery, things do take time, as we all know. Unfortunately, the last few months have been months where the priority overall have shifted because of the Middle Eastern war and all of those extraneous factors. I have always maintained that if you look at the overall macroeconomics of the railways, the requirement of the wagon can be deferred by a few months or a couple of quarters, but not dropped. The railways continue to have their target of going to 3 billion tons of freight movement. They are currently at half of that. It is a very simple arithmetic that if they have to double up their freight movement, they cannot do it with the same number of wagons. That is clear, sir. My second question is on the PRS segment. Two parts to it. One, is there any change to that 200 odd coaches that we were targeting that guidance? Is it still intact or is there some change? Within that, if you can briefly comment on the key metro projects, Bangalore Metro, Gujarat Metro, and Mumbai Metro projects. Are things on track? Do you see any delays either for things that you can control or you cannot control? If you can comment on that, please. The target remains intact. There is no shift in the target that we had. I had mentioned in the last call also that 10% plus, minus, we should be able to achieve the target fully. As far as the projects that we are focusing on now, we are intending to complete Bangalore and Gujarat first and get on to the prototyping of Mumbai. Sure, sir. Any tentative timelines that you could indicate to us on when do we expect Gujarat to complete and when do we expect Mumbai to start? Also on Mumbai, there were some news flows of project potential delays on the civil work side. Would that any which way impact our execution? No, that will not impact our execution. In infrastructure projects, two or three months delays are not significant. There is enough buffer to keep coaches also in between. As far as timelines is concerned, bulk of the Bangalore and Gujarat will be over within this financial year, maybe spilling over a little bit to the first quarter of the next financial year. The prototype of Mumbai will start simultaneously. It will not be subsequential, but it will be parallel. Sure, sir. If I may ask one last question. How are the things panning out with respect to your backward integration/technology upgradation on the propulsion system side? If you can maybe speak a little bit about those plans. That is also going on fully well. We have already supplied two rakes of propulsion equipment for EMU. We are now planning to supply the propulsion sets for MEMU which should be done within the end of this quarter or beginning of next quarter. That is the plan which is very well on track. Got it, sir. Thank you very much and all the best. Thank you so much. Thank you. Thank you. Next question is from line of Parvez Kazi from Nomura Group. Please go ahead. Hi, good evening, and thanks for taking my question. Continuing on with the previous participant, you indicated that we will target to complete bulk of the Gujarat Metro order in this year with maybe some portion to be done early next year. Did I get that right? That's right, Parvez. Yes, absolutely. Sure. By when do we expect to supply the prototype for Mumbai Metro? Should be done in Q4 of this financial year, Q1 of calendar year next year. Sure. Will the Vande Bharat prototype also follow a similar timeline, Q4 2027? That is right. Within the same timelines, we will be giving the Vande Bharat first train also. End of this calendar year, that is end of this third quarter and beginning of fourth quarter, between that. Sure. Lastly, what about the Pune Metro? Do we need to supply a prototype there, or is it because it is an extension of an earlier order, we can just start with series production straight away? Pune Metro, I think it is a very relevant question that you raised, Parvez. Maybe I will speak a few words about the Pune Metro. This is an extension order. We do not need to do prototypes again, but this is an aluminum metro as you are already aware, most of the investors are already aware. In the past, Pune Metro that we executed, the first 34 trains that we have supplied, we used to bring in the sub-assemblies or the black packs from our associate in Italy. This time, we have already acquired all the machines, which are now under the different stages of installation and commissioning, so that we are fully independent and self-sufficient to make the complete coach, right from the extrusion up to the final coach. Earlier, the sub-assemblies were made by Firema. Now we will be making those sub-assemblies very much in India. This will give us two things. One is, of course, we will be able to become self-reliant in the Pune Metro production line, but we will also set up our facility for aluminum coaches for the upcoming projects, particularly projects like the bullet train, which has to be of aluminum. While we are the only company in India which has done aluminum coaches in India, the backward integration of the manufacturing with this coach will also get established with this line. We are expecting that this production line will be fully commissioned by Q1 of next financial year. The delivery schedule of these 12 trains is Q3 or Q4 of next financial year. Even maybe before that, we will be able to deliver those trains, and also be ready to produce aluminum trains in general, end to end. Sure. Last question on our shipbuilding side, what are our plans there? I saw your interview where you were saying that we are making progress on construction part. Some update on that would be useful. Thank you. Parvez, I lost your voice. Can you repeat the question? I was asking about some update on our shipbuilding venture, where we are expanding our capacity. Some perspective on that would be great. Thank you. On the shipbuilding, as you are aware, we have hived off the shipbuilding division to a wholly owned subsidiary, which is called Titagarh Naval Systems. The new shipyard that has to come up in Palta, the work has started on the ground. We have appointed a Managing Director and CEO for this project, a person who comes with extensive knowledge and background, Commodore Hemant Khatri. He was the Chairman, Managing Director of Hindustan Shipyard before. The plan is that between the Q1 of next financial year or Q2 of next financial year, the shipyard will be fully up and running. Sure. Thanks and all the best. Thank you, Parvez. Thank you. Next question is from the line of Naveen Sahadev from ICICI Securities. Please go ahead. Yeah. Good evening, sir. Am I audible? Hello. Yes. Yes, sir. Right. Thank you. Thank you for the opportunity. Sir, my first question was on the recent cancellation of the MRVC tender altogether. Just to understand, does it any way risk the total addressable market for us? Because that project now, Indian Railways says is to be done in-house, versus a tender system or to private manufacturers in the past. That was the plan earlier. Just wanted to understand that, is it in a way risks the total addressable market? Or the way to look at it is that since Indian Railways now will be focusing on that, the typical freight wagon things could be out to the public much sooner. Some color on that will be helpful. The freight and the passenger capacity is not fungible with each other. They are completely chalk and cheese. Both may be white, but they are completely different from each other. The question whether the shifting of this load to railway PSU can help the freight wagon demand come up, that would not be the case. As far as your question on the total addressable market is concerned, the total addressable market is not changing at all. It is only the product mix that is changing. The total addressable market and the total capacity available remains intact. It is not that ICF is a new capacity which is coming up. It has a finite capacity, does not have an infinite capacity. It is only the product mix that can keep on changing. So let us say the total requirement of the system is X, and the total supply, including ICF, including us, including Alstom, including BEML is Y, those X and Y do not change. If ICF gets busy to produce a particular type of product, there will be the other types of products that they will not be able to produce within the passenger segment, for which we believe that the business will come to the private sector. We do not see this as a setback in terms of the overall business potential. Yes, of course, a large tender going off the market is not a very happy situation. But as the honorable minister announced in his public appearance, this was done only for the reason of expediting the Local train supply so that the railways capacity and the railways muscles can be used to bring these trains earlier into the Mumbai suburban system. I am not quoting him, but I am just giving my own estimate. This probably will mean more Vande Bharats that were being produced by the railway production units who will be ready to produce these trains and get tendered out and be supplied by people like us. That is helpful. My second question then was on the prototype approval. You mentioned bulk of Gujarat will get delivered this year or early next year. Is it safe to assume that the prototypes for both Ahmedabad and Surat have already been approved and hence the confidence, or it is likely anytime soon in coming weeks or days? They have already delivered two trains of Ahmedabad, and in metro system, the prototype approval happens in many stages. First is the design approval, then the prototype approval, then the Research Designs & Standards Organisation testing and oscillation and all of that. We are in the third stage of that. But these are matters of fine-tuning. Once the train is manufactured and tested and delivered, then the other approvals are consequential. Understood. Just one more question also, if I can just slip in. This is regarding the Vande Bharat again, and the consortium or the tie-up we have with BHEL. So once we start delivering on these Vande Bharat trains, how would the accounting be? Will it be like a proportionate revenue or is it a JV where it will directly get added below the PBT as share of profit from JV? This is for both the train supply as well as the AMC is my question. Thank you. Both will be separate. The AMC JV is the share of profit of the JV, and the supply is directly in the top line and the bottom line because it is proportionate as a consortium. That is not a JV, it is a consortium. So the short answer to that is for the supply portion, it will be added to the top line and then consequently follow to the bottom line. As far as the AMC is concerned, it will be a part of the JV. So it will be a JV accounting. Thank you. Thank you so much for the clarification, and pardon if any of these questions were a little naive. I am relatively new to the sector. Thank you. All of them were very relevant. Thank you. Thank you very much. Participants, you may press star and one to ask the question. Ladies and gentlemen, you may press star and one to ask the question. Next question is from the line of Amitoj Singh from 360 ONE Capital. Please go ahead. Yes. Thank you so much, sir, for taking my question. I just wanted to have a bookkeeping question. Out of the 491 passenger metro cars that we have in our order book, can you give us a split of how much is for Bangalore Metro, Ahmedabad Metro, and so on? Is that possible? No. Normally we don't give out the exact split of the orders. That's not something I'd be able to divulge at the moment. That's usually due to competitive reasons we don't give out the exact split. Got it. On the Gujarat Metro, Ahmedabad and Surat Metro are going hand in hand, the execution for that. We should assume that they'll be executing both at the simultaneous times given? They are being executed in parallel, sir. Okay. That is it, sir. Thank you so much. Thank you. Thank you. Thank you. Participants, you may press star and one to ask the question. Next question is from the line of Utsav Shah from Value Investment. Please go ahead. Hi, sir. Good evening. Am I audible? Yes, sir. You are audible. Yes, sir. Go ahead. Yeah. I just had one question regarding the wheel set JV that we had with Ramkrishna. Are we on track as per the timeline initially given regarding the phase two start from April 2027? Am I right? Am I correct or In fact, the hot trials are currently ongoing in the forging line in the factory in Chennai, sir. Starting this month, starting August, we start the sample production. I would say the JV is progressing on track, very much on track. Okay, sir. Okay. Any guidance on as to when the wagons order is out, because I think that's what most of us analysts are tracking right now. Any news, anything regarding that, any tentative idea as to when latest it might come? We are also hopeful for the tender to come out, sir. Whatever we know is also based off of media reports which indicate anyway. There is a clear target of 3 billion tons of freight loading which remains unchanged. As was mentioned earlier in the call that in order to meet that target, it is only logical that procurement of wagons will have to be done. It's only a question of time before the railways comes out with a tender. As far as the timeline, we are also hopeful. Okay, sir. Sure. Thank you. Thank you. Thank you. Participants, you may press star and one to ask the question. Next question is from the line of Sandeep Mukherjee from SKP Securities. Please go ahead. Sir, thanks for taking this question. My only question is that how many Bangalore Metro coaches/trains are delivered in Q1 FY 2027, and how many traction motors are dispatched in Q1 FY 2027? Thank you. As far as the Bangalore Metro dispatches, sir, that is again not a number that we can divulge due to competitive reasons. As far as the traction motor dispatches are concerned, there were 72 traction motors. During this quarter we have dispatched approximately 263 traction motors. Okay. That's it, sir. Thank you. Thank you. Participants, you may press star and one to ask the question. Next question is from the line of Amay Sarda from Purnartha Investment Advisers. Please go ahead. Hello. Hi there. Thank you so much for the opportunity. Just one question. We have INR 70 crores in the shipbuilding segment. In how much time can we execute this order book? This shipbuilding order that we have received from Mr. Ashish, there is a tenure of delivery. The first ship has to be delivered over 30 months, and then It will be delivered over a period of two years, sir. As mentioned earlier, this will be executed in the wholly owned subsidiary, the new entity, which is Titagarh Naval Systems Limited. Okay. This will not be executed this year for sure? No, sir. Over 30 months, sir. Not this year. Okay. Thank you so much, sir. That is it. Thank you. Ladies and gentlemen, you may press star and one to ask the question. Next question is from the line of Amit Gupta from ICICI Securities. Please go ahead. Good evening, sir. Yes, sir. Good evening. Sir, I have a question on Wheels JV with Ramkrishna Forgings. I just wanted to understand what is the profitability trajectory that we are expecting this JV? What could be given, and then going ahead, what could be the steady state margins? As far as the margins are concerned, we would expect to maintain margins in line with our standard forging business. If you look at the margins of any forging company like Ramkrishna Forgings, for example, we would expect the margins to remain in line with that. As far as our selling price is concerned and our margins are concerned, our selling price to the Indian Railways is in public domain, as far as the per kilogram of wheel is concerned. That is already public information. Okay. Yeah, that was my question. Thank you, sir. Thank you. Participants, you may press star and one to ask the question. Next follow-up question is from the line of Rajesh Bhandari from Nakoda Engineers. Please go ahead. Sir, thanks for giving me chance again. Sir, and complete because the order is a huge one. Okay. Approximately INR 500 crores per year. capacity will be underwritten by the railways for the next 20 years. Balance will be sold either to TRSL or to other customers. Okay, so what turnover can we expect, sir, from next year? From the wheel. At peak capacity utilization. Thank you, sir. Thank you. Thank you. Participants, you may press star and one to answer question. Next follow-up question is from the line of Amitoj Singh from 360 ONE Capital. Please go ahead. Thank you so much, sir. My question was answered. Thank you. Thank you. Ladies and gentlemen, you may press star and one to answer question. Next follow-up question is from the line of Naveen Sahadev from ICICI Securities. Please go ahead. Yeah. Thank you for the repeat opportunity. Two questions. One is about the visibility of metro orders beyond FY 2028. I am completely convinced FY 2027 is looking great, much better than 2026, and I am assuming 2028 will also be much better, as highlighted earlier. But what about the visibility for FY 2029 onwards? Do you see a steady increase in the year-on-year orders for these metro cars, or it could be expected to be lumpy in nature? Sir, I think the answer to this is, in fact, even if you look at our presentation, we have highlighted a few opportunities, region-wise across the country in Western India, Southern India, and Central and North India, which are tenders rather to be floated in the immediate future or in the very near future. If you look at the larger plans of the government of India, the National Rail Plan, as well as the general plans of the government, there is a very clear mandate to increase the metro networks from 25 cities to 50 cities, which is a doubling of the existing metro network. Cities where metros already exist are constantly going in for expansions of their metro networks. This is evident in cities like Mumbai, like Delhi, Chennai. All these cities already have metro networks running, and they are constantly looking at expanding and upgrading the same. As a company, we are very confident on a very buoyant passenger rail market or an urban mass transit market for India for the upcoming years. To add to that, sir, if you also look at the National Rail Plan for the passenger movement and the various announcements and targets of the government for passenger loading, it is very clear that the whole of the passenger rail segment, the coach segment, whether that is main line coaches, EMU coaches, or metro coaches, that market will remain buoyant in the country for years to come. Thank you very much. Ladies and gentlemen, we will take that as a last question. I now hand the conference over to Mr. Umesh Chowdhary, Vice Chairman and Managing Director, for closing comments. Thank you very much to all the participants for their valuable questions and insights. We have also made a note of all the questions that were asked, and we will try to address them the best we can. I would just like to add on here is that we have been investing and working very hard on developing the passenger rail system business, which in terms of the order book, had developed and had become the majority share of the business overall of TRSL on a standalone basis. This time, although at a low base of the freight, the freight passenger has contributed to more than 30% of the overall revenue. We are very hopeful and very confident of growing this further and at full capacity of freight, as and when the new orders come. We are still very confident that passenger would still become the dominant part of the company. It is only a matter of time, as I mentioned, in terms of the wagon order from a current level of 1.5 billion tons to move 3 billion tons, which is an absolute must for the Indian economy. The wagon order should come, but the heartening part is that in spite of the full capacity utilization of wagons, which will happen in the years to come, we still believe that passengers could still overtake the freight business and be the dominant part of the business. Thank you very much, members of the management. On behalf of Titagarh Rail Systems Limited, that concludes this conference. Thank you all for joining us, and you may now disconnect your lines. Thank you.
Loading workspace