Greetings. Welcome to the Amedisys third quarter 2022 earnings call. At this time, all participants are in listen-only mode. A question-and-answer session will follow the formal presentation. If anyone this morning should require operator assistance during the conference, please press star zero from your telephone keypad. Please note that today's conference is being recorded. At this time, I'll turn the conference over to Nick Muscato, Chief Strategy Officer. Nick, you may now begin. Nick, please go ahead. Mr. Muscato, you may begin your presentation. Thank you, operator, and welcome to the Amedisys Investor Conference Call to discuss the results of our third quarter ended September 30, 2022. A copy of our press release, supplemental slides, and related Form 8-K filing with the SEC are available on the Investor Relations page on our website. Speaking on today's call from Amedisys will be President and Chief Executive Officer, Chris Gerard, and Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer, Scott Ginn. Before we get started with our call, I would like to remind everyone that statements made on this conference call today may constitute forward-looking statements and are protected under the safe harbor of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act. These forward-looking statements are based on information available to Amedisys today. The company assumes no obligation to update information provided on this call to reflect subsequent events other than as required under applicable securities laws. These forward-looking statements may involve a number of risks and uncertainties which may cause the company's results or actual outcomes to differ materially from such statements. These risks and uncertainties, including factors detailed in our SEC filings, including our Form 10-K, 10-Q, and 8-K. In addition, as required under SEC Regulation G, a reconciliation of any non-GAAP measure mentioned during our call today to the most comparable GAAP measure will be available in our Forms 10-Q, 10-K, and 8-K. Thank you, and now I'll turn the call over to President and CEO, Chris Gerard. Thanks, Nick, and thanks to everyone for joining us. Today, Amedisys announced our third quarter 2022 results. Before we get into the performance update, I want to give a heartfelt thank you to all of our Amedisys employees. The work you do and the care you provide on a daily basis are an inspiration, and I am truly grateful for all that you do for those we serve. As we speak with you today, we are awaiting CMS's release of the 2023 Home Health Final Rule. We expect that any day. There is a wide range of potential outcomes in the Final Rule. If the rule carries forward the behavioral adjustment cuts as proposed, our bipartisan champions in Congress are fully committed to seeing this fight to the finish by aggressively pursuing the passage of legislation that pauses these cuts from going into effect. We have spent the last six months working in Washington on this issue, and key lawmakers and staff fully understand the impacts this fundamentally flawed budget neutrality methodology will have on patients' access to care, the home health industry, and the entire healthcare system. We know a lot happens in Washington here at the end of the year, and we are hopeful that if CMS Final Rule contains these onerous cuts, a policy fix to mitigate these cuts will be included in the year-end congressional legislation. We, along with the united industry, have a plan, a path, and bipartisan congressional support to successfully address the proposed behavioral adjustment cuts if CMS fails to do so in the Final Rule. As I mentioned, we expect the rule any day now, and once we see it, we will update everyone on its impact to Amedisys. Now that we've got the reimbursement discussion out of the way, let's dive into what has become a transformative and exciting time here at Amedisys. As you will soon hear, we've been an important chapter of investing in our company, including our innovative service offerings, our people, and our partnerships, all of which will result in strong momentum going into 2023 and a bright horizon ahead of us. While we're not immune from certain economic conditions and the known difficulties of operating in today's healthcare landscape, we have used this quarter to strategically position ourselves to be an even more powerful player on the national stage moving forward. With that, I'd like to discuss some exciting developments across our business lines. For a number of quarters, we have been pointing to the increased penetration of Medicare Advantage as a catalyst for our strong desire to innovate with payers, with the goal of moving to a mutually beneficial value-based payment model. Today, I am very happy to announce that we have signed an innovative case rate contract with one of the largest Medicare Advantage health plans in the U.S., CVS Aetna. We're excited about this new partnership and look forward to expanding these types of contracting relationships across more of our business in the future. I want to thank our partners at CVS Aetna for their desire to do something new and innovative. To summarize how case rate works, forward-thinking plans such as CVS Aetna pay us a flat rate per admission. We then provide the highest quality, most optimal care to each patient from the time they are admitted until they are discharged from our service. In order to assure positive outcomes for CVS Aetna members, we will tie a portion of our case rate to specific quality metrics, such as rehospitalization rate and timely initiation of care. As we free up clinical capacity, we are then able to dedicate more capacity to these plans' members, resulting in more plan members receiving care in the home, thus increasing access for CVS Aetna while providing Amedisys with new organic admissions growth opportunity. I do want to thank our partners at CVS Aetna and our internal teams for embarking on what will be one of the future growth levers for our organization. As we have discussed in the past, we are in active discussion with other plans for similar contracts or other value-based models. The remaining plans that have been unwilling to engage on models like this should take note. In a world where clinical capacity is at a premium, we will not work with payers who fail to see the value that we deliver and the quality outcomes we provide for their members. I'd also like to acknowledge other organizations who are innovating alongside Amedisys to leverage the tremendous amount of value that our services offer their patients and plans. Professional Health Care Network and CareCentrix have taken a holistic view to working with their provider partners, have been willing to pay us episodically, and have shown a desire to innovate and expand their relationships with us. I'd also like to call out myN exus, who pays us a strong per visit rate. These organizations recognize that high-quality providers of scale are unique in home health and tie bonus dollars to quality results. These organizations are the types of conveners we strive to work with. As they grow, our capacity will be shifted to serve more of their patients as their reimbursement structure enables us to deliver the best care in the home, as opposed to the short-sighted conveners that simply want to take a fee, drive visits down, and increase administrative burden, thus negatively impacting patient access to appropriate, timely care. We also feel the addition of Contessa will uniquely position us to spring ahead of the industry in developing innovative new ways to work with our patients and managed care partners. Speaking of Contessa, we recently announced a first of its kind comprehensive care at home partnership with the University of Arkansas for Medical Sciences. This joint venture partnership will offer patients a full spectrum of Contessa and Amedisys services, including hospital at home, SNF at Home, primary care at home, and home health. We're extremely excited as this joint venture marks a key milestone since our acquisition of Contessa last year. This partnership provides a new standard of care delivery, spanning the full continuum of at-home care, and represents the first partnership in which both Contessa and Amedisys services have been in scope at the outset. We will continue to seek out and invest in opportunities with similar health systems looking for an operational partner to build out a differentiated and integrated home care offering utilizing this full suite of services. It has been an exciting quarter in home health from a partnership perspective. Though the operating environment in 2022 has been challenging, these new relationships differentiate Amedisys and set us up for future profitable growth. We know the catalyst for this growth in new partnerships is our unwavering commitment to quality patient care. I'm excited to announce for the January 2023 preview, our home health quality of patient care star scores is 4.49 stars, with 99% of our care centers reaching 4 stars or greater and 83% at 4.5 stars or greater. Quality has been and always will be core to all we do at Amedisys, and this continued improvement is really something all of us here at Amedisys are proud of. In hospice, for the quarter, hospice same store ADC grew 1%, which marks the second quarter in a row of ADC growth. Adding to the improvement in ADC has been the normalization of discharges as a percent of ADC and the leveling off of median length of stay. As we have discussed during the last few quarters, our discharge rate peaked at 39% and our median length of stay dropped to 18 days in January and has sequentially improved compared to our internal modeling since that point. To quantify how impactful this experience has been to revenue, if discharge rates mirrored 2019 experience, year-to-date September revenue would have been approximately $51 million higher than our current year-to-date revenue. Within our high acuity segment, total admissions in Q3 for hospital and SNF at Home were 430, representing 25% growth over Q2. To further strengthen the positive trajectory of this segment, we've invested significantly in integrating the nursing function into the Amedisys home health operations and devoted resources to recruiting our own nurses to service our joint venture partnerships. Nurse staffing continues to be a widespread challenge for organizations across our healthcare system, accounting for 59% of our volume missed within our live joint venture partnerships in 2022. With the largest factor in our ability to take these high acuity program referrals increasingly in our control, we expect to reap the benefits in the form of meeting our targeted admission metrics this year and beyond. Additionally, Contessa continues to have tremendous success in its newer palliative care at home model. Engaged members were up 57% quarter-over-quarter. We see a tremendous opportunity to capitalize on this initial success by building out additional infrastructure and risk-taking capabilities to enable new innovative palliative care at home programs. On the business development front, Contessa is currently implementing programs with high value health systems, including Baylor Scott & White Health, Memorial Hermann, and Virginia Mason Franciscan Healt h. We expect all of these programs to be live in early 2023. Impressively, of our eight currently referring JV partners, four now have positive EBITDA at the JV level year to date in Q3. Since our acquisition of Contessa, the nature of the JV discussions in our pipeline have expanded to include home health and, at times, hospice. Because these partnerships are more robust and more complex in nature, the selling cycle of the new JV has increased significantly, causing delays in getting deals done. In fact, timing delays in new JV partnerships accounts for 61% of our revenue miss year to date. We continue to track towards closing these additional partnerships to eventually bring this additional volume on platform, and we'll look to execute more comprehensive partnerships in the near future. As we near the end of 2022, we expect our high acuity segment to build upon its initial success and generate significant positive momentum into 2023. In summary, although we continue to be impacted by a few industry headwinds, we are confident in our ability to outperform and accelerate growth. Most of the adverse conditions impacting the business will be short term in nature, and our enthusiasm for the outlook of Amedisys has never been stronger. The longer-term value proposition of our lines of business remains as strong as it has ever been, as evidenced by the announcement of our partnership with UAMS, our innovative case rate contract with CVS Aetna, and our value-based negotiations with Professional Health Care Network, CareCentrix, and myNEXUS. It has been a busy and exciting quarter for Amedisys, and the future we're building towards has us all very energized. With that, I'll turn it over to Scott, who will take us through a more detailed review of our financial performance for the quarter. Scott? Thanks, Chris. For the third quarter of 2022, on a GAAP basis, we delivered net income of $0.79 per diluted share on $558 million in revenue. A revenue increase of $4.5 million, or 1% compared to the third quarter of 2021. As I'll discuss in my prepared comments, our operations have faced challenges in Q3 which have impacted our near-term results. Overall, our legacy operations remain strong, and we'll continue to find opportunities to increase our operational efficiencies. Despite delays in the closing of new JVs and other contracts, we've continued to invest in Contessa's cost structure. We believe these investments are necessary to fully recognize the significant opportunities ahead. Now on to the quarter. For the quarter, our results were impacted by income or expense items, adjusting our GAAP results that we've characterized as non-core, temporary, or one-time in nature. Slide 14 of our supplemental slides provides detail regarding these items and the income statement line items each adjustment impacts. For the third quarter on an adjusted basis, our results were as follows. Revenue increased $5 million, or 1% to $559 million. EBITDA decreased $11 million or 15% to $62 million. Our year-over-year comps are impacted by approximately $15 million unrelated to legacy performance. The significant drivers are the prior year benefit of sequestration relief of $9 million, $5 million in additional losses from Contessa, which includes an additional month of operations and two new home health acquisitions in Q2, which added $12 million of revenue and $1 million in losses. EBITDA as a percent of revenue decreased 210 basis points to 11%. Normalizing for the items I referenced, EBITDA as a percentage of revenue improved approximately 90 basis points in our legacy operations. EPS decreased $0.38 or 25% to $1.15 per share. Sequentially, EBITDA decreased $13 million, in line with our expectations, as described in our second quarter earnings call. The return of sequestration had a negative impact of $4 milli on. Planned wage increases added $4 million to cost. An additional holiday, higher health, and workers' comp costs added another $4 million. While our EBITDA performance tracks with internal expectations, we continue to be behind from a volume perspective, and we're experiencing a faster than anticipated growth in home health admissions from per visit payers, which has decreased our episodic percent of revenue. Now turning to our third quarter adjusted segment performance, keep in mind, segment level EBITDA is pre-corporate allocation. In home health, revenue was $338 million, flat from prior year, which includes $12 million for our recent acquisitions. Prior year results included a $5 million benefit from the suspension of sequestration. Revenue per episode was up $20 or 1%, which is the result of a 3.2% increase in reimbursement, partially offset by the reinstatement of sequestration at the full 2%. Visiting clinician cost per visit is up 7% year-over-year and 4% sequentially. Medicare visits per episode declined 8%, which offset the cost per visit impact, resulting in a Medicare cost per episode decrease of 2%. The increase in cost per visit was driven by planned wage increases, which were effective August 1, wage inflation, an increase in salary commissions, and lower visit volumes. G&A increased approximately $5 million, mainly driven by our recent acquisitions, which added $3 million. The remainder of the increase was driven by planned wage increases and increased information technology fees. Segment EBITDA was $59 million, which represents a $10 million decline in EBITDA and a 200 basis point decline in EBITDA margin. The return of sequestration in Q2 acquisitions accounted for $6 million of the decline. Sequentially, segment EBITDA was down $12 million, mainly driven by planned wage increases, the impact of an additional holiday, the return of sequestration, and higher health insurance costs. Additionally, we have seen a decrease in our episodic revenue as a percentage of total revenue from 79.3% in Q2 to 78.1% in Q3. Our episodic payers accounted for 80.9% of revenue in Q3 of 2021. As Chris mentioned in his comments, we've seen a significant increase in demand for our services from Medicare Advantage payers and conveners. We've successfully increased our rates with some per visit payers, launched a case rate model, and negotiated episodic reimbursement contracts with two innovative conv eners. We'll continue to negotiate with the innovative conveners and evaluate our MA contracts to ensure that our clinical capacity is utilized with payers that afford us the best opportunity to drive quality care to their members. Now turning to our hospice segment results. For the third quarter, revenue was $199 million, up $1 million over prior year, which is net of a $4 million benefit in prior year from the suspension of sequestration. Net revenue per day was flat as the 2% hospice rate increase that went into effect October 1, 2021 was offset by the reinstatement of sequestration. Hospice costs per day increased $0.62, primarily due to raises, wage inflation, and sign-on and retention bonuses. EBITDA was $43 million, up approximately $1 million, and up $5 million when normalized for the sequestration benefit in prior y ear. Sequentially, segment EBITDA increased $1 million. The sequential improvement in EBITDA was driven by a 1% sequential increase in ADC. The EBITDA increase is net of a $2 million sequestration benefit in the prior quarter. Turning to our total general and administrative expenses. On an adjusted basis, total G&A was $182 million, or 32.6% of total revenue up 80 basis points, mainly due to Contessa and our recent home health acquisitions, which added $9 million to G&A. Excluding Contessa and our home health acquisitions, our G&A is down $3 million over prior year. Sequentially, G&A was flat. Cost management has always been something that we have excelled at, and we are embarking on and have already rolled out initiatives focused on centralizing and automating our processes and reorganizing our structure to make us a more efficient organization and help us to capture even more growth opportunities. In fact, the initiatives we have completed this year will create nearly a $20 million cost benefit in 2023, with the potential to expand beyond that as we centralize additional functions. As detailed on slide 14, our items adjusting our GAAP results include $4 million in expenses related to our centralization and reorganization efforts initiated during the quarter. For the quarter, we had negative cash flow from operations due to the repayment of a ZPIC audit stemming from a 2015 acquisition. Excluding the repayment, cash flow from operations would have been $21 million. Our net leverage ratio at the end of the quarter was 1.6 times. Despite the challenges we have faced, our cash flow and capital structure remain strong and position us to take advantage of strategic opportunities. Turning to M&A, our pipeline remains full of home health, hospice, and comprehensive care joint venture opportunities, and we continue to look for creative ways to deploy capital for inorganic growth. Given the current labor market dynamics, payer mix shifts in home health, the pressure on hospice admissions and length of stay, and our continued investments in Contessa, we are updating our 2022 guidance ranges for revenue, EBITDA, and EPS, which can be found on page 16 of our supplemental slide deck. Our new guidance ranges are as follows. $2.224 billion-$2.23 billion in revenue, $253 million-$258 million in EBITDA, and $4.82-$4.93 in EPS. While we were able to reduce expenses to offset softness in top line, our level of census as we exit Q3 and our revised admit projections have impacted our ability to achieve our original Q4 EBITDA projections. Additionally, the delays in the closing of deals and additional investments to prepare for sizable future opportunities resulted in a $5 million reduction in EBITDA for Contessa. As we move from Q3 to Q4, we will see impacts from the normal seasonality items such as an increase in health costs of $5-$6 million, our annual raise cycle, which is effective August first with an expected impact of $2 million, an increase in compensation costs of $5 million, and a drop in hospice ADC driven by higher discharge rates in Q4. With that, I'll turn it back over to Chris to wrap up my prepared remarks. Chris? Thanks, Scott. The intentional steps we have taken to position ourselves for the future, including the partnerships with CVS Aetna and Professional Health Care Network, and our relationships with CareCentrix and Mynexes, are providing strategic advantages that will play out on a national scale over the coming months and years. The forward-looking roadmap we have undertaken gives us every reason to be optimistic about our future in this industry and, more specifically, our company. We are seeing unprecedented demand for our services in home health. Though the mix of business has shifted to Medicare Advantage, we expect to continue growing our fee-for-service while innovating with our payer partners, setting us up for strong value creation in the coming years. To confirm this, we recently commissioned an independent industry analysis performed by McKinsey, and their findings show that between enrollment and utilization recovery and rate, we can expect to see the total spend in home health grow by 6%-8% annually through 2027, with fee-for-service market returning to a 3%-5% year-over-year growth. As that growth returns, our position as the nation's premier home health providers will only grow stronger. In hospice, the impacts of the pandemic still linger. We are seeing a return in length of stay, and we will see an increase in utilization of benefit as we enter into 2023 and beyond. Hospice remains an underutilized benefit, with less than 50% of Medicare decedents passing away on hospice services. As the population continues to age and utilization increases, we conservatively expect the hospice market to grow by at least 5% annually. In our high acuity segment, hospital system and payer interest remains strong, and the infrastructure and platform we acquired with Contessa will enable us to take risk and further differentiate our service offering from others in the space. The UAMS partnership is the exciting realization of the vision we set out for Contessa when we acquired the company last year. We firmly believe that this is the first of many partnerships that will make available our full suite of services within the new comprehensive care at home model and will further strengthen Amedisys' presence in the homes and communities across the country. Our next frontier of growth will be productizing all of our services into a package that, one, allows patients to be cared for in their home regardless of their payer or their disease state. Two, significantly reduces the cost of care for our payer partners. And three, allows Amedisys to be fairly compensated for the outcomes we deliver. As we continue to become the industry standard easy button for our payer partners, we will see new types of growth in new types of contracts of which we will have only begun to scratch the surface on. Key to enabling us to tap into all the future growth that is coming our way will be our ability to manage our clinical capacity. It is not new news that there is more demand than there are clinicians to service that demand. I have all the confidence in the world that Amedisys will continue to be an employer of choice and win an outsized portion of the available clinical labor pool. We are rolling out a significantly enhanced benefit package that builds and expands on the offerings that are already in place, us among the top quartile of the industry employers for things like wages. This package specifically focuses on components that our clinicians have said are most important to them. We are also working on initiatives to build in flexibility to our clinicians' schedules, and we have significantly upgraded our recruiting practices to ensure we are hiring the right people for the right roles. All of these things will positively impact our turnover metrics, allow us to grow our net clinical FTEs, and in turn, help us to grow our top line. We understand that many of the accomplishments and investments described here will materialize their first top-line returns for us in the coming months and years ahead. We know what work must be done, and we have already built and set out on the comprehensive roadmap that will take us into the bright future that awaits. In closing, I'm as energized, excited, and confident as I've ever been in this space and in Amedisys. This ends our prepared remarks. Operator, please open the line for questions. Thank you. At this time, we'll be conducting a question-and-answer session. If you'd like to ask a question today, please press star one on your telephone keypad, and a confirmation tone will indicate your line is in the question queue. You may press star two if you'd like to remove your question from the queue. For participants that are using speaker equipment, it may be necessary to pick up your handset before pressing the star keys. That we may address questions from as many participants as possible, we ask you please limit yourself to one question. One moment, please, while we poll for questions. Thank you. Our first question today comes from the line of Brian Tanquilut with Jefferies. Please proceed with your question. Hey, good morning, guys. Yeah, I'll stick with the one question rule here, so I'll give you a two-parter really quickly. Chris, maybe just if you can give us some thoughts on how you think, you know, you can grow with the MA contracts that, you know, you've signed one with CVS obviously, and I think you have a pipeline of a few more, coming, and how do you anticipate that growing? Then maybe related to that for Scott, as we think about next year, right, I mean, you threw a few things here, whether it's the improvement in Contessa, G&A cuts of $20 million, you have some benefit enhancement costs coming, kicking in in 2023, and then MA contracts. Maybe if you can help us, you know, bridge a little bit without giving guidance into how we should be thinking about the quantification of those different moving parts into next year. Thanks. Yeah, great. Thanks, Brian. On the MA contract, I think that's a great question, in just really kind of laying it out and first framing it up. If you look at our fastest-growing part of our home health side of the business, it is in our MA per visit business mix. That's about $300 million a year in revenue, where we do about 2.4 million visits per year, but our average reimbursement is woefully low at $131 per visit. There is where our fastest-growing market is, but at the same time, the economics don't look good. That's why I'm really excited about our deal with CVS Aetna, and I'm hoping to be able to announce another contract pretty soon that will actually move one half of that $300 million of business into margin expanding business. Just to give a little color on our deal with Aetna, 22 states, and interesting enough, 15 of those 22 states are new contracted states for us. That encompasses 88 new care centers where we have not historically been admitting Aetna patients because we were not in network. A lot of greenfield there for us to expand the size of this contract quickly. Also just a little color, in our very first month, full month of the contract where we with Aetna, we saw our referrals from Aetna double. We saw our admissions from Aetna triple, and we saw our ADC on Aetna case rate double in the first month. I'm real enthused by that. I see a great opportunity for us to move more contracts to a case rate model. At the same time, with the rest of that business, we're gonna aggressively go after these plans. We're gonna take a firm stance. We cannot continue to dedicate our clinical capacity to treating these patients if we're not gonna get paid fairly and cover our costs, you know, at a minimum, and get really paid more fairly for the services and quality and outcomes that we deliver. We're gonna aggressively look at the rest of our portfolio and make some informed decisions on what we're gonna do with our capacity coming soon. We expect that to be a big growth model for us over the next coming years. Scott? Sure. Thanks, Brian, for that question. Yeah, I think there's a lot of clarity we need to get through a lot of moving parts from Q3 to Q4 and as we exit. You know, implying somewhere around $55 million for Q4, even I think you have to adjust a couple of things of that from a starting point to, you know, take a Q4 times four. I think that real number when you consider a Q4 having extremely our highest health insurance quarter, I'm sorry, additional holiday in that quarter than we run in the first two, you're probably looking more of a $62 million starting point. If you annualize that, you're getting in that $248 million-$250 million type of range. You know, you mentioned some of the centralization efforts were there. We talked about what we're doing around case rate. We believe there's additional opportunity around our per visit business to expand that. We think as our palliative programs continue to develop on the Contessa side, that's gonna feed into some hospice ADC growth. If I just bucket those and before, you know, we really close out the year and really focus on 2023, that's probably about $40 million there alone. \You're talking, you're looking in that $280 million-$288 million, $290 million type of a number right there, from a starting point. You go, you know, we'll see what happens with reimbursement. I think between growth and, you know, other opportunities we have, Contessa from a loss perspective, we believe will get better. You offset that with some wages, I think it kinda keeps you in that realm going to next year. I think those are the high level moving pieces, but I think that we've got some good plans in place. I think the centralization effort is gonna be strong for us, and we'll continue to update you guys as we go forward into 2023. Thank you. Our next question is coming from the line of Matt Larew with William Blair. Please just give your question. Hey, good morning. So, I think you just mentioned, Chris, that about half that per visit business could be flipping into case rate with this new contract you're looking at. I realize you're not talking pay by payor, but maybe just directionally, could you help us understand what percentage of that book would you characterize as conveners or payors that you're having productive conversations with or feel optimistic about versus you sort of referenced in your prepared comments, maybe areas you're not making as much progress? Just to give us a sense for where you stand relative to that whole book of business. That'd be part one. Speaking of part two, which is if you hit the high end of performance expectations on those case rate contracts, maybe using Aetna one as an example, how does both the rate and margin compare to your traditional Medicare business? Thanks for the two-parter. All right. Yeah. Thanks, Matt. I think I got the first part of the question right in terms of kinda how to gauge from our conversations with the innovative conveners out there and what that is as in terms of a percentage of our total book of our Medicare Advantage per visit business. I would say it's small today, but the encouraging thing is that you know the ones that I called out in my prepared remarks you know really are the ones that are more forward-thinking in terms of how do they value care in the home as a tool to drive down total cost of care. You know, getting paid on an episodic basis by PHCN and CareCentrix, with the additional upside based on quality outcomes is something we really wanna lean into with those as partners and really dedicate our capacity to doing more of that business. As well as my nexus would be higher in volume, more of a traditional per visit rate, but much closer to the Medicare fee for service side. The gap is, you know, much narrower there than it is with the others that we've been working with and traditional plans directly as well. We're looking to have those kind of relationships be a larger portion of our MA business, quickly, to be able to drive additional margin. On the case rate, what the margin is today on the two contracts, one with CVS Health, and the other that we're looking to get done relatively soon, I would say the gross margins in that 18%-22% range on that business. Fully optimized, it should get into the low forties, 40%-42% range, which is ideal for us, and it will significantly also close the gap on the per visit from Medicare fee-for-service versus those rates. Now, the Medicare fee-for-service is at an all-time high on a per-visit basis because our visits per episode are at an all-time low. I don't expect our visits per episode to stay where they are. Some, you know, kind of labor constraints are driving down that total visits per episode today. We, you know, we've said all along, we think it should be in that 13.2-13.4 range. We're a little bit below that, but that's kind of by math driving that revenue per visit up quite a bit. You know, I'm encouraged by our ability to really kind of drive that margin expansion, get these contracts in place, and then aggressively work with, you know, those forward-thinking conveners to expand that business, and then us to, you know, really step away from plans out there that are not gonna value what we do. Our next question comes from the line of Justin Bowers with Deutsche Bank. Please proceed with your question. Hey, good morning, everyone. Just wanted to talk about the labor market a bit, and you highlighted that had sort of constrained growth. Curious if that is just, you know, if that's isolated to home health or across hospice as well. You know, did you experience net hires and are you pacing towards increasing or decreasing clinical capacity in this quarter? Maybe just a follow-up to that would be on hospice. You talked about ADC being down sequentially, and do you anticipate that revenue will be down as well? I'll pause there. Yeah, I'll take the second one first. Basically, ADC is, you know, our revenue is a direct function of ADC versus admits like it is on the home health side. So yeah, any tick up or tick down in ADC has a direct correlation to revenue. So we would expect that to be down, but also keep in mind, we did get a rate increase effective October 1. It should offset some of that decline in ADC. On the labor side, you know, there is, you know, it's no secret out there that labor across all of healthcare is very challenged, and we're not immune to it either. We've been seeing, you know, some signs of softness, particularly through the summer months. I would say this has been the most atypical summer that we've really seen in terms of just time off, clinicians wanting to take a hiatus, just really trying to kind of re-energize around, you know, kind of their personal life goals and things like that. We did see just our internal capacity a little bit constrained, plus the flow of new candidates was down significantly throughout the third quarter. We are seeing now that we're having some net increases happening so far in Q4. In fact, October, from an offers made perspective, we've had 4 straight weeks of 200 offers made and accepted, you know, in the field, which is a record high for us, which is really encouraging as we close out this year, and our clinical capacity has expanded on both the home health and the hospice side. You know, the question about is it isolated to home health? No, it's not. It's you know, clinical capacity is gonna be our secret for success on both lines of business over the next coming years. We're seeing it, you know, being challenged on both the home health and hospice side today. I'm encouraged that we have a good plan in place. We will build from where we are and see, you know, some of those results show up in our ability to take more patients. Scott had something he wanted to add. I just want to add, when we think about labor and, you know, frame it up relative to our take back and take down in guidance, if we look at that, you know, the components of it, Contessa, we talked about, and you could hear it in our prepared remarks, is probably about 25% of the take down. The rest is kind of split evenly between home health and hospice segments, as we look at that. If you kind of look at that further and tie labor into it, you know, home health, about 70% of that take down is relative to labor constraints, and I'd say about 25% comes out of hospice. We are definitely seeing on both sides of the business. We did also see record PTO taken in Q3, even with a lower kind of labor force, so to speak. That's something we're watching and hoping to see that get a little softened as we move to Q4. Our next question is coming from the line of A.J. Rice with Credit Suisse. Please proceed with your question. Yes. Morning, A.J. Hi, everybody. How are you? Maybe just to ask about we've got the rate update for home health for next year coming any day now. Any updated thoughts there? We've seen some of these where they've stretched out a decision to have a cut into a couple multi years as opposed to doing it all in one year. We've also seen some offsets by increased market basket. I wonder if you have any updated thoughts. Then to the extent there is a cut, I know you're doing a lot to rein in costs now. Do you have the ability to, do you think, mitigate any of that if you had to absorb it? Then lastly, it sounds like the whole acquisition area in home health has been on hold until this rate notice gets finalized, how quick do you think M&A might open back up in home health once this is out? Yeah, great. Thanks, AJ. I'll take the first two, and I'll let Scott talk about the acquisition side. You know, yeah, we should see the rate come out any day now. Our kind of viewpoint hasn't changed much. If we do look at past actions from CMS, yes, we would expect to see a pretty significant market basket update to offset some of that 4.2% rate cut, net rate cut. Additionally, there's a decent probability that CMS would phase it in over multiple years, and I've also kind of heard the possibility maybe even delay implementing the cut for a year and then phasing it in from there. Either one of those scenarios are not ideal for us, and they're not acceptable for the industry. They don't account for the fact that home health care has brought so much value during this pandemic. We're dealing with the highest inflationary period that we've ever seen, and cutting our rates at any level right now is absolutely capricious and the wrong thing to do, and we will aggressively fight that. You know, knowing how CMS has acted in the past, it's highly or it's decent probability that they stick with their guns on their methodology, which we think is fundamentally flawed. They do update the market basket and bring down the cut to where it seems a little softer for us going into next year, of which we still will not stand by and let that happen. We're gonna fight that very hard. On the offset side, yes, I mean, Scott called out in his prepared remarks, you know, we have been embarking on a centralization and automation kind of, you know, initiative for some time now, and we accelerated that when the cuts were announced in the proposed rule. In fact, we've already identified and locked in about $20 million in G&A savings next year related to centralization functions that are in flight today. We think there's much more available to us. Pacing will be kind of something that we'll have to be very thoughtful about, because it is impacting the business. You know, as we do that, we wanna make sure that we don't create any harm. We do think that there are additional efficiency offsets that we will get regardless of rate cut. You know, if the rate cut comes through, that would probably accelerate some of the pacing. Scott, on the M&A side? Yeah. That's a good question. You know, I think our feel is that it's certainly gonna accelerate. You know, there's a lot of deals in our pipeline right now, really both home health and hospice, some pretty interesting ones. I think, you know, as we price things out on home health, though, we are pricing in with the rate cut at this point and kinda showing what that would look like, so that's certainly gonna slow down. But, you know, we're extremely active there, and I do think it would accelerate rather quickly when we get some clarity there. There may be some people waiting to see what happens actually through Congress through the end of the year, see if you get a bill passed. You know, that's just something I'd certainly the early beginning of 2023, you could see some significant movement there. Our next question comes from the line of Sarah James with Barclays. Please just state your question. Thank you. Morning, Sarah. Good morning. When you guys think about your staffing strategy and the shortage that sometimes leads to turning away revenue, does the higher margin potential on the value-based care contracts impact your decisions on staff allocation between the various payers? Does it impact the calculus or the decision to hire contract labor versus turn away volume, given the pay-to-cost spread on those value-based care contracts could be really different with the higher margin? Yeah. Great question, Sarah. I think that, you know, in terms of the how we think about the contractor side first, absolutely. You know, we evaluate, you know, if we feel like our staffing shortage is more temporal, and we have new clinicians that are kind of in training and soon to be getting into the field, then we weigh that into whether or not to commit to a staffing contract for, you know, a contractor. In other markets where, you know, absolutely if we have contractors, that means that we're going to be able to grow our business as well as meet our referral partners' kind of, you know, request in filling those referrals into and turning them into admits, we look at that as well. We do try to have discipline around our contractors, though, because, you know, we've seen it get out of hand in terms of, you know, rate. We've seen it get out of hand in terms of the demands from the contract organizations that we have to basically, you know. We saw a lot of that in the first quarter of this year, and we're maintaining better discipline around that. I would say, you know, we look at lost opportunity as a factor when we decide whether or not to use contractors. Then how we're utilizing our staff, you know, we cannot discriminate on patient census or admissions based on their payer source or their, or how they, you know, the payer that they have or the who's covering them. At the same time, we do have to manage our capacity, and we prioritize, you know, around our referral sources that do have more volume from case rate type patients as well as some of our targeted payers that pay at a higher rate. At the same, you know, eventually, we're gonna end up culling out a number of our contracts with organizations that absolutely refuse to budge on paying us fairly for services. You know, the time has come because capacity is not gonna get better for the industry for quite some time. We feel very confident in our ability to win on the labor side and actually build our capacity, but there still is gonna be, in aggregate, a shortage of clinicians available to meet the demand. you know, the time has come for some of these plans out there that refuse to get, you know, kinda realistic about what they pay for them to make some decisions, or we're gonna make some decisions for them. Thank you. Our next question is from the line of Ben Hendrix with RBC Capital Markets. Please proceed with your question. Thanks, guys. Within your fee-for-service volume, you noted a 1.1 visit decline in visits per episode. Have the labor constraints that you've seen added to greater frequency of low utilization adjustments within episodes? If so, could that be a factor as we think about the Medicare revenue comp next year? Thanks. Yeah. Our LUPAs are up a little bit, but not to the extent that visits per episode are down. We've always, you know, for the last, I think, three or four quarters have averaged a LUPA rate of around 10.5%. It may be up to 11%, I think, for Q3, which, you know, is up slightly. I think that we have not seen enough fluctuation in LUPAs in the last four quarters to change your modeling for next year. I don't expect it to go up from where it is today. Yeah. Yeah. No, I think that's right. I think where we see we feel it a lot, unfortunately, and it's not good for the patients, is, you know, you have, you know, we had some months really extremely strong admissions kind of within the intra-quarter or larger numbers. In that subsequent quarter, you see, or subsequent month, you see somewhat of a drop-down in resources. That's kind of where I think we feel it from a staffing perspective, unfortunately, earlier, which, you know, like I said, isn't good for the patients, so we'd like to see that rebound. I mean, pretty happy with the efficiencies of our clinicians. If you look at our total census levels, we're taking care of as many patients as we have year-over-year with less clinicians. We've got to solve that clinician number, so we can continue to grow that census. Our next question comes from the line of Bill Sutherland with The Benchmark Company. Please proceed with your question. Hi, Bill. Thank you. Hey, everybody. Wanted to follow up on the bridge that you gave us, Scott, going into next year on EBITDA. I'm just wondering kind of what your assumption is on the Medicare rate that you built into that thinking. Thanks. Yeah, when I gave you know, those numbers, I really didn't put any. I assumed flat pricing at that point for just getting to the point. I didn't consider growth or anything like that, getting to the numbers. You know, we'll wait and see what comes out of that. I don't really want to speculate on where we think that number will be. But to kind of get to that 288-290, really was just getting to a baseline number, and then we'll get growth. We'll have to cover some raises, and then we'll see what happens with the rate. I mean, that's where we are. And you know, within that $20 million on centralization and kind of our restructure, we'll see where that number goes. I think we feel good about kicking that off and continuing to get some strong return on it. Our next question comes from the line of John Ransom with Raymond James. Please proceed with your question. Hey, John. Hey there. You know, cost per visit, I mean, not surprisingly, is up from, say, $90 to around $110. You know, I know it was exacerbated this quarter by the rate increases. As you think about that number next year, what are you thinking? Where do you think that'll land? Yeah, right now, I mean, we had some noise in that number. You know, right now kind of looking at the visiting piece of it, John, and you know, it's still up with 645. A good piece of that, some of the impact of clinical managers is just because of visits. I still think we're gonna run in that, you know, from a base inflation around that, kind of around 4-ish% type of number, I think. It gets a little settled. We're seeing it settle. You know, even to this quarter, it actually was kind of pushed with last quarter, and that was because we gave raises. We're seeing some stabilization there. The key is gonna be to us, really getting contractors under control and reducing our turnover. That's the best way to impact that and continuing to grow. Frankly, there is fixed costs within our structure on home health. When we take down visits and visits per episode drop, and we see some visits per admit drop in the non-Medicare, that helps us with clinical capacity. Because we have a lower base of that, it can impact that number. You're probably, you know, $1 or close to $1 of that's probably just the shift there. You know, I think it's kind of 4% on Q2's pure wage line right now. The next question coming from the line of Scott Fidel with Stephens. Please proceed with your question. Hi, thanks. Good morning. Interested just on Contessa, if you could maybe give us just your updated thoughts on revenue now for 2022 versus that $56 million or so that you'd been thinking about earlier in the year. Maybe just sort of talking about the glide path, you know, as we look out to 2023, 2024. Just on Contessa, also was just interested if are there any Contessa services that are actually included in that new CVS Aetna contract, or is that just for sort of core home health services? Thanks. Yeah, Scott, I'll take the last second question, and then I'll let Nick give a little bit of kind of color around the Contessa kind of trajectory on revenue. The CVS Aetna contract, the case rate contract does not include any hospital at home or SNF at Home services. So, you know, it'll be strictly for the home health side. But I will say this, that in our discussions with Aetna through this whole process, Aetna expressed a strong desire to expand our discussions around value-based contracting to include more services. So I wouldn't be surprised if it, you know, in the near future, we didn't have something out there that was, you know, kind of more along the lines of bringing in additional services that Contessa offers into a contracting arrangement. We don't have anything imminent right now. Nick, on the revenue trajectory. Yeah. Thanks, Scott. So Scott, no surprise, we are behind the $56 million revenue projection, like we originally thought we would achieve this year. Quite honestly, still remain very enthusiastic about the demand for the business. I think, you know, you've seen us announce a number of joint venture partnerships, you know, and I would say kind of a new marquee one with UAMS this quarter, actually the last couple of weeks, which is really our first Comprehensive JV, which is what we've been talking about since we acquired the asset, right? This joint venture will include hospice at home, SNF at Home, home health, and some additional services, which will really be the first time that the blended organization of Amedisys and Contessa has worked together to execute a joint venture. We think that that's the profile of joint venture partner that we'll be targeting and that we'll be working with going forward, which is a very exciting thing. At the same time, when you start integrating all those lines of business, the complexity around contracting and papering that joint venture becomes harder and the sales cycle has expanded. Though we're off from a revenue perspective this year, I do think you're gonna get a step up in revenue from Q3 to Q4. You know, today we have 8 currently referring joint venture partners to us, and then we have 11 total signed. You'll continue to get some additional volume increases as the newer contracted JVs that were referring to us in Q3 kind of ramp up into Q4. Then there's a number of other, you know, kind of opportunities in flight, which as you've seen us struggle to do this year, it's hard to pinpoint exactly when those things are going to land. Not gonna give a 2023 number yet, but we will obviously do that as we kinda close out the year and guide towards 2023. The main reason is we just need to see, you know, if we can have a better projection around timing around some of these bigger opportunities hit. do still feel very confident and very excited about the asset and all that it's enabling us to do here at Amedisys. Thank you. Our next question is from the line of Whit Mayo with SVB Securities. Please proceed with your question. Hey, Whit. Thanks. Hey, good morning, guys. I was just looking at the slide deck, and there was, you know, a mention here around hospice and elevated BD turnover with tenured reps. Just any color around that. Was this isolated in any one market, more broad-based? I mean, you've had a little bit of challenges here in the past, so just, you know, any help around a correction plan or color would be helpful. Yeah. That's a good question. Yeah, there was some challenges around that that popped up in the third quarter, and I know that we've got our arms around it. But one thing that snuck up on us a little bit, to be totally transparent, is that, you know, as staffing got tighter on our clinical side, it started to impact hospice. You know, it was something that we were monitoring, but it kinda came up late in the summer that we had markets that we really were unable to take patients, or we were slow rolling admissions because of staffing capacity and having to, you know, to spin up some contractors as well. You know, just you know, self-inflicted here. What we did see happen is that, you know, we had high-performing tenured reps that were negatively impacted, you know, based on their compensation model, and some frustrations laid in, you know, kinda surfaced up that we were just slow to react to. You know, kinda caught us off guard a little bit, but we have our eyes on it now. We have plans around it. We're doing a lot of tuck-ins with our reps. You know, BD turnover in hospice, it's no secret, we've talked about in the past, has been elevated, you know, particularly relative to our home health side. We've got to cut that down significantly. We have a lot of things in flight right now that are really kinda getting more personalized to each one of our individual BD reps out there so that we are, you know, kind of, you know, matching their skill set with our needs, but also, you know, recognizing challenging conditions out there. I would expect that we're gonna see that come down significantly starting this quarter and then on for a while. A little bit of a kind of a hit us kind of out of left field quickly, but I think that I know we've got our arms around it, and we should see that stabilize. Thank you. Our next question is from the line of Tao Qiu with Stifel. Please proceed with your questions. Hey. Morning. The first part of my question is on the care demand side. You know, some of your, you know, referral settings, including acute care hospitals and SNFs, also had elevated labor supply issues in the third quarter and continue to manage their capacity. Based on the volume trend from your referral partners in home health and hospice, you know, whether you know, expect any delay in demand for your business, and when do you think that headwind, you know, at some point would turn into tailwind for you? The second part of my question is really a follow-up on the staffing commentary earlier. We saw that voluntary turnover kind of, you know, ticked up a little bit. You know, are you seeing more competition from other healthcare provider settings, or is it just higher churns inside the home health and hospice industry? Thank you. Yeah. Thanks, Tao. Again, you know, those are the right questions to be asking in terms of when do we expect volume to be coming back, as well as, you know, what does the labor market, you know, could look like beyond our line of business. You know, on the volume side, without question, hospitals having a slow recovery is impacting our business, and it's impacting referral flow for us 'cause a significant portion of our admissions in both home health and hospice do come from hospital settings. You know, the longer that their recovery is delayed, it is gonna continue to be a little bit of a headwind for us from a volume perspective. That being said, it's more impactful for the home health business than it is the hospice business because, you know, patients that transition out of a hospital onto hospice, and from acute bed to a hospice, they're traditionally gonna be very, very low length of stay patients, and they're not gonna be on service very long, and they're not gonna add to our average daily census, which is what drives our top line. You know, so for us, it's not necessarily hurting us on the ADC side on hospice, but it is hurting us from the admission volume, but that's secondary. On the home health side, it's having much more of an impact. Then on the staffing side, you know, it's competitive across, you know, well beyond just home health. We're not trading clinicians with our competitors. You know, oftentimes when we lose clinicians, it is because it's, you know, it's burnout or there is a more attractive offer in another setting, and it's also, you know, kind of, you know, clinicians that actually choose not to stay in the healthcare field. One data point that I think is interesting for us, and you know, it's an opportunity for us to actually work through our retention strategy is that one in five hires that we have today of nurses are return employees. They're boomeranging to come back to us. They might have left either to take a hiatus or think that, you know, travel nursing was for them or the grass was greener somewhere else, but they end up coming back to our organization. We see that as a great opportunity for us to, you know, to get ahead of them leaving in the first place and build that retention, and that will build productivity and capacity for us. Our next question comes from the line of Andrew Mok with UBS. Please just give us your question. Hi. Good morning. At the end of the prepared remarks, Chris, I think you made a comment that you expect fee for service home health volumes to grow. One, did I hear that correctly? Two, can you elaborate on why you think fee for service volumes can grow next year given expectations that industry membership, I think, will be down again? What initiatives are you taking specifically to grow volumes there or take market share? Thanks. Yeah. Thanks, Andrew, and I appreciate you calling that out. You know, it's no question right now that Medicare fee-for-service volume in home health is down, and there's a couple reasons. Number one, the actual, the market, the number of members, Medicare fee-for-service members is declining slightly, and it has been for the last couple of years. More importantly, the actual utilization of home health within that population has been declining. It was 8.9% in 2020 and 8.1% in 2021. At the same time, you know, the value of home health care has not diminished. It's just the utilization has changed during the pandemic. We expect that actual utilization to start to return to kinda pre-pandemic levels. That will drive significant growth in the fee for service world. The 3%-5% we're talking about over the next five years, we do think that 2023 will still be a little bit of an impacted year from a fee for service volume perspective. For us to be able to grow faster than the market, even if the market is slightly declining, for us to turn that into growth, it's gonna be a market share stealing strategy. That's something that, you know, we are aggressively understanding and diving into all of our markets where we don't have significant share in developing very unique strategies that again, are market specific to go out and to leverage our quality, our ratings, our service offerings, and to be able to drive, you know, a disproportionate share of the referral volume out of those markets. I expect that even in a declining Medicare fee-for-service market for next year, again, we do think 3%-5%, part of that's on rate as well, on the spend side, we do expect to be able to take market share from our competitors. Thank you. Our final question is from the line of Joanna Gajuk with Bank of America. Please proceed with your question. Thank you. Thanks for squeezing me in. I guess just clarification questions on case rate contracts. It's you know, good progress there, you know, seeing this being done. Exciting in talking about you know, volume, growing volumes or markets with inside a contract. I wanna clarify things around rates. You said something that implied that you expect the rates to be actually higher versus the per visit rate. Are you referring to like a you know, the first year or is it gonna be later? Because the way I'm thinking about it, that could be some discount that you might be offering to the payers and then you kind of catch up with bonus and whatnot. Kind of, can you walk us through the timing of things, as this contract matures? Thank you. Yeah. Hey, Joanna. Great question, and I think on case rate, I mean, there is gonna be a lot to be learned on this. I would say don't factor in the upside to, you know, kind of us getting true ups on the back end on quality metrics. There are some opportunities there, but that, you know, really the expansion of margin in revenue per visit is coming from us really optimizing our visits per admission, utilizing our Medalogix tool that helps us really get more precise around what the right level of care is for those patients, as well as utilizing other tools such as remote patient monitoring as well as televisits to be able to have touch points with the patients while we're guaranteeing that they stay out of the hospital. Yes, you're right. Initially, it is at a slight discount versus historical rates on a per visit basis. At the speed at which we optimize our visits, which we expect will take us six months to a year to get fully optimized on the case rate that we have in place today, that's when you get to where you get the full benefit and the margin gets into that 40%-42% range. We're already executing very well right now. We'll give more color around that. Again, every one of these case rate deals that we do end up negotiating will have some different nuances to it. We're gonna be somewhat selective of what we actually publicly discuss because we don't wanna, you know, negotiate against ourselves when we're trying to, you know, to plow this new territory for us and actually create these partnerships. At the end of the day, the patient's gonna win because they're gonna get a better outcome. We're gonna win because we're gonna expand our margin on that business. We're also gonna grow significantly organically through this, and the plan's gonna win because they got guarantees around access, and they got guarantees around quality outcomes. We will give more color on this as we go along. You know, I'm excited. I do think it'll be up to about a year before we're fully optimized on a plan, but it should not have a drag on us in performance in 2023, and we should see benefit by the second half of next year. Thank you. At this time, we've reached the end of our question and answer session. I'll turn the floor over to Chris Gerard for closing remarks. Great. Thank you, Rob. Thanks to everyone who joined us on the call today. Once again, thank you to all the Amedisys employees who have helped to deliver another strong quarter of performance. I hope everyone stays well, and I look forward to seeing you all soon. Thank you. Thank you. This will conclude today's conference. You may disconnect your lines at this time. Thank you for your participation.
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