Welcome to Citi's 2026 Global Property CEO Conference. I'm Nick Joseph, here with Craig Mailman with Citi Research. Pleased to have with us Prologis and CEO Dan Letter. This session is for Citi clients only, and disclosures have been made available at the corporate access desk. To ask a question, you can raise your hand or go to liveqa.com and enter code GPC26 to submit any questions. Dan, we'll turn over to you to introduce the company and team, provide any opening remarks, let investors know the top reason to buy the stock today, and then we'll get into Q&A. Great. great. Thanks for having me. Yeah, just press the red button. There we go. It was on. It was on? There we go. All right. Thanks for having us. Again, I'm Dan Letter, CEO of Prologis. To my left here is Tim Arndt, our chief financial officer, and to his left is Justin Mang, our global head of investor relations. Prologis, we are the global leader in logistics real estate. We have over $230 billion of assets under management. That's 1.3 billion sq ft, 6,000 buildings in 20 countries, in markets that represent 78% of the world GDP. We have about 7,000 customers in our portfolio. Our value proposition is quite simple actually. We grow operating income ahead of inflation with the best portfolio and the best platform in the business. We create significant value through our development franchise. We have an unmatched development franchise going back nearly 30 years. Best in class, long track record, that puts up consistently, 30% margins. We allocate capital with discipline. It's supported by our A-rated balance sheet. We have a scaled asset management platform, about $70 billion of third-party capital that we manage. This combination is really built to compound earnings and intrinsic value over the long term. We're also positioned for what's next. AI is driving major demand in data centers. We own or control 14,000 acres of land in these markets, and we've been heavily focused on energizing that land bank and our portfolio for conversion opportunities. We see these as very large, durable opportunities. With our energy business, we've built an energy team over the last five years, heavily focused on the solar and storage business, where we generate 1.1 gigawatts of power, growing to north of two gigawatts by 2030. That power team helps us energize our data center opportunities globally. Why own the stock today? Really three reasons. One, the occupier market is improving. Two, we have very meaningful upside in our rent embedded in our mark-to-market. There's significant value creation ahead in both logistics and data centers. With that, why don't we get into questions? Hey, guys. It's been about a month and a half since you had your Q4 call. Could you give us an update on leasing activity and tenant discussions? If you wouldn't mind, give how does this compare to budget so far? Yeah. I think the best way to think about it is we are performing in line, maybe even slightly better than our report, from a month and a half ago. Tenant discussions continue to be constructive. Customers, we're seeing them really just see past all the noise in the market. They've become desensitized to all the headlines and really focusing on, t hey seem to be much more on their front foot than they had been the prior couple years. You know, it's, it's interesting the people keep pointing out that our conference always coincides with macroeconomic event pandemics. We had Iran over the weekend, I'm just kinda curious. This time last year, we were feeling pretty good. You guys were starting to see a little bit of or at least express some hesitancy around tariffs. I guess at this point, the inflection seems to be kind of here. What keeps you up at night that, you know, we've seen this movie before where things look good, and then something pops up in the macro that slows demand? Is there anything right now that could be the boogeyman here that could derail the recovery? Like I said, we're hearing from our customers who are leaning in. They're making decisions. Our leasing pipeline is elevated. It's been elevated for the last year, despite having three of the last five quarters our largest leasing quarters ever. The pipeline remains strong. Customers, again, after a few sluggish years, they really started making decisions. When it comes to the chaos or the noise of tariffs, they just. They see it as more of a feature of today's environment than any sort of bug. It's not keeping me up at night. You know, what would keep me up at night is what is the next exogenous market impact that we just can't control. What we do is we wake up every day focused on what we can control, and that's really driving value creation through superior leasing and our development business. What impact, if any, does the Supreme Court ruling on tariffs have on industrial broadly or kind of leasing conversations? Again, these customers are not phased by this current decision. I don't think anybody's expecting to get a rebate or anything from the tariffs that they paid out over the last year. Again, we haven't seen anything slow by any means from our customers. On the call, you know, you guys had highlighted that market vacancy has likely peaked, and you're beginning to see some market rent inflections across a few markets. I don't know, maybe we could just dive a little deeper, and just give us some thoughts on markets that are improving the quickest and highlight some that could continue to lag, maybe from both an occupancy and market rent perspective. Yeah, sure. Right now we look at the overall market rent, and we look at markets where we're seeing development take place because we see market rents growing at a replacement cost rent trajectory. Those are right now sitting about 23% above market rents. It's about a 45% jump from where we are in place today to the replacement cost rent. We're seeing some building going on in the Sun Belt markets, so that's where you're seeing those market rents have improved. We again see that as a trajectory for the coast in the next couple years. If you were to highlight a couple domestic or even foreign markets where you're seeing kind of leasing activity accelerate the most versus the least, what are like two or three that you'd point out that are? Two or three, I would say Houston is very strong right now. We're seeing, the Southeast really, carrying more than its fair share of the weight. Europe itself is, its occupancy is better than the U.S., so, seeing really strong demand drivers across, Northern Europe, for instance. Latin America, Mexico continues to be strong. Brazil, we can't build fast enough. Japan, we're having some success too, outperforming the market. I guess I'd be remiss if I didn't ask about L.A., y ou guys had sort of mentioned on the call, and I feel like it was more directed at the Inland Empire seeing some activity, but correct me if I'm wrong. Like, where do you guys stand on SoCal overall, and then maybe as you break it out between the I.E., maybe East, West, and L.A. County? We've been consistent for the last couple years saying that we see Southern California itself recovering two to three quarters after the rest of the country. We've seen large format space in the Inland Empire. Really, we're sold out of it. Now we've seen some growing demand in smaller spaces as well. As you get into the L.A. Basin, really it's Class A that's outperforming the more commodity space, if you will. Keep in mind with Southern California, there's 24 million people in Southern California, a $2.3 trillion economy. It's like the tenth-largest economy in the world itself. Long term, in a market like California, where of course there's headlines every day, it just shows how much harder it is to build in California, we like it for the long term. You know, the question that I get from clients a lot, and I'm sure you guys get a lot as well, is around the mark-to-market. I know, you know, when I talked to Tim, the cash mark-to-market only came down about 100 basis points sequentially, so it's been a bit stickier, but there's always that concern about the pace of erosion. Could you walk us through maybe the math of how your mark-to-market may be a little bit more durable than maybe the market anticipates, and how you guys also look at kind of stabilized cap rates versus, you know, going-in cap rates given this backdrop? Yeah. I mean, the lease mark-to-market, if we just think about a inflationary or market rent growth environment that provides 3% or 4% over time, and we just held that constant, you would expect a lease mark-to-market to sit around high single digits, low double digits percent, and we are at 18% or 19% today. Whenever that question comes, I think that's the first thing that needs reminding, is that, you know, we are at a abnormal and very favorable place today. In the process of moving from about a 67% lease mark-to-market where we were, for those invested with us at the time, we've together, you know, scooped in about $1 billion of NOI, bringing it from that number to where we sit today. There's still another $800 million or $900 million of NOI to clip, we see in the lease mark-to-market today that'll come through the portfolio as we roll leases. I don't think you should look at the company and expect it to grow again meaningfully or have any concerns. Likewise, if it sat in the lower double digits, that would be what one would expect mathematically. If we do have an environment where this gap on replacement cost rents closes more significantly, more swiftly, where we have market rent growth in the mid-single digits, let's just say, that's not a forecast, I'm just saying if it did, we could see the lease mark-to-market expand again. In the meantime, there's plenty of cash flow and NOI to harvest. you asked around stabilized cap rates? Yeah. Just how, like, you know, I guess this is more a valuation, a public market valuation question. It's, you know, your going-in cap rate has come down, but when the mark-to-market comes in, it feels like, at least in our numbers, you're still in that low to mid 5% range on a stabilized cap rate. Sort of in your markets. How would that compare for a portfolio of your quality to what a private market transaction could go off at? I'll tell you right now, very active private market transaction volume last year was, it was normalizing, and we saw cap rates on a market base, excuse me, in the low 5s. Depending on quality and size and market, so say 5%-5.25%, we saw that in unlevered IRRs in the low-to-mid 7s. That is on the mark-to-market. You're typically gonna be in the mid 4s then, obviously, based on an actual in place, trying to capture that upside in the mark-to-market. Not to dwell on the mark-to-market, one more quick question, because people sometimes view it as linear, between your legacy development pipeline, what you bought with Liberty and what you bought with Duke, like, as we think about 2027 and 2028, can you round numbers how much of that expiration a given year could be this older vintage development leases that were signed well before the pandemic highs and rolled over to get a sense of, like, as we think about what 2027, 2028 mark-to-market could be, like, how it could surprise some people to the upside given this development embedded? Without getting into the individual portfolios, we have a very good way to get at what I think you mean there, which is we have detail on our expiration schedule in our supplemental, and you can unpack that at any time. Take that schedule, take with it the knowledge that we see market rents is about 19% above those in-place numbers. When you multiply that out and compare the expiring rent in each of the vintage years you just said, you see meaningful roll-up in 2026, 2027, 2028, 2029. It continues for a longer period than most appreciate, and that would be without any market rent growth today. That's just at spot rents. Does anyone in the audience have any questions? Okay. Maybe shifting over a little bit, you had mentioned development is coming back on the margin a bit depending on the market, depending on the size range. You guys clearly are gonna continue to deploy capital where it makes sense. I think, you know, the $3 billion-$4 billion you had said, about 60% of that is industrial, 40%'s data centers. How, geographically, how much of that ends up in the U.S. versus in your other non-U.S. markets, which ultimately could end up in funds, right, and you could recycle some of that capital? How much spec risk are you willing to take versus Build-to-Suits, which has been a higher component of that pipeline for you? It really is a market-by-market, deal-by-deal analysis that we do. This 14,000 acres of land is in dozens of markets around the globe. Our teams, while we've had slower start volumes the last couple years, have been getting the land ready to go so we can truncate those development periods when customers are ready to lease space. Right now, I think you should think of our Build-to-Suit volume as trending towards normal, more like 40%-ish. That's probably a better number. Last year was rather high because we did start much less Spec, so it was more of a denominator issue, but it was also a very big Build-to-Suit year. We absolutely have the appetite for Spec, and we've already started some Spec this year, and you'll see us continue to do Spec in some of the markets we've already mentioned. Southeast, you know, there's certainly some pockets also where maybe the headline vacancy in the market may be higher. Maybe it looks like it's a 7% or 8% vacant market, but then we have a very focused submarket strategy and where you may see a headline at, like I said, 8%, the market or submarket may be 1% or 2%, and we're gonna build into those. Just given the basket of opportunities we have in so many markets around the globe, it's, it bodes well for our start volume. I guess, this is a harder question to answer because it is submarket specific, but as one of the biggest developers in the country and the world for industrial, it feels like maybe there's a push and pull on, yes, you want to deploy that capital and get that incremental growth, but on the other side, if you hold back development, the markets could tighten quicker, and you could get better market rent growth in a certain market or geography. I guess, how much of that is really true on holding back and tightening fundamentals quicker versus it's just smarter to put product in a market where your leasing guys have no space, so you don't lose tenants, and maybe retention doesn't go down? Like, talk a little bit about that push and pull. Yeah. We're not sitting there trying to hold back the market or think that we have that much control of the market. If you look at even in the U.S. where we own 800 million feet, that puts us at, like, what? 6%-7% of the overall market, right? maybe it's 10%-12% of the addressable market, but when you take out a lot of the B and C quality stuff that we don't really compete against, if you think about institutional grade. It is not a strategic mindset that we bring to these deals to say we can control the market by not building. We wanna go build when the market fundamentals we see nine, 12, 18 months out are sound, and we wanna have space to deliver for our customers. That's where our customer franchise comes in, and we do get that view of their pipelines and we're gonna just start when we think it's prudent, and we can lease it per plan. A question that came in through live QA, I guess specific to the data center opportunity that you're seeing today, the specific question is: How can you compete with the data center REITs, or how do you think about your ability to compete there? Look at our company, right? We're in 100 markets around the globe. We've curated a land bank close to 78% of the world GDP, right? We've got hundreds of people in our construction team, our entitlement team. We've got this energy team that we've built over the last half a decade or so. We have the internal capabilities. A few years ago at our investor day, we said we're gonna focus on building a pipeline and building a team internally. We have brought in experts from the data center industry to round out the team to ensure that we could enjoy as much of the upside in this business as we can. I see us as a leading data center developer in the world, not somebody that's following anybody else. As we think about it, you guys, kind of break out the different buckets of where you are in the power allocation, process, right? I think you're up to, what? 1.4 gigawatts that's either under construction or secured. We have 1.8 secured and another 3.9 in advanced stages to total 5.7. Okay. Could you just talk about or clarify, like, when you have something in that 1.8 gigawatts, right? The under construction stuff is under construction, but the power that is in that allocated bucket, like, is that you have an agreement with the utility, and you could go tomorrow on that if you have a tenant in hand, everything is set up, and then the stuff that's in the 3.8 is you're close, don't have full allocation, don't have a tenant there. Just trying to get a sense of, like, the time frames and what those exactly mean. Go on. You described it quite well. Okay. We have lease negotiations underway. As Tim had talked about in our earnings call, in January, every megawatt we can deliver over the next three years is accounted for in some discussions of some sort. That's the advanced stages is really probably a year or 2 out. We're spending time, money. We have an allocation agreement with the power company. It just hasn't fully been codified at that point. We expect all of that power to be fully secured within the next couple years. I know the initiative from the administration is sort of the bring your own power. How would that impact the cost estimates that you guys have given? I know it's more of a merchant building model, but, right, if you have to bring more of that on your own, build a substation, do all that, does that change the economics at all for you guys, or do you get paid back by the tenant and through the sale of the asset? You know, it's interesting. In most of these situations, we are already building major infrastructure substations, upstream, power, generation and otherwise. It's, it's significant and built into the economics today. Where I could see this being actually a benefit to Prologis is we actually have this energy team that's built an on-premise power solution. We've actually delivered that for a couple customers in the last year, and we have a program that we're launching that has actually helped us win business. It helped us win business in logistics, where companies are looking for redundancy, or they're concerned about fires or any sort of natural disasters. That's helped us win business. It's helped us win business on the data center front as well. We're able to throw our hat in the ring because we can actually generate the power on site. It's different costs in different locations. We just launched a building in the Netherlands, for instance, and that power is coming in pretty close to what the market power rate is. It may be a little bit more expensive to do it in Southern California, for instance. At the end of the day, it is the end user that's paying for it. Just the best way to think about the build-out, kind of 65%-70% shell, that kind of 30%-35% turnkey, is that sort of where you think it averages out over time? Yeah. You mean our mix of how much we might, you know, engage in Powered Shell to Turnkey. Yeah, that's about right. 70, 30, maybe 75, 25, something on that order. Just on-- I know you guys talked more about the private capital business on the call. The data center fund has always been a potential solution. How far are you away from coming up with the final structure that you guys feel comfortable with the data centers, either fully outright sales or a fund with a stub ownership piece? Like, where are we in the evaluation process, and maybe where are you trending? We're in about the middle of the game, I would say. We've been at it in earnest for a couple quarters now, dialoguing with large capital providers who see the advantages that Prologis has here, and we have a pretty robust slate of options, I would say. Up against them all is just continuing in the format we've been in, which is developing on our balance sheet and selling. Like, that's a perfectly acceptable way for us to move forward. It's viable and one of the many things that we'll look at. If you unpack my commentary on time, I would expect in the next one or two quarters, you will know from us what we intend to do here. Just more broadly on the fund business, 'cause capital Qs have struggled here the last couple years. I don't know if the increased commentary on the call suggests that our capital Q is getting better and we should expect kind of an uptick in this business. If so, maybe just remind us what the earnings power from the private capital business at, you know, not full tilt, but a much better velocity could be for you guys. I would say the capital flows are getting better in the sense if you look at it in aggregate. It's true that for a segment of it, which has been regular way core investing, that has been a more challenged pocket of our overall strategic capital fundraising. That's also at play in why we've pretty greatly expanded our offerings going new public routes as we did at the end of last year in China and some new private joint ventures that we've announced in recent quarters and we'll announce more over this year. It's keeping pace with the direction of the market and the preferences of LPs to actually align with fewer GPs and ones with reputations like Prologis has. You're gonna see that as a long-winded way. You're gonna see some new funds out of Prologis. You know, in terms of growth, you know, we've always said, you know, the return we can expect on core real estate is heightened by 100 to 150 basis points in a strategic capital format beyond all of the diversification benefits it brings in terms of more investments, more customers, and a broader swath of capital to access. One of the topics we're exploring with every company is the ability internally to deploy AI for efficiencies or other opportunities. I guess, you know, where are you today? Where are you seeing the opportunities internally within Prologis? I think, you know, the second question is: how do you think about getting those deployed? Is it from building? Is it buying? Is it partnering? You know, where is the opportunity, and how are you actually gonna execute on it? We have been very forward looking in our AI deployment. We were an early customer of ChatGPT at enterprise level. We're a few years into this. One big effort that we did about five, six years ago was really organize our data as a company with 12,000 leases and 6,000 buildings and using the proprietary data that Prologis has as a differentiator for us, and then deploying that now with the AI layer has been really significant. We use it in many different ways. If you think about revenue management, we're able to work with these various models and we've got a team of data scientists that have really built this model, so it helps us track and keep our local teams focused on what the best possible rent outcome can be. Revenue management, we're using it in underwriting, we're using it in our design as well. I'm really pleased I don't think I've ever seen adoption. I think we've got 98%, 99% of the company using ChatGPT on a daily basis. We're pushing for how we can use it to make better decisions. We're able to analyze 200,000 buildings across the United States with a certain model of scoring on each of those buildings as to whether or not we wanna own that building long term. I mean, we're really leveraging all these various tools that we've built the last couple years. What else? I would just add, I think you also asked about build versus buy. It's all of the above right now. Mm-hmm. We're definitely building models. At individual level can occur, but also some enterprise-wide tools. There's certainly, especially as we get into areas that deal with financials or other components of the IT infrastructure, vendor-provided AI solutions are gonna be relied on more heavily. We're looking to use it all. Have you guys seen, like, immediate cost savings on either legal or quicker, gestation to the leasing pipeline on your end because you're getting stuff through different departments? Like, trying to just gauge the actual savings versus the theoretical savings that we all think is there. Trying to put real dollars around it. Have you guys been able to measure that at all on an ROI basis? In a word, I would say no. We are early innings on that. I think by a year from now, we will have had ways that we can quantify that and figure out how we're redeploying those resources back into the company. I think that's a theme that we expect to be more productive at the end of it all. That'll require its own calculation on what it means to the bottom line. We're still a little early on measuring it as it stands today. I guess some of the headline risks the past couple weeks has been on headcounts, and I'm kinda curious as you guys are deploying this internally, is it something that legitimately could slow or reduce headcount, or does it just, at least in the process that you're putting forward, free up people's time to do things that are more valuable, more strategic? I look at it as. Look at how we run this company right now. We're 35 basis points of AUM right now. On the margin, how much can you really pick up in savings? What I see is tremendous growth for this company in the coming years and us being pretty flat as to what that means from a headcount perspective. Certainly much more flat than we would have been otherwise. That's why we've been early adopters in this technology, and we have a very rigorous G&A policy around how we're viewing net new jobs. It goes through the whole AI filter and as to what that job could look like in two, three, five years to ensure that we don't overload with too much G&A at a point when the whole market and economy is adopting to this new way of working. You guys do a lot of these tenant panels and checking in, and Amazon's clearly one of your largest tenants. Like, from a tenant perspective and just industrial usage, the benefits or risks to AI, I'm just kinda curious what your tenants are saying, you know, as it relates to either agentic commerce, or are you seeing tenants who are actively taking space to support data center build-outs in certain markets? Like, how is the AI initiative sort of impacting demand, at least early on or through early conversations with tenants about how they may change their usages? What we have seen over the last 10, 15 years has been all this discussion around automation, and automation will somehow reduce the need for our customers to take down a certain amount of space, or they'll slow their growth and their footprints. What we've really seen, and AI is just another layer on top of that, the supply chain is very complicated, right? AI, automation before it, have really only helped solve the complex issues as service levels have continued to grow. Think of the end consumer. In the U.S., 70% of GDP is consumption, right? Service levels of getting your product that you order now in three hours versus two days from now. That's where we continue to see our customers say, "We're not slowing the need for more space. We're just using these tools to help us navigate all of these complexities. We have our rapid fire, but any other questions in the room? All right. What will Same-Store NOI Growth be for the industrial sector overall next year in 2027? Cash, five to six. Will there be more, fewer, the same number of industrial companies a year from now? Public. Same. Perfect. I told Dan we should say many more. It'll be double. Dozens more. Dozens more. Dozens more. Perfect. Great. Well, thank you so much for your time. We appreciate it. Thanks, guys.