At this time, I would like to turn the call over to JPMorganChase's Chairman and CEO, Jamie Dimon, and Chief Financial Officer, Jennifer Piepszak. Ms. Piepszak, please proceed. Thank you, operator. Good morning, everyone. I'll take you through the presentation, which, as always, is available on our website, and we ask that you please refer to the disclaimer at the back. Starting on page one, the firm reported net income of $14.3 billion, EPS of $4.50 on revenue of $33.1 billion, and delivered a return on tangible common equity of 29%. Included in these results are two significant items. $5.2 billion of net credit reserve releases, which I'll cover in more detail shortly, and a $550 million contribution to the firm's foundation in the form of equity investments. Touching on a few highlights, we saw another strong quarter in CIB. In fact, net income was an all-time record, with IB fees up 57% year-on-year, reflecting continued robust activity, and markets up 25% year-on-year as the environment remained favorable in January and February, although it did start to normalize in March. In AWM, we had record net long-term inflows of $48 billion this quarter. Deposits of $2.2 trillion were up 36% year-on-year and 5% sequentially as the Fed balance sheet continues to expand. Loan growth remains muted, up 1% year-on-year and 2% quarter-on-quarter, with the bright spot being AWM and secured lending in CIB. On to page two for more detail on our results. When looking at this quarter's performance, there's a lot of noise in the year-on-year comparisons, particularly given what happened in March of last year. It's important to remember a few key points here about March of 2020. Effectively, investment banking activity stopped or got delayed, except for investment-grade debt issuance. We recorded $950 million of losses in credit adjustments and other in CIB, as well as a $900 million markdown on our bridge book. In credit, we built $6.8 billion of reserves relative to this quarter's release of $5.2 billion. With that in mind, revenue of $33.1 billion was up $4.1 billion or 14% year-on-year. Net interest income was down $1.6 billion or 11%, primarily driven by lower rates. Non-interest revenue was up $5.7 billion or 39%. While this comparison is in part impacted by several of the items I just mentioned, in absolute terms, we saw strong fee generation across the franchise, including in investment banking, AWM, and home lending, as well as a strong performance in markets. Expenses of $18.7 billion were up 12% year-on-year on higher volume and revenue-related expenses, the contribution to the foundation that I just mentioned, as well as continued investments. Credit costs were a net benefit of $4.2 billion driven by reserve releases. Here it's worth noting that charge-offs were down about $400 million year-on-year or 28% and continue to trend near historical lows. Turning to page three for more detail on our reserves. We released approximately $5.2 billion of reserves this quarter as recent economic data has been consistently positive, indicating that the recovery may be accelerating faster than we would've thought just a few months ago. Starting with consumer, in card, we released $3.5 billion. As the employment picture has continued to improve, the round three stimulus has provided another level of support, and early-stage delinquencies remain very low. In home lending, we released $625 million, primarily driven by continued improvement in HPI expectations and, to a lesser extent, portfolio runoff. In wholesale, we released approximately $700 million. While a strong recovery seems in motion, we're also prepared for more adverse outcomes given remaining uncertainties around the impact of new virus strains and the health of the underlying labor markets. For now, we remain cautious and are still weighted to our downside scenarios. At about $26 billion, we're reserved at approximately $7 billion above the current base case. However, it's worth noting that even in a more normalized environment, we wouldn't expect to be 100% weighted to the base case, as we'll always have some weighting on alternative scenarios. Moving to balance sheet and capital on page four. We ended the quarter with a CET1 ratio of 13.1%, flat versus the prior quarter, as net growth in retained earnings was offset by lower AOCI and higher RWA. Perhaps the more interesting ratio right now is SLR, which is at 5.5%, excluding the temporary relief that just expired. As we've said all along, we were never going to rely on short-term temporary relief as a long-term planning matter, and this is evidenced by actions we've taken. We've already engaged with our wholesale deposit clients to explore solutions, and we issued $1.5 billion of preferred stock in the first quarter. Having said that, it's worth reinforcing a few points here. First, it's important to remember that the SLR is a leverage-based requirement, not a risk-based requirement. The growth in bank leverage has been driven by deposits and therefore cannot be cured by reducing lending. In fact, the opposite would be true. If we had more loan growth, it would help because it would absorb excess risk-based capital. The issue is that we've had muted loan demand to date, and even if it starts to pick up, it's hard to envision that organic loan growth could keep pace with further QE. Therefore, we expect this leverage issue to persist for some time. Finally, when a bank is leverage constrained, this lowers the marginal value of any deposit, regardless if it is wholesale or retail, operational or non-operational. Regulators should consider whether requiring banks to hold additional capital for further deposit growth is the right outcome. As we told you last quarter, we have levers to manage SLR, and we will. However, raising capital against deposits and/or turning away deposits are unnatural actions for banks and cannot be good for the system in the long run. Regarding distributions, the limitations were extended another quarter. Based on our income, that corresponds to buyback capacity of about $7.4 billion in the second quarter after paying our $0.90 dividend. Given the preferreds we plan to issue and the work underway around excess client deposits, while of course this could become more challenging, we believe that we should be able to buy back most, if not all of that capacity. Let's go to our businesses, starting with Consumer and Community Banking on page five. CCB reported net income of $6.7 billion, including reserve releases of $4.6 billion. Starting with the key drivers of year-on-year financial performance, which I'll just note have generally been consistent over the last few quarters against a backdrop of strong consumer balance sheets with higher savings rates and investments, as well as healthy de-leveraging. Deposit growth was 32%, or $240 billion, as existing customers' balances remain elevated, and we also continue to acquire new customers. Client investment assets were up 44%, driven by market appreciation and positive net flows across our advisor and digital channels. Home lending originations were $39 billion, up 40% in an overall larger market. Auto loan and lease originations were $11.2 billion, up 35%, with March being the best month on record. However, loans were down 7% as outstandings and card remain lower even as spend is recovering to pre-COVID levels. This is in addition to the continued runoff of the mortgage portfolio and partially offset by PPP additions. Mobile users grew 9% to nearly 42 million, and the customer migration to digital continued with branch transactions still down double digits. In consumer banking, approximately 50% of new checking and savings accounts were opened digitally, and that's up more than 10 percentage points year-on-year. Notably, we're also seeing a few emerging trends worth covering. Consumer sentiment has returned to more normalized levels, reflecting increased optimism. We've seen debit and credit card spend return to pre-pandemic levels, up 9% year-on-year and 14% versus 1Q19, despite T&E remaining significantly lower. We are seeing strong momentum in T&E with spend up more than 50% in March compared to February, and similar growth across cxLoyalty and Ultimate Rewards travel bookings. With higher rates, mortgage lock margins have tightened and refi applications have slowed, but the overall market is still robust. On credit, government stimulus and industry forbearance programs have provided confidence that the bridge is likely going to be long enough and strong enough. Taken together with the pace of the vaccine rollout, we believe there's some permanence to the loss mitigation, and while 1Q21 card losses are higher quarter-on-quarter, we do expect losses to decrease in the second and third quarters. In summary, revenue of $12.5 billion was down 6% year-on-year, driven by deposit margin compression and lower card NII on lower balances, largely offset by strong deposit growth and higher home lending production revenue. Expenses of $7.2 billion were down 1% as we self-fund our investments. Credit costs were a net benefit of $3.6 billion, driven by the $4.6 billion of reserve releases I previously mentioned, partially offset by net charge-offs of $1 billion. Turning to the Corporate and Investment Bank on page six. CIB reported net income of $5.7 billion and an ROE of 27% on record first quarter revenue of $14.6 billion. Investment banking revenue of $2.9 billion was up 67% year-on-year, excluding the impact of the bridge book markdown last year. IB fees of $3 billion were up 57%, and while we now rank number two, largely due to SPAC IPOs, we maintained our global IB wallet share of 9%. The quarter's performance was an all-time record driven by the continued momentum in the equity issuance markets as well as robust activity in M&A and DCM. In advisory, we were up 35%, benefiting from a surge in announcement activity in the second half of 2020. Debt underwriting fees were up 17%, driven by leveraged finance activity. Here we maintained our number one rank and lead left position. In equity underwriting, fees were up more than 200%, primarily driven by IPOs as clients continued to take advantage of strong market conditions. Looking forward, the IPO calendar is expected to remain active with M&A momentum likely to continue. While the pipeline is higher than it's ever been, the number of flow deals outside of the pipeline both this year and last year make it difficult to predict the second quarter. At this point, I'd say we expect IB fees to be about flat year-on-year. Moving to markets, total revenue was $9.1 billion, up 25% against a strong prior year quarter. In January and February, we saw a robust trading environment and client activity remained elevated with the positive momentum from the end of 2020 carrying through to the start of the year. In March, our performance started to normalize but remained above pre-COVID levels. Fixed income was up 15% with outperformance in securitized products and credit supported by active primary and secondary markets. Partially offset by lower revenues and rates and currency in emerging markets against a tough compare in March of last year. Equity markets was up 47% and an all-time record, driven by a favorable trading environment in equity derivatives as well as strong client activity across products. In terms of outlook, based on recent weeks, we would expect this quarter to be closer to the second quarter of 2019 as 2Q20 was the best quarter on record for our markets franchise. Obviously, it's still early. Wholesale Payments and Security Services revenues were $1.4 billion and $1.1 billion respectively, both down 2% year-over-year, with higher deposit balances more than offset by deposit margin compression. Expenses of $7.1 billion were up 19% year-over-year on higher revenue-related compensation, partially offset by lower legal expense. Credit costs were a net benefit of $331 million, driven by the reserve releases I discussed earlier. Now let's go to Commercial Banking on page seven. Commercial Banking reported net income of $1.2 billion at an ROE of 19%. Revenue of $2.4 billion was up 11% year-over-year with higher lending and investment banking revenue in the absence of a prior year markdown in the bridge book, partially offset by lower deposit revenue. Record gross investment banking revenue of $1.1 billion was up 65%, with broad-based strength as market conditions remain favorable. Expenses of $969 million were down 2%, driven by lower structural expenses. Deposits of $291 billion were up 54% year-on-year and 5% quarter-on-quarter as client balances remain elevated. Loans were down 2% year-on-year and 3% sequentially. C&I loans were down 4% from the prior quarter on lower revolver balances as clients continue to access capital markets for liquidity, partially offset by additional PPP funding. CRE loans were down 1%, with continued low origination volumes in commercial term lending, partially offset by increased affordable housing activity. Finally, credit costs were a net benefit of $118 million, driven by reserve releases with net charge-offs of $29 million, driven by oil and gas. Now on to Asset and Wealth Management on page eight. Asset and Wealth Management generated record net income of $1.2 billion, with pre-tax margin of 40% and ROE of 35%. For the quarter, revenue of $4.1 billion was up 20% year-on-year as higher management fees, growth in deposit and loan balances, as well as investment valuation gains were partially offset by deposit margin compression. Expenses of $2.6 billion were up 6%, with higher volume and revenue-related expenses partially offset by lower structural expense. Credit costs were a net benefit of $121 million, primarily due to reserve releases. For the quarter, record net long-term inflows of $48 billion were again positive across all channels, asset classes, and regions, with particular strength in equities. In liquidity, we saw net inflows of $44 billion as banks encouraged clients to move excess deposits away from them. AUM of $2.8 trillion and overall client assets of $3.8 trillion, up 28% and 32% year-on-year respectively, were driven by higher market levels as well as strong net inflows. Finally, deposits were up 43% and loans were up 18%, with strength in securities-based lending, custom lending, and mortgages. Now on to Corporate on page nine. Corporate reported a net loss of $580 million. Revenue was a loss of $473 million, down $639 million year-on-year. Net interest income was down nearly $700 million on lower rates, as well as limited deployment opportunities on the back of continued deposit growth. Expenses of $876 million were up $730 million year-on-year, primarily driven by the contribution to the Foundation I mentioned earlier. The results for the quarter also include a tax benefit related to the impact of the firm's expected full year tax rate relative to the level of pre-tax income this quarter. With that, moving to the outlook on page 10. You'll see here that our 2021 NII outlook of around $55 billion remains in line with our previous guidance, as the benefits of a steepening yield curve are being offset by customer behavior in card. It's worth noting that forecasting NII is perhaps more challenging than it's been in a long time, as many of the key inputs, market implied rates, deposit forecast, securities reinvestment, and customer behavior and card are all quite fluid. As a reminder, while customer deleveraging and higher payment rates in card is a headwind for NII, it's a tailwind for credit, and we now expect our card net charge-off rate to be around 250 basis points for the year. On expenses, we've increased our guidance to approximately $70 billion, with the largest driver being higher volume and revenue-related expenses, which importantly have offsets in revenue. To wrap up, the year has gotten off to a strong start and a robust economic recovery seems underway. Of course, there are still risks and uncertainties ahead that we're preparing for, as well as specific issues that we're facing, including the balance sheet dynamics I mentioned, the rate environment, and tough year-on-year comparisons, among other things. Having said that, the earnings power of the franchise remains evident and we'll continue to use our resources to serve our clients, customers, and communities. With that, operator, please open the line for Q&A. If you would like to ask a question, please press star then the number one on your telephone keypad. We kindly request that you ask one question and only one related follow-up. If you would like to ask additional questions, please press star one to re-enter into the queue. Your first question comes from the line of Erika Najarian with Bank of America Merrill Lynch. Hi, Erika. Hi. Good morning. My first question is for Jamie. Jamie, you noted during a December conference that you believe that normalized ROTCE for JPMorgan would be about 17%. Investors are wondering, as we think about JPMorgan perhaps cementing a higher GSIB surcharge at 4% this year, is 17% still achievable under that context or constraint? So- Go ahead, Jen. Yeah. Erika, I'll start. Just a couple of things to think about on capital. While we ended the year in the 4% bucket for GSIB, and it's probably worth mentioning given the continued expansion of the system through the Fed balance sheet, even staying in four could become challenging for us. Just a couple of things to keep in mind there is we believe that we do have offsets in the stress capital buffer, and we do believe that it's very possible that we'll see those come through in this round. Of course, it's dependent upon the Fed models, not our models, but we've talked about things that, actions that we've taken, sort of mechanical in nature, in addition to moving investment securities into held-to-maturity, that should give us some benefit on the SCB. Of course, that's scenario dependent, but we do expect some benefit there that could offset. It's also important to remember that we still are waiting for the Basel III end game, and the indication from the Fed is that they will address GSIB recalibration as part of that. It's quite possible that we see GSIB recalibration, but perhaps another constraint that we'll be managing. There is a lot that we'll learn over probably the next year or two. Of course, the higher GSIB doesn't come into effect until the first quarter of 2023. We do think we have offsets. We're still thinking about 12% as being a target CET1 for us, of course, given what we know today. We are still waiting for that Basel III end game to really understand what we're dealing with. At that 12%, in a more normalized environment, which wouldn't just be about rates, it would also be about loan demand, 17% still feels achievable for us. Got it. Thank you for going through some of the leverage constraint now that SLR exemption has expired. Investors have also been wondering, as we think about your opportunity to continue to facilitate the economic recovery globally, does the constraint on SLR and the moving pieces on GSIB change your priorities in terms of timing or sizing of the $30 billion buyback or inorganic growth opportunities that you've mentioned in the past? I would say, broadly speaking, no. An important point there on SLR, obviously, the levers we have are issuing preferreds. We can retain more common. We're also working closely with wholesale clients in a very selective way, as I mentioned, to find alternatives for excess deposits. It is true that common is one of the levers, although I will say that while it might give us more flexibility, it comes at a much greater cost. At this point, given what we know and what we expect, we don't expect that we would have to retain more common. We think we can manage this through issuing more preferreds and working closely with our clients to find alternatives. I would say, broadly speaking, no. The GSIB constraints, as we've been saying for years now, is one that will become increasingly challenging for us. Now, particularly with the expansion of the system, it's even more challenging than perhaps it was just a few years ago. We're managing through that as well. Your next question comes from the line of John McDonald with Autonomous Research. Hi, John. Hey. Good morning, Jen. I wanted to ask about expenses. Obviously, you've raised the outlook by $1 billion a few times the last couple times you've spoken. I guess in terms of the increase that you announced today to the outlook, could you give a little more color on how much of that is volume and revenue related as opposed to the other buckets you talked about in January, which were investments and structural? Sure. The increase from the $69 billion, which was the guidance we gave in the K, is almost entirely volume and revenue related. There, I'll just make an important point that it's volume and revenue related. As an example, volumes in CCB, just given the environment, they are very valuable for long-term franchise revenue growth. We may not see that revenue growth in the near term. As we always say, we don't manage this place for one quarter or even one year. There are expenses associated with volume growth that may not have the revenue growth you would anticipate over the long run, it's almost entirely volume and revenue related. There are a few other things like marketing expense that, given the strength of the recovery that we expect, we now expect to lean more in on marketing expense in the second half of the year. That's part of it as well. Okay. I guess the follow-up would be, does that necessarily mean that it's more concentrated, the increase in the first quarter because you had such a big quarter? Are there COVID related costs that you have in your numbers this year that might come out over time? Obviously, some of it is in the first quarter, but things like further volume-related expenses like I talked about, or marketing, they're less so in the first quarter. What was your other question? COVID. COVID. Oh, those numbers are lower than they were even last year and included in the outlook, but not material in the grand scheme of things. Your next question comes from the line of Glenn Schorr with Evercore ISI. Hi, Glenn. Hello there. If you're right on the economy, which I think a lot of us think you are, we're starting to see the spend part of the pickup now, as you mentioned, across credit and debit and some of the P&A. My question is, how do you think about the staging of the lend part? Both consumer and corporates are so flush with all that liquidity. How do you think about the timing for loan growth? If I could get a consumer versus wholesale comment, that'd be great. Sure. You used the right word, which is demand. It really is all about demand, which of course is quite healthy, particularly as it relates to the consumer when you think about the amount of deleveraging that we've seen through this process. There we do expect a second half pickup because, as you say, we first have to see spend recover before we see relevering on the consumer side. It is also true even for small business, which is obviously part of CCB. Their demand has been very low given the support that's available through PPP, that will likely pick up in the second half as well. Elsewhere, AWM has been strong throughout, and we see that continuing. On the CIB side, that's always lumpy and deal dependent. That's active as well. We do see within secured lending opportunities there across asset classes. Again, that's a bit more opportunistic. In the commercial bank, given the level of support, the amount of liquidity in the markets as well as the amount of cash on balance sheets, loan growth there has been muted and probably will be for some time. Again, that's incredibly healthy ultimately for the recovery, and so whether we see that pick up later this year or next year remains to be seen. It's all for good reasons. I appreciate that. Maybe I'll just ask one follow-up on the deposit side. Obviously, deposit growth has been incredibly strong. The two-parter is what do you think happens on the deposit side as the economy goes down the path that you've outlined? What do you do with the deposit money in the meantime? Because I saw loud and clear Jamie's comments on it's hard to justify the price of U.S. debt. What are we doing with all that liquidity in the meantime? First of all, I would say that deposits are going to be driven by the Fed balance sheets and to some extent, obviously by bank lending, but given the demand picture there, you can think of it in the near term as all being driven by Fed balance sheet expansion. We obviously continue to expect significant deposit growth, which is why we've been talking about this so much. Just in terms of how we deploy it, you will have seen that our cash balances are up quarter-over-quarter. There it's just important to remember that for sure we are being patient in the investment securities portfolio. That is true. I'll also mention that because of the steepening of the yield curve, we are less short. Banks will drift long in a sell-off, and so that has been part of the dynamic as well. There's short-term cash deployment also. What we saw there was when repo markets fall below IOER, we're going to hold that short-term cash deployment in IOER relative to the repo market. You'll see that dynamic on our balance sheet as well. Your next question comes from the line of Ken Usdin with Jefferies. Hi, Ken. Hey, Jen. Thanks. Good morning. Just wondering if you could elaborate on that. You mentioned the record investment banking pipeline and flattish year-over-year as a best guess. I'm just wondering if you could talk about the mix dynamics there. Obviously, the first quarter was just ridiculously great in terms of the ECM markets. Can you just give us a flavor of just where you see activity and how much is that underwriting activity potentially dampening what might be happening on the commercial loan side? I'll start with the latter, which is it's absolutely been very supportive of corporates, therefore it has a lot to do with what we're seeing in terms of the muted loan demand from corporates. In terms of the mix, we expect ECM and M&A to continue. On DCM, there's a lot of flow activity that doesn't necessarily get represented in a pipeline because it's high velocity type activity. We saw that in the second quarter of last year. We continue to see that now, which is why I said it makes it a little bit difficult to predict the second quarter. While the pipeline is higher than it's ever been, there is still a lot of high velocity activity, so that's why we think that the quarter will be flattish year-over-year despite the very high pipeline. Can you guys hear me? Yeah. We can't hear you anymore. Oh. We can hear you now. I'm going to put you on mute for a minute. Okay. Jamie's traveling. We have him on Zoom. I know everybody can appreciate technology challenges because we've all had them over the last year. Okay, great, Jen. My follow-up is. Hey, Jen, just keep on going because I can't hear the questions. I can't hear you, but you're doing a great job, and you don't really need me. Thank you. I'm sure I'll need you at some point, so hope they're on that. Go ahead. I'm sorry. No problem, Jen. Okay. The second one is just with regards to the comments that you guys have made for a while about looking at acquisition opportunities. Just wondering just how is the interplay between everything you've talked about already on balance sheet capacity and ongoing deposit growth and limitations on CET1 and SLR versus how you make potential decisions around usage of capital in an acquisition capacity? It's a great question. Interestingly, the issue is not that we don't have capital available to make those types of decisions. The issue is that we have the wrong binding constraint. The binding constraint is leverage, not risk-based, and so it doesn't change the way we think about acquisitions at all. In fact, acquisitions and/or increased loan growth would help to kind of normalize the constraints between leverage and risk-based. We would love to be able to absorb some of our CET1 through acquisitions because, as I said, it sort of just brings the balance back into focus. The issue is that it's a leverage-based constraint that is the constraint, and we're in a low-rate environment with low loan demand and very strong deposit growth. It's the combination of all of those things that makes leverage the binding constraint. It doesn't change the way we're thinking about acquisitions. Your next question comes from the line of Betsy Graseck with Morgan Stanley. Hi, Betsy. Hey, Jen. Hey, thanks for the time. Jen, a question on card and looking at the net charge-off. You gave us the full year of two and a half, and I know you've spent a lot of time in card earlier in your career. Maybe you could give us some sense on how you're thinking about the "normalization" of that loss content over time. When I think back to the bankruptcy changes in the 2000s, it took many years for consumers to relever. I'm wondering, given your background there, could you give us a sense as to what is different this time? Are there timeframes historically we should look at for what a normal course like releveraging back to normal of that card loss content should be? How do you think about that? Sure. I would say, first of all, it's difficult to find a historical comparison that's totally relevant here because I don't think we've ever seen this amount of support in the system, which came, of course, on top of an already reasonably healthy consumer. It's difficult to find the historical perspective. I will say the 2.5%, pre-COVID, we would've thought that our loss rate in card this year would have been 3.3%, 3.5%. It just gives you a sense there of that tailwind on credit is significant. In terms of what it's going to take for consumers to relever, we do expect there to be significant economic activity in the second half, that could come quite naturally. It could come a little bit later given the amount of deleveraging we've seen. The fact that we already see spend above pre-COVID levels, and obviously, we still have restrictions in place, particularly around T&E on consumers' ability to spend. When that comes back, we do think that we'll see spend tick even higher, and that will be a point where perhaps we'll start to see that relevering. It is difficult to know. It's a great question. The follow-up I have on your comments around the NII guide and the fact that it's hard to forecast. I got a couple of questions in this morning just on, hey, why do you think it's flat versus prior guide given the curve has steepened and also deposit growth should continue to be up significantly given QE is continuing this full year. Is there some spread angle that you're kind of thinking about that keeps you a little bit more muted? Is it more the loan growth? Maybe you could talk a little bit about those piece parts that you identified. Sure. I think it's probably all of the above, Betsy. Starting with the steepening of the yield curve. If you look at the earnings at risk disclosure, we did see the benefit roughly in line with what that disclosure shows, which is, since we last guided on NII, we steepened probably 25 basis points, 30 basis points. That is incorporated in the outlook, but it is completely offset by the fact that we continue to see consumer behavior in card in terms of higher payment rates, and we haven't started to see relevering as we were just talking about, even though spend has recovered. The impacts of card completely offset the steepening of the yield curve. You also mentioned loan growth, which is critically important to realizing the benefits of the steepening yield curve. I would just mention we have reflected in our outlook the fact that we have been patient on deploying further deposit growth into the securities portfolio in terms of duration. Also, it's probably worth noting that the marginal benefit of further deposit growth is quite small given the fact that deployment opportunities are minimal. You can think about them as being something less than 10 basis points because we do have pay rates above zero, so it's something less than 10 basis points. The marginal deposit growth from here doesn't add a whole lot in this environment anyway. Your next question comes from the line of Mike Mayo with Wells Fargo Securities. Hi, Mike. Hi. Hey, Jennifer. My question's for Jamie. Jamie, your philosophy is to invest through a downturn, and you're increasing your investments by one-fourth year-over-year. You already said that. What's your philosophy about investing through a boom as you expect over the next three years? If the pie is growing, do your investments go higher? It looks like that's not the case with the guidance you guys gave. Yeah. I think, Mike, the way to really look at it is it probably isn't affected as much by boom or bust as you think. We isolate opportunities like for when we announce we're going to hire 300 black financial advisors. We're going to do that whether it's boom or bust. We're building new data centers. We're building new Agile. We're going into the cloud. I think it doesn't really change it that much over time. I just think you'll probably see our investments go up over time, not go down. We can get plenty of organic growth opportunities, which we want to invest in. How much are you spending in climate? Your 66 pages CEO Letter was, I guess that could be a third of a book almost. You really set the table on climate risk and what you guys need to do. How much are you actually spending, and what's the payback on that spending for shareholders? Is this really an ESG reputational benefit you're looking for? I'll start there, Mike, and then Jamie, you can chime in. Climate is a long game, obviously, and we're investing a lot of effort in our ESG initiatives, not only because they have a positive impact on society and communities, but because they're also important to our clients, customers, and our shareholders. We don't exactly think about it that way, Mike. We've also invested in multiple teams to help clients through the transition, and we do recognize it's a transition and clients appreciate that. We've also made the Paris-Aligned Financing Commitment last year, and we're going to release our annual ESG report next month, so you'll see more there. We also committed to finance $200 billion towards climate action and sustainable development, and we're continuing to grow those efforts as well. In fact, your question's quite timely because we're planning to make an ambitious announcement tomorrow about long-term scaling of our financing efforts here. Much more detail to come shortly on that. Jamie, I don't know if you want to add anything. Great. Your next question comes from the line of Jim Mitchell with Seaport Global. Hey, good morning. Good morning. Maybe a question on the bank SLR, which I think was a bit more of a constraint even than the firm-wide SLR. I guess two questions related to that. What kind of flexibility do you have to manage the difference between the two, moving assets out of the bank perhaps? If you have any updates or thoughts on potential changes that regulators are discussing to give maybe relief 2.0 in a more permanent sense on the SLR. The bank SLR, broadly speaking, it's going to be the same levers. We do have a little bit more flexibility, as you note, because we can move things, we can inject capital into the bank from the holding company. It's a little bit more flexible, but generally speaking, the constraints and the levers are the same. In terms of changes, we know what you know, we look forward to a proposal. The only thing I can mention is, of course, the difference between the U.S. and Europe on Basel as it relates to SLR is there it's 3% + half year G-SIB. We have a constant 2% buffer. With that, you get the flexibility in a Basel compliant way to exclude deposits at central banks for a period of time. It's possible that it could look something like that, but we don't know. Okay, thanks. Can I just put SLR because I think there's too much focus missed. We run the business to do a great job servicing clients over time. We manage 20 or God knows how many different capital liquidity constraints. We have multiple levers to pull all the time to do that while serving our clients. If we've got to adjust our strategies going forward, so be it. We'll probably be fine. I think the question you should be asking isn't what it means for us, it's what it means for the marketplace. I've already mentioned several times, we have $1.5 trillion of cash and marketable securities, which we cannot deploy in a whole bunch of different ways into the marketplace, whether it's repo or just financing positions or helping people because of these constraints. The constraints are more of a constraint on the economy than they are on JPMorgan Chase. We will find a way, regardless of any constraints, to do things. The other thing is G-SIB, SLR, there are all these bubble things. They need to be recalibrated. I think people should be asking how would you recalibrate to do the best job for the United States and the people of the United States, not for JPMorgan. JPMorgan will be fine either way. Great. Thanks. Your next question comes from the line of Gerard Cassidy with RBC. Hi, Gerard. Hi, Jen. How are you? Good. Question, I apologize if you addressed this. I had to jump off for a minute here. Can you share with us on the mortgage servicing business? It looked like you had a small loss this quarter, similar to the fourth quarter. Can you tell us some of the metrics that went into why the servicing business recorded a small loss? Oh, gosh, Gerard. I'm not even sure. Reggie and the team can follow up with you. Okay. Very good. The second question has to do with when we go back to the day one loan loss reserves established in January 1, 2020, for you and your peers under CECL accounting. If I recall, I think your loan loss reserves to total loans at the time were approximately 1.87%. Today, they're approximately 2.42%. I know you guys gave some color on your outlook for what you think credit will look like, you being a little more conservative. Can you share with us what would it take to bring the reserves back down to the day one levels that we saw in January 1, 2020? Well, it's very difficult to try to compare today to just taking our balance sheet today, taking the profile of our portfolio today and compare it to CECL day one because we are a very far way away from that, in fact, in a very healthy way. That's very difficult to do. What I will say is that it is true that things have continued to improve even since we closed our process in the first quarter, and we obviously expect the recovery to be robust in the second half of the year. If we continue to see that, if we continue to see labor markets recover, if we continue to see the vaccine rollout be successful, we would have future releases from here. I would note importantly that the $7 billion, that is the distance between our reserve and the base case, is just for context. We will always have weightings on alternative scenarios, and so all else equal, which is there's a lot in the all else equal bucket, but we would release something less than $7 billion. Difficult to compare back to CECL day one, but there could be further releases ahead. One of the negatives to CECL, which I pointed out right from the beginning, is we spend a lot of time on these calls describing something which is virtually irrelevant to the bank, which is these are multiple scenarios, hypothetical, probability-based, and obviously the more volatile the environment, the more volatile these numbers. If a base case was $20 billion and we now have something like $30, we're not going to be taking down a lot of reserves now because as Jen said, you're always going to have an extreme adverse case. Think of it like a kind of a CCAR test. You always have a percentage of reserves up for that permanently. Hopefully, my view is we should waste a lot less time in CECL because it makes almost no difference to the company, in general. Back on your servicing point, I got the answer. It's updates to the MSR model. HPI updates, prepay updates. It's less about the operation and more about the MSR model update. Your next question comes from the line of Matt O'Connor with Deutsche Bank. Hi, Matt. Good morning. I wanted to ask about the CEO letter, where there was talk about being open to fintech deals, which is something you've talked about in the past. What type of deals would you be interested in? I guess could they be material to JPMorgan, as we think about whether it's your strategy or financial impact? Yeah. Remember, after paying a steady, careful dividend and stuff like that, we much prefer to invest in our business organically, including the acquisitions than buy back stock. We're buying back stock because our cup runneth over. We have 13.6% capital to advanced risk-weighted assets. We're earning a tremendous sum of money, and we really have no option right now. I think the door's open to anything that makes sense. We've already done InstaMed, which is an electronic digital payments platform between providers and consumers in healthcare. We did 55ip, which is a tax-efficient way of managing money, and we're looking at tons of things ourselves. Some we're doing ourselves like Dynamo. Some we're going to partner with other people. We've got investments in probably 100 different companies at this point that we either partner with or like, but we're completely open-minded. It could be payments, it could be asset management, it could be adjacencies, it could be data, it could be anything like that. It cannot be a U.S. bank. We're just reminding people, if you got great ideas for us, let us know. As a mentality in fintech specifically, is it to potentially accelerate some of the investments that you would have done on your own or to add capabilities or maybe protect what you already have? It's a little of everything because you see us adding My Chase Plan and My Chase Loan, and obviously you see competing a little bit with buy now, pay later. You see us doing Chase Offers which competes with people. You see us doing Zelle. We got tons of fabulous stuff coming. We did You Invest a couple of years ago and had a very good quarter. We're adding robo-investing, which is just getting going. We're adding a broad set of capabilities across the full spectrum. You're going to see a lot more, and you're going to see personalization of apps. If you go into the payment system, you're going to see global wallets. You're going to see tons of stuff that's coming in. Like I said, the fintech has done a great job. I'm pointing out that they live under different constraints, but they've done a great job getting rid of pain points, making automated, digitizing things, using the cloud. It's incumbent upon us to go faster to the cloud. We already have 150 major AI projects, but my guess is in five years it'll be 1,000 AI projects. We're going as fast as we can to do a great job for customers. Obviously, fintech will be a challenge. There's a lot of money there. They're very smart people. I want to be clear. We're not wishing regulations on them like on us. I think that'd be bad for America. We are wishing for a level playing field when it comes around certain products and certain services. I, for one, think it's grossly unfair that a neobank can have a small checking account and earn $200 in exorbitant fees, and we earn $100. That just isn't right. I can go on and on and on about some of the unfair things. Look, let the regulators do it. I'm not expecting any change. We will just adjust our strategies accordingly. Your next question comes on the line of Brian Kleinhanzl with KBW. Hi, Brian. Great. Hey, morning. I just have a quick question. As we start to look out to forward rates and market kind of implying Fed moving somewhat in the near term or intermediate term, how are you guys thinking about deposit betas this cycle and kind of what's included in your NII sensitivity, both on the consumer and commercial deposits? Thanks. Sure. I think the way to answer is the betas have gamma, meaning they change over time. We have our best guess, the numbers that Jen gives you. Obviously the beta's going up all the time, and then it levels off. That's right. The betas have gamma. I'd say that you can think of it as being nonlinear, meaning the beta for the first 100 basis points will be lower than the beta for the second and third increments of 100 basis points. From here, on the retail side specifically, the first 100 basis points will be very valuable because there is a lower beta associated with it. That's really where we see the benefit in NII with short rates in an environment with low loan growth. Your next question comes from the line of Charles Peabody with Portales Partners. Hello. Mr. Peabody, your line is open. Please ensure that you do not have your line on mute. Hello? Can you hear me now? Hello. Go ahead. Yep, we can hear you. Go ahead. Sorry about that. I had a question about the impact that negative rates at the short end of the yield curve might have on your entity. Specifically, you touched a little bit on the IOR rate and the overnight repo rate being raised. Would that have any impact on your market-related NII if they had to raise by five basis points? Secondly, if we do get negative rates at the short end, is that incorporated in your $55 billion NII guidance? Thirdly, if we do get negative rates at the short end, does that have any implications for what loan demand might look like? Thank you. Sure. I'll just start by saying while we have seen repo go negative at times, it's been quarterly. We don't expect short rates to be negative for any longer period of time, and we certainly haven't seen spikes, which is something you would worry about more. I think with the amount of capacity in the money market complex and the fact that the Fed increased their RRP facility, now that facility is at zero. That certainly is supportive of ensuring short rates don't go negative for any meaningful period of time. They also obviously could increase that. Then for us, I would say not a meaningful impact because obviously we have 10 basis points of IOR as an option for us. We do trade around it. I would just add the why is far more important than the number. NII, obviously, like in trading, it goes in and out. All things being equal, no, it just shows up in a different place. If you go negative NII because you're going back into recession because there's a negative variant, that's a whole different issue than if it's a temporary timing thing. I would tell you, we would expect rates to be moving up over time. We expect a rather healthy, very strong economy. Yep. What we've seen so far on the short end is not unhealthy or something we're worried about. It's a dynamic of so much cash chasing the supply. Thank you. Your next question comes from the line of Andrew Lim with Société Générale. Hi, Andrew. Hi, Jen, Jamie. Morning. Just circling back to the SLR. Despite issuing one and a half billion preferreds, you still lost about 30 basis points on your SLR. I'm just wondering how you think about the ratio two, three quarters out from now, whether issuing preferreds and having your discussions with wholesale depositors is going to be enough to put a floor on that SLR at 5.5%, or whether you're going to have to pull harder on those levers or have to pull harder on other levers. The minimum is 5%. We have some room. Naturally, we will have a buffer above the minimum, as you always need to when you have binary consequences of going below. You can think about some management buffer above that, but we do still have room at 5.5%, and we do think that we can manage this at this point through issuing. We'll be in the market again with preferreds as well as the conversations that we've had with clients. So far, they have not been disruptive. We're hopeful that that remains the case and that we can manage this. Okay. What's your level of comfort for the buffer above the 5%? That's my follow-up. Just another question. You gave an update a couple of quarters ago saying that you had a buffer of, or let's say excess provisions of about $10 billion versus. Your base case scenario economic outlook. Obviously, you've released quite a lot of provisions since then. Can you give an update on what that figure is now? Sure. You can think about a buffer on the SLR of call it 25 basis points. It is important to note something like AOCI is something that we have to incorporate into our thinking, and the impact of AOCI as that's part of Tier 1 capital. We need to have a buffer to make sure that we can manage through any noise we might see there. That's why we have a buffer and 25 basis points is probably a reasonable one to think about. In terms of on reserves, the distance between where we are in the base case, as I said in my prepared remarks, that's now $7 billion. What's interesting to note is that that was $10 billion, it was then $9 billion, and we've released $8 billion, and it's still $7 billion. All of the scenarios have been moving, and there's a lot that goes into how we think about reserves. We've always just provided that as context for everyone, particularly last year, as we were managing through so much uncertainty in terms of the inputs into our reserves. I wouldn't put a lot of weight into that because what I also said on the $7 billion is that you shouldn't think about that as available for release because we will always have some waiting on alternative scenarios. Even if everything plays out exactly as we expect based upon where we closed the books for the first quarter, it would be something less than $7 billion. Your next question comes from the line of Mike Mayo with Wells Fargo Securities. Hi, Mike. Hi. Good evening. I'm still wrestling with the deposit conundrum. I guess your national deposit share is something like 12%, and over the last year, I think your incremental deposit share gain is 20%. In other words, the industry deposits are up around $3 trillion, and your deposits are up $600 billion. I'm just wondering how much of that was due to QE and how much of that is due to organic growth. Maybe you can fill us in because you're building out the branches in the lower 48 states, and you're expanding commercial bankers and trying to build up all this organic growth at a time when you can't really monetize those deposits. Thanks. Sure. First of all, as we always say, we're running the place for the long term, and we don't expect this challenge to be a long-term challenge, maybe a short to medium term, but not a long term. I'll just say that, yes, there was certainly some organic growth, but it is Fed balance sheet and bank lending that create deposits. That's what we are focused on. We do think, given what we expect here, that we can manage it. It certainly isn't going to change the way we think about market expansion or otherwise, as that is long-term franchise value. I think, Jen, the numbers kind of Just building out- Mike, the 600, and it's really hard to tease out. We think we're growing actual share in almost every business deposits, but $500-$600 was the Fed balance sheet. We're a big wholesale bank and a big consumer bank, so obviously a big portion that shows up inside our company. Again, the new branches are doing great, but they're not going to move the needle quite like the Fed adding $3 trillion to deposits in the system. That's right. Just the quick update on the build-out into the 48 lower states branches you said by the middle of this year. Yep. We'll be in all lower 48 by the end of July. Is that right? Yep. Reggie's confirming for me. We will be in all lower 48 by the end of July. We opened about 75 branches in market expansion last year. We got a little bit slowed down by COVID, but that's going to be about 150 this year. Remain super excited about that and all the opportunities. All right. Thank you. right. Thank you. that it brings across the company, not just in deposits, of course, because it brings incredible value to the commercial bank and to the private bank. The business case there, if you will, is not just about deposits. Your next question comes from the line of Erika Najarian with Bank of America Merrill Lynch. Hi, Erika. Hi. Good evening. Apologies for prolonging the call. I just got this question a lot on Bloomberg from investors. Just wanted to re-ask the first question another way. It seems like we have been waiting for recalibration on the GSIB for some time now. On the other hand, clearly the expansion of your balance sheet comes with additional revenue generation and market share taking and some opportunities. Investors are wondering if we don't get any sort of calibration that's meaningful and we see Tier 1 floor does have to move up from 12%, what is the sensitivity of the normalized ROTCE outlook, if any at all, if that 12% does have to move up in 50 basis points increments? Okay. If the 12% has to move up, Erika, that would obviously have an impact. There is so much between here and there and that being a reality that we can't really comment on it because I know we've been waiting for GSIB recalibration for a long time, but it has been made very clear that GSIB recalibration will be part of the Basel III endgame, which we have also been waiting for for a very long time. There will be potential offsets that we're unable to manage because we don't know what they are yet. We continue to wait for Basel III endgame. Then, as I said, we do believe we can manage the stress capital buffer. It's scenario dependent, we do believe we can manage that to be closer to 2.5%, which helps an awful lot in terms of an offset to GSIB constraints. We're thinking about that 12% number until we know something different. Yeah. Like I said, we're going to fight like hell to keep the 12, and we're pretty sure we can do it, I'm not that worried about it. I don't know what the confusion is. If we're earning 20% tangible equity and our capital goes up by 5% and we get no return on the 5%, our ROE goes to 19. I don't understand the confusion. The underlying results are still fabulous and great, yet slightly low returns. I even think that'll be temporary. We will, over time, find strategies and tactics to get returns that are fair to our shareholders. The most important thing about those returns, we have great business, great branches, great products, great services, good margins, good service, good ops, good controls. That's what we really build all the time, and there's other stuff that's just managing around capital constraints that it's a shame. This is not the way to run a railroad anymore. We're spending time on this call on CECL and SLR, and it's a shame. It does distract from growing the American economy. I've mentioned over and over, we have $2.2 trillion deposits, $1 trillion loans, $1.5 trillion of cash and marketable securities, much of which cannot be deployed to intermediate or lend. How conservative do you want to get? No, I agree. I think the market needed to hear that. Thank you. Thank you. There are no further questions at this time. Thank you. Thanks, everyone. Thanks, operator. Thank you. Thank you for participating in today's call. You may now disconnect.
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